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Who Will Be the Next German Chancellor?

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Who Will Be the Next German Chancellor?
German Chancellor Angela Merkel on September 22, 2021. HAUKE-CHRISTIAN DITTRICH / AFP

The race to succeed Angela Merkel as Germany’s next Chancellor is well and truly heating up as decision day fast approaches. According to a number of political pundits and the various election polls taken, the race is too close to call despite the politics odds on offer.

Who will win the German Elections at the weekend? Multiple top-rated sportsbooks are offering politics odds on this key electoral event, amongst other major political events in 2021 and the near future. It’s important to note that the German chancellor isn’t voted directly into office in the same manner as an American president is in US Elections. Odds are available for the individuals seeking to become the next German chancellor though.

Whoever emerges triumphant from the 2021 German Elections on Sunday, September 26, 2021, Europe as a whole is on the precipice of history – a seminal moment that includes the end of the Merkel era after 16 years at the helm, and a central changing of the guard occasion for one of the continent’s superpowers that is likely to have far-reaching consequences on domestic and international politics.

Under Angela Merkel’s guidance and leadership, Germany’s power and influence in domestic, European and global affairs are undisputable. Her departure is a pivotal turning point on the political landscape, and for that reason, there’ll be many following the election’s closing, watching to see how they unfold.

As is the case with many politicians, Merkel was a polarising figure on the political landscape. She wasn’t always popular, but as Germany’s first female chancellor and the most powerful woman over the last two decades on the planet, she might not have needed to be.

Merkel came into power in 2005, when George W. Bush held the White House and Tony Blair was at No.10 Downing Street. She’s outlasted the pair, and many other politicians too. Her staying power and longevity is a testament to her leadership and that sets her apart from her peers and counterparts. According to a number of polls, Merkel is set to leave office on a tidal wave of approval.

Merkel has cast her cap into the rink for her party’s candidate, Armin Laschet. She urged Germans in a rare campaign trail appearance to vote for a government with Laschet at its helm, warning the alternative would be unpalatable.

Laschet’s odds, however, have fallen in the leadup due to a poor campaign run. Laschet’s message doesn’t seem to be resonating with the wider public and that has opened the door for Olaf Scholz and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) to make a serious run for a seat majority.

The Social Democratic SPD Party’s candidate for chancellor Olaf Scholz on September 22, 2021, ahead of the German federal elections. INA FASSBENDER / AFP

In fact, Scholz is now a firm favorite in political betting markets to become the new German chancellor at the conclusion of the federal elections. Scholz’s SDP is four points ahead of Armin Laschet’s CDD/CDU according to the latest polls.

The Green Party trails several points behind the SDP and CDD/CDU in opinion polls. It’s unlikely the Green Party will win the federal elections, but it’s nevertheless a key player in Germany’s political arena. Getting the Greens onside will likely be crucial in the event of coalition negotiations and building.