2025 Super Bowl Odds: Bills Slip Up; Chiefs, Eagles Keep Heat on Lions
The Kansas City Chiefs winning by the skin of their teeth has become as customary as Josh Allen performing superhuman-like acts.
The Chiefs have needed everyone on the depth chart to chip in this season, but calling upon the left upright is new. Third-string kicker Matthew Wright banged his walk-off field goal in off the left upright to keep pace with the Detroit Lions, the 2025 Super Bowl odds favorites at our best Super Bowl betting sites and in Las Vegas.
Despite Allen making history as the first player in NFL history to score three passing touchdowns and three rushing touchdowns in a game to remain the NFL MVP odds favorite, the Buffalo Bills' odds lengthened after losing to the Rams in Los Angeles.
The Philadelphia Eagles also kept pace after an unconvincing six-point win over the Carolina Panthers.
Super Bowl odds 2025
Live updated Super Bowl odds from our best live betting sites following Week 14.
- The Lions' Super Bowl odds improved across our best NFL betting sites after their 34-31 win over the Packers
- Philadelphia and Kansas City's odds remained unchanged (+500) after their Week 14 victories
- The Packers' Super Bowl odds took a hit across the board, the most severe of which at FanDuel, where they moved from +1400 to +2200
- The Bills, who lost their first in eight games, saw their Super Bowl odds lengthen from +500 to +600 at FanDuel
2025 Super Bowl odds favorites
Super Bowl odds courtesy of our best NFL betting sites.
Lions (+280)
I'm starting to run out of superlatives when speaking about the Lions, who just set a franchise record by winning 11 straight games. And they did so in style, with a walk-off field goal after converting a risky fourth down. While risky, it was the right play given the circumstances. And Campbell deserves a ton of credit for again making the right call.
The Lions went 6-for-7 with four touchdowns on fourth down in the two games against the Packers this season: high risk, higher reward.
Campbell's squad has won games in about every way possible, showcasing the kind of resilience Super Bowl favorites are renowned for. There's no team as good as them, including their most formidable threats.
And while the Bills, Chiefs, and Eagles might have something to say about that in the coming weeks, Detroit is currently the creme de la creme. If the Lions finally win it all, a $10 bet will profit $28.
Best odds: +280 via BetRivers | Implied probability: 26.32%
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Chiefs (+500)
Coming into this season, I felt it was almost impossible for the Chiefs to become even more battle-tested and playoff-ready. Yet, they continually defy the odds by winning in the most dramatic and, at least for the opposition, frustrating ways.
Their last four wins have come by three or fewer points, and 10 of their 12 victories were by one score or less.
Our C Jackson Cowart has sung the praises of the Chiefs all season long dating back to his preseason Super Bowl predictions, even as they continue to stack one-possession victories.
And it feels like the best is still to come from Patrick Mahomes and the rest of his resilient sidekicks. Ordinarily, I'd say the luck of anyone winning by such fine margins every week will eventually run out. But this is no ordinary situation, and, when referring to this team, the word extra needs to precede ordinary.
I've stopped predicting how many of these one-score contests they can withstand before succumbing.
A $10 bet will profit $50 if the Chiefs win their third straight Super Bowl.
Best odds: +500 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 16.67%
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Eagles (+550)
The Eagles didn't blow the Panthers out as many expected. But they won, and while it wasn't as impressive as they would've liked, they're still in a superb position entering Week 15.
The 22-16 win over the Panthers marked their ninth win in a row. They'll put that winning streak on the line in Week 15 against the Pittsburgh Steelers, another Super Bowl odds front-runner that has won seven of their last eight games.
Saquon Barkley, who's charging up the NFL MVP odds and is the overwhelming favorite in the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds, broke the Eagles' single-season rushing yards record that was previously held by LeSean McCoy (1,607). Barkley has 1,623 yards going into the clash against the Steelers.
Best odds: +550 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 15.38%
Bills (+700)
The Bills were sitting fourth across the board entering Sunday Night Football. A few hours later, only the Lions were getting shorter odds. That scenario has once again changed after Buffalo lost in Los Angeles.
Allen did everything in his Herculean power to drag the Bills across the line but couldn't quite get it done.
You could blame a blatant missed false start call on the Rams or Buffalo deciding to go for the quarterback sneak on the one-yard line with just over a minute to go, which made them burn a timeout they couldn't afford to lose.
Either way, the Bills, whose odds lengthened from +500 to +700 at DraftKings, are still getting the fourth-shortest Super Bowl odds. While the loss will sting on the way back to Buffalo, the Bills are still in an excellent position as the AFC East winners.
However, the loss increases the likelihood of Buffalo having to play an AFC Championship game in Kansas City.
I broke down the Bills' Super Bowl odds in great detail as part of my feature story on Buffalo last month. In short, the team is legit with weapons abound, especially when Allen is playing at such a high level.
Best odds: +700 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 12.50%
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Ravens (+1100)
Oh, what a difference a few weeks make. After pushing the Lions and Chiefs as the outright favorite to win it all, Baltimore has lost two of its last three and looks like a shell of the team that posted the NFL's best record last season.
We saw the offense sputter last Sunday against the Eagles. However, the Ravens' most significant concern might be the continued freefall of kicker Justin Tucker, who missed multiple field goals and an extra point for a team currently spiraling.
Baltimore will spend its bye week trying to get right before the postseason. If it succeeds, a $10 bet at DraftKings would return a $110 profit in February.
Best odds: +1100 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 8.33%
2025 Super Bowl odds contenders
Packers (+2200)
If you were waiting for an opportunity to lock in the Packers as your Super Bowl pick, now is the time. You won't find better value than the +2200 odds FanDuel is offering.
Don't let their Week 14 TNF loss to the Lions dissuade you, as this edition of the Packers has everything it needs to make a real run at the Super Bowl.
They went toe-to-toe with the NFL's best in an obscenely hostile road environment and, due to a clutch Lions' fourth-down conversion, potentially fell just short of the upset.
While it's of little consolation, Jordan Love kept the Packers within three points for the first time in five games at Ford Field. He's healthy, and this team can beat anyone on their day. A winning $10 bet will profit $220.
Best odds: +2200 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 4.35%
Vikings (+1700)
I highlighted the Vikings as my "team to watch" before their uninspiring win against the Bears three weeks ago. And they nearly lost to the Arizona Cardinals last week before a thrilling 23-22 victory.
That preceded their dominant victory over the reeling Atlanta Falcons in Week 14. The Vikings picked off Kirk Cousins twice and outscored Atlanta 28-11 in the second half, emphatically reinforcing their spot as a Super Bowl contender. Their Super Bowl odds shortened at FanDuel from +2200 to +1700.
Like all of the foremost contenders, this team knows how to win in all situations. They are one of the most successful teams in one-score games and are dangerous on both sides of the ball.
Best odds: +1700 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 5.56%
My Super Bowl odds contender to watch
Chargers (+4000)
Three weeks ago, the Chargers were all the rage after showcasing the exact formula so many would covet in the postseason: an elite quarterback, a decorated head coach, and a defense and run game built to win in January and February.
Then they lost a physical battle with the Ravens - still a top-tier team when clicking - and responded with a 17-13 win over the Falcons behind five takeaways.
Their latest loss to the defending Super Bowl champs shouldn't deter anyone from backing them as their futures pick.
Quite the contrary, in fact. The Chargers didn't score a first-half point for the first time this season but could have, maybe should have, won the game.
Plus, they almost prevailed despite the notable absence of J.K. Dobbins.
The loss didn't impact their NFL playoff odds much, decreasing from 94% to 89%. Their Super Bowl odds decreased from +3500 to +4000 after the loss, and a winning $10 bet would turn a $400 profit.
Best odds: +4000 via Caesars | Implied probability: 2.44%
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My best 2025 Super Bowl odds long shot
Broncos (+5000)
To make a deep run in the playoffs as a long shot, a team typically needs a special unit or a quarterback on an absolute heater. There's a chance the Broncos boast both.
Denver's defense ranks second in EPA per play entering Week 14 (-0.13), as well as EPA per pass (-0.16), and success rate allowed (38.7%). It's the only unit in the top two by all three metrics. The defense also ranks third in sack rate (8.7%) amid a brilliant season overall.
As for the passer, NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds challenger Bo Nix has been turning around a rough start with 12 touchdowns and three interceptions over the last six weeks. That includes a difficult night against the Cleveland Browns in which his team still scored 41 points.
With its NFL playoffs odds trending in the right direction, Sean Payton's team could be dangerous in the right postseason matchup. I don't mind taking a chance at these long-shot odds just in case.
Best odds: +5000 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 1.96%
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Super Bowl 2025 info
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 9
- Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
- Favorite: Detroit Lions (+275 via Caesars)
- TV: FOX, Fubo (streaming)
- Halftime show: Kendrick Lamar
- Anthem: John Batiste
Vegas Super Bowl odds
Vegas Super Bowl odds from Circa Sports.
| Team | Odds (Circa) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | +280 | 26.32% | $28 |
| Chiefs | +440 | 18.52% | $44 |
| Bills | +450 | 18.18% | $45 |
| Eagles | +550 | 15.38% | $55 |
| Ravens | +975 | 9.30% | $98 |
| Packers | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Steelers | +1900 | 5.00% | $190 |
| Vikings | +1900 | 5.00% | $190 |
| Chargers | +3100 | 3.13% | $310 |
| Broncos | +4200 | 2.33% | $420 |
The Lions are ahead of the chasing pack at Circa, too. However, it's the Chiefs that are getting the second-shortest odds, just ahead of the Eagles and Bills.
The Ravens round out the top five with shorter than 10/1 odds, while the Packers, Steelers, and Vikings loom right behind them as dark-horse title-contenders.
There's a sharp dropoff behind that group before a pair of AFC West hopefuls in the Chargers and Broncos, who face off once more in Week 16.
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Super Bowl point spread
We're still awaiting the point spread for Super Bowl 2025. Though if history is an indication, it'll likely open at shorter than a field goal.
Dating back to 2011, 10 of the last 14 matchups have featured a point spread of 3 points or shorter. That includes the last two seasons, when the Kansas City Chiefs won as short underdogs against the Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) and San Francisco 49ers (-2.5).
The last time the Super Bowl point spread exceeded a touchdown was 2008, when the undefeated New England Patriots were 12-point favorites to beat the New York Giants. That famously didn't end well for the Patriots, who suffered a 17-14 defeat.
Overall, favorites have posted a 29-24-2 record against the spread (54.7%) while winning 37 of 57 matchups straight up (64.9%). That doesn't include the 2015 Super Bowl, when the Patriots beat the Seattle Seahawks in a pick 'em.
Super Bowl moneyline odds
Updated Super Bowl moneyline odds via DraftKings.
| AFC | NFC |
|---|---|
| -115 | -115 |
While we still don't know the teams involved, you can already bet on the Super Bowl 2025 moneyline odds based on which conference will win it.
The AFC has won two straight thanks to the Chiefs' dominant run, which extended a 7-3 stretch for the conference over the last 10 years. Three of the five favorites to win this year's Super Bowl hail from the AFC.
The NFC had won four of five Super Bowls before that span. The NFC champion has also entered the Big Game as the outright favorite in three straight years, so don't be surprised if the pendulum swings in that direction before long.
The AFC and NFC have each won 29 games straight up while posting an identical 28-28-2 record against the spread across the 58-year history of the Super Bowl.
Super Bowl O/U total
Once again, we'll likely need to wait until closer to the matchup being determined to bet on the Super Bowl total, which has been trending higher and higher in recent years.
Five of the last eight Super Bowls have featured a betting total of at least 50 points, which had only happened nine times in the previous 50 years. Last year's total of 46.5 was the lowest since 2016, though the Over cashed by 0.5 points after the Chiefs scored the go-ahead touchdown in overtime.
That marked the second straight time the Over hit during the Super Bowl, which ended a successful four-year run for Under bettors. The Over has cashed 29 times compared to 28 wins for the Under throughout Super Bowl history.
Super Bowl preseason odds for all 32 teams
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +500 | +550 | +500 | +575 | +550 |
| 49ers | +600 | +600 | +600 | +625 | +550 |
| Ravens | +1000 | +1100 | +1000 | +900 | +900 |
| Lions | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 | +1200 |
| Bengals | +1300 | +1500 | +1300 | +1300 | +1200 |
| Eagles | +1400 | +1300 | +1200 | +1300 | +1400 |
| Bills | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 | +1700 | +1200 |
| Texans | +1600 | +1500 | +1600 | +1300 | +1600 |
| Packers | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 |
| Jets | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1700 | +1800 |
| Cowboys | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Dolphins | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Rams | +3000 | +3000 | +3000 | +2500 | +3000 |
| Falcons | +3000 | +2600 | +3000 | +2800 | +2500 |
| Bears | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3000 |
| Browns | +4000 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Chargers | +4500 | +4000 | +4000 | +3500 | +3500 |
| Steelers | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | +4500 | +4000 |
| Jaguars | +5000 | +4500 | +5000 | +4500 | +4500 |
| Seahawks | +6500 | +5500 | +6600 | +8000 | +6600 |
| Colts | +7500 | +5500 | +8000 | +6000 | +6000 |
| Buccaneers | +8000 | +6500 | +8000 | +9000 | +6600 |
| Vikings | +8000 | +8000 | +10000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Cardinals | +10000 | +8000 | +12500 | +12500 | +10000 |
| Saints | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +8000 |
| Raiders | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 | +6000 | +8000 |
| Commanders | +12000 | +12000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Titans | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Giants | +20000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +10000 |
| Broncos | +20000 | +25000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Panthers | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 | +25000 |
| Patriots | +35000 | +30000 | +30000 | +27500 | +15000 |
Super Bowl odds history
| Year | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2023 | Chiefs | +900 |
| 2022 | Rams | +1200 |
| 2021 | Buccaneers | +1000 |
| 2020 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2019 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2018 | Eagles | +4000 |
| 2017 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2016 | Broncos | +900 |
| 2015 | Patriots | +650 |
Super Bowl wins and appearances by team
| Team | Appearances | Wins |
|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 11 | 6 |
| Steelers | 8 | 6 |
| 49ers | 8 | 5 |
| Cowboys | 8 | 5 |
| Broncos | 8 | 3 |
| Chiefs | 6 | 4 |
| Giants | 5 | 4 |
| Packers | 5 | 4 |
| Commanders | 5 | 3 |
| Raiders | 5 | 3 |
How to bet on the Super Bowl
Betting into the Super Bowl market is one of the most popular but challenging things to do successfully as a sports bettor. You have to carefully consider a mix between a team's viability in the regular season and its aptitude for the postseason.
First, you need to consider a team's ability to make the playoffs, which feature seven teams in each conference with a first-round bye for the No. 1 seed. That last part is key - the top seed in each conference routinely reaches (and wins) the Super Bowl, so betting on an elite regular-season team is a solid way to succeed in this market.
That said, a team's postseason success tends to be highly correlated to quarterback play, coaching, and elite defense. That's been the formula for decades, and while a top-flight defense is perhaps the least important of those three, there are only so many franchise quarterbacks and championship-level coaches around.
That's why the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, have won two straight Super Bowls and three of the last five. It's also why most Super Bowl winners tend to enter the season with odds shorter than 10/1, as the teams with those key elements in place are the ones you can expect to survive through February.
How to read Super Bowl odds
A crucial step to betting on the Super Bowl is understanding how the odds work. Put simply, American odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 wager - or, in some cases, how much money you would need to wager to return $100.
Let's refer to an example. The Kansas City Chiefs opened with +750 odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl. That means a $100 bet at those odds would return $750 in profit, or a $10 bet would return $75 in profit. You could even bet $1 for a $7.50 return if Kansas City does indeed win its third consecutive championship this February.
A team like the Houston Texans, which opened at +2500 odds, would return a whopping $2,500 in profit if they win their first Super Bowl. Of course, those odds suggest they are much less likely to do so, as those +2500 odds represent an implied probability of just 3.85% according to our odds converter.
As we get closer to the Big Game, you may see a team dealing at "negative" odds. For example, the San Francisco 49ers were priced at -125 ahead of Super Bowl 58, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100, or $12.50 to win $10.
You'll want to be careful staking too much on bets with minus odds, as what can seem like a "sure thing" is always vulnerable to the chaos and unpredictability of sports.
Super Bowl FAQs
Who is predicted to win the Super Bowl?
The Detroit Lions are the 2025 Super Bowl favorites with +280 odds, which implies a 26.32% chance they'll win their first Super Bowl according to our odds converter.
What will be the Super Bowl matchup?
The Super Bowl matchup isn't yet decided and won't be until after the AFC and NFC championship games. The Kansas City Chiefs (11-1) lead the AFC and the Detroit Lions (12-1) lead the NFC through Week 13 and one game.
FanDuel's Super Bowl exact result odds list Lions vs. Bills (+650) as the most likely Super Bowl matchup with an implied win probability of 13.33%.
Who won the Super Bowl last year?
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 58, defeating the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller to win their second straight Lombardi Trophy.
When is the 2025 Super Bowl?
Super Bowl 59 will be played on Feb. 9, 2025 with kickoff set for 6:30 p.m. ET.
Where is the 2025 Super Bowl?
The 2025 Super Bowl will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
How to watch Super Bowl 2025
FOX will broadcast Super Bowl 59 nationally on Feb. 9, 2025. While kickoff is yet to be announced, it will likely take place around 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who will perform the Super Bowl 2025 halftime show?
Grammy Award-winning artist Kendrick Lamar will perform at the 2025 Super Bowl halftime show. He previously performed in the 2022 Super Bowl halftime show.
Who will sing the Super Bowl national anthem?
R&B artist John Batiste will sing the 2025 Super Bowl national anthem.
Who has the most Super Bowl wins?
The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have won six Super Bowls, tied for the most.
Who has the most Super Bowl appearances?
The New England Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl 11 times, the most of any team.
When was the first Super Bowl?
The first Super Bowl occurred in 1967 after the NFL and AFL merged.
Which team won the first Super Bowl?
The Green Bay Packers won Super Bowl I, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-10.
How many teams haven't won the Super Bowl?
Twelve teams have never won the Super Bowl. That list includes:
- Arizona Cardinals
- Atlanta Falcons
- Buffalo Bills
- Carolina Panthers
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Cleveland Browns
- Detroit Lions
- Houston Texans
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Minnesota Vikings
- Tennessee Titans
Super Bowl betting odds pages
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