Super Bowl Odds 2025: Chiefs Fend Off Lions as SB59 Favorites as Trades Swirl
Another week has come and gone without change at the top of the 2025 Super Bowl odds in Las Vegas and across our best Super Bowl betting sites. The Kansas City Chiefs used an overtime score to improve to 8-0 and remain the consensus Super Bowl 59 betting favorites entering the season's second half.
The reigning champs are still the team to beat with trades coming hot and heavy ahead of today's deadline.
The Detroit Lions' Super Bowl odds shortened to become the second favorites across our best NFL betting sites after a 24-14 road win over the Green Bay Packers in subpar outdoor conditions at Lambeau Field - passing another test en route to a hopeful trip back to the NFC Championship game. They added pass rusher Za'Darius Smith ahead of the NFL trade deadline.
They were already atop C Jackson Cowart's NFL Week 10 power rankings.
The Baltimore Ravens are also looking to avenge last year's AFC Championship loss, and they got right on Sunday with a dominant 41-10 win over the Denver Broncos led by the NFL MVP odds favorite Lamar Jackson.
Here's a look at the latest 2025 Super Bowl odds and favorites as we look ahead to NFL Week 10 predictions.
Super Bowl odds 2025
Super Bowl odds from our best sports betting sites; last updated Nov. 5 and subject to change.
Super Bowl favorites
Team | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | +400 | 20% | $49 |
Lions | +500 | 16.67% | $50 |
Ravens | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
Bills | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
49ers | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
Eagles | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
Vikings | +1800 | 5.26% | $180 |
Packers | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
Texans | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
- Chiefs (+400): Kansas City beat the injury-ravaged Buccaneers in overtime on Monday to shorten its odds once again
- Lions (+500): Detroit took care of business at Green Bay to remain atop the NFC standings at 7-1 at the midpoint of the NFL regular season and Smith helps replace Aidan Hutchinson on defense
- Ravens (+650): Baltimore blew out the Broncos and then (finally) added some secondary help by acquiring veteran corner Tre'Davious White from the Rams
- Vikings (+1800): Minnesota used a comfortable Sunday Night Football win to rise back up the board after two-game slump
Super Bowl contenders
Team | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|---|
Commanders | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
Falcons | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
Steelers | +2800 | 3.45% | $280 |
Bengals | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
Chargers | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
Rams | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
Jets | +6600 | 1.49% | $660 |
Cardinals | +6600 | 1.49% | $660 |
- Commanders (+2200): Washington added star cornerback Marshon Lattimore while already atop the NFC East at 7-2
- Falcons (+2500): Atlanta has now won five of its last six games after a 27-21 win over the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday
- Steelers (+2800): The AFC North-leading Steelers acquired veteran receiver Mike Williams coming out of a bye and into the second half
- Bengals (+4000): Cincinnati's odds briefly shortened Sunday night before rising again by Monday morning ahead of a must-win game on Thursday, according to QB Joe Burrow; Cincinnati added veteran running back Khalil Herbert to help replace Zack Moss
Super Bowl long shots
Team | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|---|
Seahawks | +8000 | 1.23% | $800 |
Buccaneers | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
Bears | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
Cowboys | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
Broncos | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
Colts | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
Dolphins | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
Saints | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
Jaguars | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
Browns | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
Giants | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
Panthers | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
Patriots | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
Raiders | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
Titans | +100000 | 0.10% | $10,000 |
- Seahawks (+8000): Time is running out for Seattle after another division loss dropped Mike Macdonald's group to 4-5 ahead of a bye week
- Cowboys (+15000): A miserable season was made even worse Sunday with another loss and an injury to Dak Prescott (hamstring) who'll miss several weeks
- Saints (+50000): New Orleans became the second team to make a head coaching change this season when firing Dennis Allen following a seventh straight loss
2025 Super Bowl favorites
Chiefs (+400)
There's a reason I highlighted the Chiefs in my preseason Super Bowl predictions and have continued to express faith in their title outlook all season long: they have so many ways to win.
Kansas City ranks eighth in point differential (+56) through nine weeks, but it still hasn't lost a game in its last 13 tries (including the postseason) and looks to have a stranglehold on the AFC West and potentially the No. 1 seed in the AFC.
It's easy to be disenchanted by the Chiefs' uneven start, but they still look better than they did last season. And we know how that turned out.
You won't win kudos from your friends for betting on Kansas City, but you're still more likely to cash your bet on this group than any other in the NFL. We've seen that ring true each of the last two seasons with a similar cast of characters.
This group isn't as healthy as the last two, especially on offense, but I trust Mahomes to find his safety valve in the postseason and ride that to victory. That's especially true now that the Chiefs added DeAndre Hopkins to an injury-riddled receiving corps.
If they win a third straight Super Bowl, a $10 bet at FanDuel would return a $41 profit.
Best odds: +410 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 19.61%
Lions (+500)
Detroit just keeps stacking statement wins after another critical victory Sunday to keep the Packers at bay in the highly competitive NFC North.
After last week's 52-14 blowout win over the Tennessee Titans, the Lions relied on their defense to power them in the first half before Jared Goff and Co. took over after halftime even in subpar weather conditions in Wisconsin.
At this point, it's hard to argue with the results for Dan Campbell's group, which has proven it can win any type of game against any type of opponent.
We already know the Lions will be contenders in the messy NFC field, and a $10 bet right now at bet365 would return a $60 profit if they finish the job.
Best odds: +600 via bet365 | Implied probability: 14.29%
Ravens (+650)
Last week, I said I wasn't too worried about the Ravens even after a surprising loss to the division rival Browns.
Sure enough, they responded in a big way this week with a 31-point win over the Broncos that doubled as another platform for Jackson to assert his MVP bona fides after winning the award last year.
This team is firing on all cylinders right now, and the defense looked much improved after a few weeks of chaos and confusion for first-time coordinator Zach Orr's group.
If Jackson can lead this team to its first title in over a decade, a $10 bet at FanDuel would result in a $75 profit.
Best odds: +750 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 11.76%
My Super Bowl pick to watch
Falcons (+2500)
I've highlighted Atlanta plenty of times already this season, and our best sportsbooks continue to price the Dirty Birds as a relative afterthought even as they lead the NFC South at the halfway point of the season.
Sure, the Falcons don't grade out tremendously well by advanced metrics. But this group has all the pieces on paper to build on this 6-3 start after yet another win over the Cowboys - this team's fifth victory over the past six weeks.
At this rate, Atlanta is setting itself up to host a playoff game in January, but it still sits outside the top six in title odds in the NFC.
I've been a believer in the roster talent for the Falcons since before this season began, and I like what I've seen over the first half of the season.
If Raheem Morris can lead this group to a title in Year 1, a $10 bet at Caesars would return a $250 profit in February.
Best odds: +2500 via Caesars | Implied probability: 3.85%
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Vegas Super Bowl odds
Vegas Super Bowl odds from Circa Sports.
Team | Odds (Circa) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | +390 | 20.41% | $39 |
Lions | +550 | 15.38% | $55 |
Ravens | +600 | 14.29% | $60 |
Bills | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
49ers | +875 | 10.26% | $87.50 |
Packers | +1350 | 6.90% | $135 |
Eagles | +1500 | 6.25% | $150 |
Texans | +1700 | 5.56% | $170 |
Vikings | +1700 | 5.56% | $170 |
The best sportsbooks in Las Vegas have the same consensus view as the rest of the market: it's Kansas City and then everyone else.
Only nine teams feature betting odds shorter than 20/1 at Circa Sports, and none have better odds than the two-time Super Bowl champions.
The Lions jumped into the second spot after last week's 52-14 statement win over the Titans. They're dealing just ahead of the Ravens, who also lost in last year's conference championship round like Detroit.
AFC championship odds
The Chiefs are still the team to beat in the AFC after an undefeated start. The Ravens are right behind them while the Bills loom amid their own win streak.
(AFC Conference odds via BetMGM)
Team | Odds |
---|---|
Chiefs | +185 |
Ravens | +300 |
Bills | +375 |
Texans | +1000 |
Steelers | +1400 |
Bengals | +2000 |
Chargers | +2000 |
Jets | +3300 |
Broncos | +6600 |
Colts | +6600 |
Dolphins | +8000 |
Jaguars | +30000 |
Browns | +50000 |
Raiders | +50000 |
Patriots | +50000 |
Titans | +50000 |
NFC championship odds
The NFC feels wide open after the first two months of the season.
The 49ers are no longer the favorites with a below .500 record. The conference seems like it will go through the NFC North with the Lions looking like the best team in football and the Vikings having corrected from a two-game slide.
(NFC Conference odds via BetMGM)
Team | Odds |
---|---|
Lions | +220 |
49ers | +450 |
Eagles | +600 |
Vikings | +900 |
Packers | +1000 |
Commanders | +1100 |
Falcons | +1200 |
Rams | +2500 |
Cardinals | +2800 |
Seahawks | +4000 |
Bears | +5000 |
Buccaneers | +5000 |
Cowboys | +8000 |
Saints | +30000 |
Panthers | +50000 |
Giants | +50000 |
How to bet on the Super Bowl
Betting into the Super Bowl market is one of the most popular but challenging things to do successfully as a sports bettor. You have to carefully consider a mix between a team's viability in the regular season and its aptitude for the postseason.
First, you need to consider a team's ability to make the playoffs, which feature seven teams in each conference with a first-round bye for the No. 1 seed. That last part is key - the top seed in each conference routinely reaches (and wins) the Super Bowl, so betting on an elite regular-season team is a solid way to succeed in this market.
That said, a team's postseason success tends to be highly correlated to quarterback play, coaching, and elite defense. That's been the formula for decades, and while a top-flight defense is perhaps the least important of those three, there are only so many franchise quarterbacks and championship-level coaches around.
That's why the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, have won two straight Super Bowls and three of the last five. It's also why most Super Bowl winners tend to enter the season with odds shorter than 10/1, as the teams with those key elements in place are the ones you can expect to survive through February.
How to read Super Bowl odds
A crucial step to betting on the Super Bowl is understanding how the odds work. Put simply, American odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 wager - or, in some cases, how much money you would need to wager to return $100.
Let's refer to an example. The Kansas City Chiefs opened with +750 odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl. That means a $100 bet at those odds would return $750 in profit, or a $10 bet would return $75 in profit. You could even bet $1 for a $7.50 return if Kansas City does indeed win its third consecutive championship this February.
A team like the Houston Texans, which opened at +2500 odds, would return a whopping $2,500 in profit if they win their first Super Bowl. Of course, those odds suggest they are much less likely to do so, as those +2500 odds represent an implied probability of just 3.85% according to our odds converter.
As we get closer to the Big Game, you may see a team dealing at "negative" odds. For example, the San Francisco 49ers were priced at -125 ahead of Super Bowl 58, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100, or $12.50 to win $10.
You'll want to be careful staking too much on bets with minus odds, as what can seem like a "sure thing" is always vulnerable to the chaos and unpredictability of sports.
Super Bowl preseason odds for all 32 teams
Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | +500 | +550 | +500 | +575 | +550 |
49ers | +600 | +600 | +600 | +625 | +550 |
Ravens | +1000 | +1100 | +1000 | +900 | +900 |
Lions | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 | +1200 |
Bengals | +1300 | +1500 | +1300 | +1300 | +1200 |
Eagles | +1400 | +1300 | +1200 | +1300 | +1400 |
Bills | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 | +1700 | +1200 |
Texans | +1600 | +1500 | +1600 | +1300 | +1600 |
Packers | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 |
Jets | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1700 | +1800 |
Cowboys | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 |
Dolphins | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
Rams | +3000 | +3000 | +3000 | +2500 | +3000 |
Falcons | +3000 | +2600 | +3000 | +2800 | +2500 |
Bears | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3000 |
Browns | +4000 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
Chargers | +4500 | +4000 | +4000 | +3500 | +3500 |
Steelers | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | +4500 | +4000 |
Jaguars | +5000 | +4500 | +5000 | +4500 | +4500 |
Seahawks | +6500 | +5500 | +6600 | +8000 | +6600 |
Colts | +7500 | +5500 | +8000 | +6000 | +6000 |
Buccaneers | +8000 | +6500 | +8000 | +9000 | +6600 |
Vikings | +8000 | +8000 | +10000 | +8000 | +8000 |
Cardinals | +10000 | +8000 | +12500 | +12500 | +10000 |
Saints | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +8000 |
Raiders | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 | +6000 | +8000 |
Commanders | +12000 | +12000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
Titans | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
Giants | +20000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +10000 |
Broncos | +20000 | +25000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
Panthers | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 | +25000 |
Patriots | +35000 | +30000 | +30000 | +27500 | +15000 |
Past Super Bowl winners
Year | Team | Preseason odds |
---|---|---|
2024 | Chiefs | +600 |
2023 | Chiefs | +900 |
2022 | Rams | +1200 |
2021 | Buccaneers | +1000 |
2020 | Chiefs | +600 |
2019 | Patriots | +600 |
2018 | Eagles | +4000 |
2017 | Patriots | +600 |
2016 | Broncos | +900 |
2015 | Patriots | +650 |
Super Bowl wins and appearances by team
Team | Appearances | Wins |
---|---|---|
Patriots | 11 | 6 |
Steelers | 8 | 6 |
49ers | 8 | 5 |
Cowboys | 8 | 5 |
Broncos | 8 | 3 |
Chiefs | 6 | 4 |
Giants | 5 | 4 |
Packers | 5 | 4 |
Commanders | 5 | 3 |
Raiders | 5 | 3 |
Super Bowl FAQs
Who is the Super Bowl favorite?
The Kansas City Chiefs are the 2025 Super Bowl favorites with odds of +400, which imply a 20% chance they hoist a third straight Lombardi Trophy.
Who won the Super Bowl last year?
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 58, defeating the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller to win their second straight Lombardi Trophy.
When will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
Super Bowl 59 will be played on Feb. 9, 2025.
Where will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
The 2025 Super Bowl will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
How to watch Super Bowl 2025
FOX will broadcast Super Bowl 59 nationally on Feb. 9, 2025. While kickoff is yet to be announced, it will likely take place around 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who has the most Super Bowl wins?
The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have won six Super Bowls, tied for the most.
Who has the most Super Bowl appearances?
The New England Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl 11 times, the most of any team.
When was the first Super Bowl?
The first Super Bowl occurred in 1967 after the NFL and AFL merged.
Which team won the first Super Bowl?
The Green Bay Packers won Super Bowl I, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-10.
How many teams haven't won the Super Bowl?
Twelve teams have never won the Super Bowl. That list includes:
- Arizona Cardinals
- Atlanta Falcons
- Buffalo Bills
- Carolina Panthers
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Cleveland Browns
- Detroit Lions
- Houston Texans
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Minnesota Vikings
- Tennessee Titans
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