2025 Super Bowl Odds: Lions Host Packers as Favorites Clash in Week 14
We could see a shift tonight in the 2025 Super Bowl odds in Las Vegas and elsewhere, with the favorite Detroit Lions hosting the Green Bay Packers on Thursday Night Football.
The Lions have been favored for weeks across our best Super Bowl betting sites amid a 10-game win streak. The Packers haven't lost since facing Detroit in Week 9, though the latest Thursday Night Football odds expect that to end tonight.
Those two teams are among six dealing at shorter than a 20/1 price as we look ahead to the NFL Week 14 odds.
Super Bowl odds 2025
Live updated Super Bowl odds from our best live betting sites entering Week 14.
- The Lions have won 10 straight after a Thanksgiving victory over the Bears, and they're favored to beat the Packers
- The Bills are rolling behind NFL MVP odds favorite Josh Allen as they travel to face the Rams on Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET
- The Eagles are the most significant favorites for Week 14, laying nearly two touchdowns against the Panthers before Sunday's 1 p.m. ET kickoff
- The Chiefs keep pulling out one-score victories, and they're expected to win a close one against the Chargers based on the Sunday Night Football odds
- The Ravens don't look like a legit title contender right now amid issues in all three phases, but they'll enjoy a bye this week to clean things up
2025 Super Bowl odds favorites
Super Bowl odds courtesy of our best NFL betting sites.
Lions (+300)
The Lions enter tonight as the clear Super Bowl favorites, and I don't expect that to change even with a loss to the Packers.
This team has already proven itself to be resilient indoors and in the elements both offensively and defensively, and against the best and worst opponents. That's why the Lions' odds are dealing between +250 and +300, though I'd expect that could dip between now and the start of the postseason.
Best odds: +300 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 25%
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Bills (+500)
The Bills were sitting at fourth across the board entering Sunday Night Football. A few hours later, only the Lions were getting shorter odds.
That's what happens when you blow out the defending NFC champions in prime time - in the snow, no less - behind another strong showing from QB Josh Allen, who added three more touchdowns to his MVP resume.
I broke down the Bills' Super Bowl odds in great detail as part of my feature story on Buffalo last month. In short, the team is legit with weapons abound, especially when Allen is playing at such a high level.
The Bills' odds dramatically tightened on Sunday night, though a winning $10 bet at Caesars would still return a $50 profit.
Best odds: +500 via Caesars | Implied probability: 16.67%
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Eagles (+500)
If you didn't believe in the Eagles entering last week, it's hard to doubt them now after an impressive win against the host Ravens during a game with a playoff feel from the opening kickoff.
Saquon Barkley, who's charging up the NFL MVP odds and is the overwhelming favorite in the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds, broke 100 yards rushing for the sixth time in the last seven weeks to help Philly extend its win streak to eight games.
Most of our best sports betting apps are showing Philly in second or just behind the Bills amid a tie with the Chiefs. That's incredible respect from the market after Kansas City's reign atop the oddsboard earlier this year, and these odds are only getting shorter.
Best odds: +500 via bet365 | Implied probability: 15.38%
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Chiefs (+550)
I've sung the praises of the Chiefs all season long dating back to my preseason Super Bowl predictions, even as they continue to stack one-possession victories and comeback wins en route to an 11-1 start.
We saw another last week against the lowly Raiders, which shouldn't surprise anyone. It's been the same script repeatedly. While this team should probably have suffered more than one loss by now, it's still held on nearly every week despite not playing to the club's full potential.
The Chiefs are sleepwalking their way through the regular season. I fully expect Kansas City to flip the switch in January, even if the market is losing faith with each passing week.
If that happens once again, a $10 bet at FanDuel would return a $55 profit.
Best odds: +550 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 15.38%
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Ravens (+1100)
Oh, what a difference a few weeks make. After pushing the Lions and Chiefs as the outright favorite to win it all, Baltimore has lost two of its last three and looks like a shell of the team that posted the NFL's best record last season.
We saw the offense sputter on Sunday against the Eagles. However, the Ravens' most significant concern might be the continued freefall of kicker Justin Tucker, who missed multiple field goals and an extra point for a team currently spiraling.
Baltimore will spend its bye week trying to get right before the postseason. If it succeeds, a $10 bet at DraftKings would return a $110 profit in February.
Best odds: +1100 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 8.33%
2025 Super Bowl odds contenders
Packers (+1500)
Green Bay has quietly won three straight games since a tough loss on Nov. 3 to the Lions, who recorded 150 fewer yards but limited the Packers in the red zone.
Jordan Love and Co. will get a chance for revenge tonight on Thursday Night Football, and another win could send the Packers skyrocketing up the oddsboard given how well they've been playing over the last month.
This group is still dealing at the longest odds of any major contender, with a $10 wager at BetMGM returning a potential $150 profit.
Best odds: +1500 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 6.25%
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Vikings (+2200)
I highlighted the Vikings as my "team to watch" before their uninspiring win against the Bears two weeks ago. And they nearly lost this past week to the Arizona Cardinals before a thrilling 23-22 victory.
I still believe in this group, especially with Kevin O'Connell and Brian Flores calling the plays, and star receivers Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison dazzling to complement one of the NFL's best defenses.
You won't find better value than these +2200 odds via BetMGM, which would turn a $10 bet into a $220 profit if Minnesota wins it all.
Best odds: +2200 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 4.35%
My Super Bowl odds contender to watch
Chargers (+3500)
Two weeks ago the Chargers were all the rage after showcasing the exact formula so many would covet in the postseason: an elite quarterback, a decorated head coach, and a defense and run game built to win in January and February.
Then they lost a physical battle with the Ravens - who are still a top-tier team when clicking - and responded with a 17-13 win over the Atlanta Falcons behind five takeaways. And now they're returning nearly 50% more of a profit on a winning Super Bowl ticket?
It doesn't really add up to me, especially since the latest NFL playoff predictions give Los Angeles a 94% chance of making the big dance. If Justin Herbert and John Harbaugh can turn that invite into a four-game win streak, DraftKings will turn a $10 bet into a $350 profit.
Best odds: +3500 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 2.78%
My best 2025 Super Bowl odds long shot
Broncos (+5000)
To make a deep run in the playoffs as a long shot, a team typically needs a special unit or a quarterback on an absolute heater. There's a chance the Broncos boast both.
Denver's defense ranks second in EPA per play entering Week 14 (-0.13), as well as EPA per pass (-0.16), and success rate allowed (38.7%). It's the only unit in the top two by all three metrics. The defense also ranks third in sack rate (8.7%) amid a brilliant season overall.
As for the passer, rookie Bo Nix has been turning around a rough start with 12 touchdowns and three interceptions over the last six weeks. That includes a difficult night against the Cleveland Browns in which his team still scored 41 points.
With its NFL playoffs odds trending in the right direction, Sean Payton's team could be dangerous in the right postseason matchup. I don't mind taking a chance at these long-shot odds just in case.
Best odds: +5000 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 1.96%
Super Bowl 2025 info
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 9
- Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
- Favorite: Detroit Lions (+275 via Caesars)
- TV: FOX, Fubo (streaming)
- Halftime show: Kendrick Lamar
- Anthem: John Batiste
Vegas Super Bowl odds
Vegas Super Bowl odds from Circa Sports.
| Team | Odds (Circa) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | +280 | 26.32% | $28 |
| Chiefs | +440 | 18.52% | $44 |
| Bills | +450 | 18.18% | $45 |
| Eagles | +550 | 15.38% | $55 |
| Ravens | +975 | 9.30% | $98 |
| Packers | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Steelers | +1900 | 5.00% | $190 |
| Vikings | +1900 | 5.00% | $190 |
| Chargers | +3100 | 3.13% | $310 |
| Broncos | +4200 | 2.33% | $420 |
The field became even tighter at Circa Sportsbook after Week 13, with the Bills and Eagles gaining ground on the title-favorite Lions and reigning champion Chiefs.
The Ravens round out the top five with shorter than 10/1 odds, while the Packers, Steelers, and Vikings loom right behind them as dark-horse title-contenders.
There's a sharp dropoff behind that group before a pair of AFC West hopefuls in the Chargers and Broncos, who face off once more in Week 16.
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Super Bowl point spread
We're still awaiting the point spread for Super Bowl 2025. Though if history is an indication, it'll likely open at shorter than a field goal.
Dating back to 2011, 10 of the last 14 matchups have featured a point spread of 3 points or shorter. That includes the last two seasons, when the Kansas City Chiefs won as short underdogs against the Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) and San Francisco 49ers (-2.5).
The last time the Super Bowl point spread exceeded a touchdown was 2008, when the undefeated New England Patriots were 12-point favorites to beat the New York Giants. That famously didn't end well for the Patriots, who suffered a 17-14 defeat.
Overall, favorites have posted a 29-24-2 record against the spread (54.7%) while winning 37 of 57 matchups straight up (64.9%). That doesn't include the 2015 Super Bowl, when the Patriots beat the Seattle Seahawks in a pick 'em.
Super Bowl moneyline odds
Updated Super Bowl moneyline odds via DraftKings.
| AFC | NFC |
|---|---|
| -115 | -115 |
While we still don't know the teams involved, you can already bet on the Super Bowl 2025 moneyline odds based on which conference will win it.
The AFC has won two straight thanks to the Chiefs' dominant run, which extended a 7-3 stretch for the conference over the last 10 years. Three of the five favorites to win this year's Super Bowl hail from the AFC.
The NFC had won four of five Super Bowls before that span. The NFC champion has also entered the Big Game as the outright favorite in three straight years, so don't be surprised if the pendulum swings in that direction before long.
The AFC and NFC have each won 29 games straight up while posting an identical 28-28-2 record against the spread across the 58-year history of the Super Bowl.
Super Bowl O/U total
Once again, we'll likely need to wait until closer to the matchup being determined to bet on the Super Bowl total, which has been trending higher and higher in recent years.
Five of the last eight Super Bowls have featured a betting total of at least 50 points, which had only happened nine times in the previous 50 years. Last year's total of 46.5 was the lowest since 2016, though the Over cashed by 0.5 points after the Chiefs scored the go-ahead touchdown in overtime.
That marked the second straight time the Over hit during the Super Bowl, which ended a successful four-year run for Under bettors. The Over has cashed 29 times compared to 28 wins for the Under throughout Super Bowl history.
Super Bowl preseason odds for all 32 teams
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +500 | +550 | +500 | +575 | +550 |
| 49ers | +600 | +600 | +600 | +625 | +550 |
| Ravens | +1000 | +1100 | +1000 | +900 | +900 |
| Lions | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 | +1200 |
| Bengals | +1300 | +1500 | +1300 | +1300 | +1200 |
| Eagles | +1400 | +1300 | +1200 | +1300 | +1400 |
| Bills | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 | +1700 | +1200 |
| Texans | +1600 | +1500 | +1600 | +1300 | +1600 |
| Packers | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 |
| Jets | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1700 | +1800 |
| Cowboys | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Dolphins | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Rams | +3000 | +3000 | +3000 | +2500 | +3000 |
| Falcons | +3000 | +2600 | +3000 | +2800 | +2500 |
| Bears | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3000 |
| Browns | +4000 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Chargers | +4500 | +4000 | +4000 | +3500 | +3500 |
| Steelers | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | +4500 | +4000 |
| Jaguars | +5000 | +4500 | +5000 | +4500 | +4500 |
| Seahawks | +6500 | +5500 | +6600 | +8000 | +6600 |
| Colts | +7500 | +5500 | +8000 | +6000 | +6000 |
| Buccaneers | +8000 | +6500 | +8000 | +9000 | +6600 |
| Vikings | +8000 | +8000 | +10000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Cardinals | +10000 | +8000 | +12500 | +12500 | +10000 |
| Saints | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +8000 |
| Raiders | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 | +6000 | +8000 |
| Commanders | +12000 | +12000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Titans | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Giants | +20000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +10000 |
| Broncos | +20000 | +25000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Panthers | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 | +25000 |
| Patriots | +35000 | +30000 | +30000 | +27500 | +15000 |
Super Bowl odds history
| Year | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2023 | Chiefs | +900 |
| 2022 | Rams | +1200 |
| 2021 | Buccaneers | +1000 |
| 2020 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2019 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2018 | Eagles | +4000 |
| 2017 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2016 | Broncos | +900 |
| 2015 | Patriots | +650 |
Super Bowl wins and appearances by team
| Team | Appearances | Wins |
|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 11 | 6 |
| Steelers | 8 | 6 |
| 49ers | 8 | 5 |
| Cowboys | 8 | 5 |
| Broncos | 8 | 3 |
| Chiefs | 6 | 4 |
| Giants | 5 | 4 |
| Packers | 5 | 4 |
| Commanders | 5 | 3 |
| Raiders | 5 | 3 |
How to bet on the Super Bowl
Betting into the Super Bowl market is one of the most popular but challenging things to do successfully as a sports bettor. You have to carefully consider a mix between a team's viability in the regular season and its aptitude for the postseason.
First, you need to consider a team's ability to make the playoffs, which feature seven teams in each conference with a first-round bye for the No. 1 seed. That last part is key - the top seed in each conference routinely reaches (and wins) the Super Bowl, so betting on an elite regular-season team is a solid way to succeed in this market.
That said, a team's postseason success tends to be highly correlated to quarterback play, coaching, and elite defense. That's been the formula for decades, and while a top-flight defense is perhaps the least important of those three, there are only so many franchise quarterbacks and championship-level coaches around.
That's why the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, have won two straight Super Bowls and three of the last five. It's also why most Super Bowl winners tend to enter the season with odds shorter than 10/1, as the teams with those key elements in place are the ones you can expect to survive through February.
How to read Super Bowl odds
A crucial step to betting on the Super Bowl is understanding how the odds work. Put simply, American odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 wager - or, in some cases, how much money you would need to wager to return $100.
Let's refer to an example. The Kansas City Chiefs opened with +750 odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl. That means a $100 bet at those odds would return $750 in profit, or a $10 bet would return $75 in profit. You could even bet $1 for a $7.50 return if Kansas City does indeed win its third consecutive championship this February.
A team like the Houston Texans, which opened at +2500 odds, would return a whopping $2,500 in profit if they win their first Super Bowl. Of course, those odds suggest they are much less likely to do so, as those +2500 odds represent an implied probability of just 3.85% according to our odds converter.
As we get closer to the Big Game, you may see a team dealing at "negative" odds. For example, the San Francisco 49ers were priced at -125 ahead of Super Bowl 58, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100, or $12.50 to win $10.
You'll want to be careful staking too much on bets with minus odds, as what can seem like a "sure thing" is always vulnerable to the chaos and unpredictability of sports.
Super Bowl FAQs
Who is predicted to win the Super Bowl?
The Detroit Lions are the 2025 Super Bowl favorites with +300 odds, which implies a 25% chance they'll win their first Super Bowl according to our odds converter.
What will be the Super Bowl matchup?
The Super Bowl matchup isn't yet decided and won't be until after the AFC and NFC championship games. The Kansas City Chiefs (11-1) lead the AFC and the Detroit Lions (11-1) lead the NFC through Week 13.
FanDuel's Super Bowl exact result odds list Lions vs. Bills (+650) as the most likely Super Bowl matchup with an implied win probability of 13.33%.
Who won the Super Bowl last year?
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 58, defeating the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller to win their second straight Lombardi Trophy.
When is the 2025 Super Bowl?
Super Bowl 59 will be played on Feb. 9, 2025 with kickoff set for 6:30 p.m. ET.
Where is the 2025 Super Bowl?
The 2025 Super Bowl will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
How to watch Super Bowl 2025
FOX will broadcast Super Bowl 59 nationally on Feb. 9, 2025. While kickoff is yet to be announced, it will likely take place around 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who will perform the Super Bowl 2025 halftime show?
Grammy Award-winning artist Kendrick Lamar will perform at the 2025 Super Bowl halftime show. He previously performed in the 2022 Super Bowl halftime show.
Who will sing the Super Bowl national anthem?
R&B artist John Batiste will sing the 2025 Super Bowl national anthem.
Who has the most Super Bowl wins?
The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have won six Super Bowls, tied for the most.
Who has the most Super Bowl appearances?
The New England Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl 11 times, the most of any team.
When was the first Super Bowl?
The first Super Bowl occurred in 1967 after the NFL and AFL merged.
Which team won the first Super Bowl?
The Green Bay Packers won Super Bowl I, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-10.
How many teams haven't won the Super Bowl?
Twelve teams have never won the Super Bowl. That list includes:
- Arizona Cardinals
- Atlanta Falcons
- Buffalo Bills
- Carolina Panthers
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Cleveland Browns
- Detroit Lions
- Houston Texans
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Minnesota Vikings
- Tennessee Titans
Super Bowl betting odds pages
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