2025 Super Bowl Odds: Bills, Eagles Among Favorites After Statement Wins in Week 13
The Detroit Lions remain the favorites by the 2025 Super Bowl odds, but the Buffalo Bills and Philadelphia Eagles are surging in Las Vegas and elsewhere after big wins in Week 13.
The Eagles secured a 24-19 victory over the Baltimore Ravens in one of the best statement wins by any team this season. Then, hours later, the Buffalo Bills blew out the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday Night Football.
Those two wins bumped the Bills and Eagles into a tie with, or even ahead of, the Kansas City Chiefs across our best Super Bowl betting sites in the closest race this season by the Super Bowl odds.
Super Bowl odds 2025
Live updated Super Bowl odds from our best Super Bowl betting sites after Week 13.
- The Lions have won 10 straight after a Thanksgiving victory over the Bears, who gave their division rivals their biggest scare in weeks
- The Bills blew out the 49ers on Sunday Night Football to remind everyone why Josh Allen is the NFL MVP odds favorite
- The Eagles proved their worth as a top-tier title contender with a gutsy win in Baltimore to keep pace with the Lions in the NFC
- The Chiefs pulled out their ninth one-score victory in 11 wins with another nail-biting victory over the rival Raiders on Black Friday
- The Ravens don't look like a legit title contender right now amid issues in all three phases, but there's still time for last year's top seed in the AFC
2025 Super Bowl odds favorites
Super Bowl odds courtesy of our best NFL betting sites.
Lions (+300)
The Lions hung on to beat the rival Bears 23-20 on Thanksgiving and shortened their Super Bowl odds from a previous high of +300 to begin the week - though the market has settled back at that mark after the Eagles' and Bills' impressive wins on Sunday.
Detroit will play the Packers in Week 14 as favorites by the Thursday Night Football odds and then host the Bills in Week 15. These odds may lengthen by the end of the regular season with little risk of them shortening.
Best odds: +300 via BetRivers | Implied probability: 25%
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Bills (+500)
After that big win by the Eagles, the Bills were sitting at fourth across the board. A few hours later, only the Lions had shorter odds.
That's what happens when you blow out the defending NFC champions in prime time - in the snow, no less - behind another strong showing from QB Josh Allen, who added three more touchdowns to his MVP resume.
I broke down the Bills' Super Bowl odds in great detail as part of my feature story on Buffalo earlier this month. In short, this team is legit with weapons abound, especially with Allen playing the way he is right now.
The Bills' odds dramatically tightened on Sunday night, though a winning $10 bet at bet365 would still return a $50 profit.
Best odds: +500 via bet365 | Implied probability: 16.67%
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Eagles (+550)
If you didn't believe in the Eagles entering this week, it's hard to doubt them now after an impressive win against the host Ravens in a game that had a playoff feel from the opening kickoff.
Saquon Barkley, who is charging up the NFL MVP odds after Week 13, broke 100 yards rushing for the sixth time in the last seven weeks to help Philly extend its win streak to eight games.
Most of our best sports betting apps have Philly second or just behind the Bills in a tie with the Chiefs. That's incredible respect from the market after Kansas City's reign in the market earlier this year ... and these odds could be shorter within days.
Best odds: +550 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 15.38%
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Chiefs (+550)
I've sung the praises of the Chiefs all season long dating back to my preseason Super Bowl predictions, even as they continue to stack one-possession victories and comeback wins en route to an 11-1 start.
We saw another this week against the lowly Raiders, which shouldn't surprise anyone. It's been the same script time and time again, and while this team should probably have more than one loss, it's still held on nearly every time despite not playing to its full potential.
This team is sleepwalking its way through the regular season, and I fully expect Kansas City to flip the switch in January - even if the market is losing faith with each passing week.
If that happens once again, a $10 bet at FanDuel would return a $55 profit.
Best odds: +550 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 15.38%
Ravens (+1200)
Oh, what a difference a few weeks make. After pushing the Lions and Chiefs as the outright favorite to win it all, Baltimore has lost two of its last three and looks like a shell of the team that posted the NFL's best record last season.
We saw the offense sputter on Sunday against the Eagles, though the biggest concern might be the continued freefall of kicker Justin Tucker, who missed multiple field goals and an extra point for a team currently spiraling.
If Baltimore can right the ship before the postseason, a $10 bet at DraftKings would return a $120 profit in February.
Best odds: +1200 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 7.69%
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2025 Super Bowl odds contenders
Packers (+1400)
Green Bay recorded one of its most impressive victories to date, beating the Miami Dolphins 30-17 in Thursday's night game at Lambeau Field behind another strong showing from QB Jordan Love (274 yards, two touchdowns).
It fels like everything is coming together at the right time for the Packers, though they'll still likely need to win on the road in the postseason barring a late-season collapse from the Lions.
If they can make a deep run and win it all, FanDuel would turn a $10 bet into a $140 profit.
Best odds: +1400 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 6.67%
Vikings (+2000)
I highlighted the Vikings as my "team to watch" entering last week before their uninspiring win against the Bears. And they nearly lost this week to the Arizona Cardinals in a thrilling 23-22 victory.
I still believe in this group, especially with Kevin O'Connell and Brian Flores calling the plays, and star receivers Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison dazzling offensively to complement one of the NFL's best defenses.
You won't find better value than these +2000 odds via BetMGM, which would turn a $10 bet into a $200 profit if Minnesota wins it all.
Best odds: +2000 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 4.76%
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My Super Bowl odds contender to watch
Chargers (+3500)
Two weeks ago, the Chargers were all the rage after showcasing the exact formula that so many would covet in the postseason: an elite quarterback, a decorated head coach, and a defense and run game built to win in January and February.
Then they lost a physical battle with the Ravens - who are still an elite team when they're clicking - and responded with a 17-13 win over the Atlanta Falcons behind five takeaways. And now they're returning nearly 50% more of a profit on a winning Super Bowl ticket?
It doesn't really add up to me, especially since the latest NFL playoff predictions give Los Angeles a 94% chance of making the big dance. If Justin Herbert and John Harbaugh can turn that invite into a four-game win streak, DraftKings will turn a $10 bet into a $350 profit.
Best odds: +3500 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 2.78%
My best 2025 Super Bowl odds long shot
Broncos (+6000)
To make a deep run in the playoffs as a long shot, you typically need a special unit or a quarterback on an absolute heater. There's a chance the Broncos have both.
Entering this week, Denver's defense ranked third in EPA/play (-0.13) behind only the Lions and Vikings, two Super Bowl favorites featuring ridiculous defensive performances. Those units rely more heavily on takeaways, while Denver is the only one ranked in the top three in EPA/pass (-0.18) and success rate (38.6%).
As for the passer, rookie Bo Nix has turned around a rough start with 11 touchdowns and one interception over the last five weeks - averaging 260.4 passing yards on a nearly 70% completion rate entering tonight's test against the Cleveland Browns.
That'll be a tall task for the Broncos, who are Monday Night Football odds favorites at home to beat the Browns. If they do, their postseason odds jump to 76%, according to NFL.com. And if Sean Payton's team gets to the playoffs? Never say never.
Best odds: +6000 via Caesars | Implied probability: 1.64%
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Super Bowl 2025 info
- Date: Sunday, Feb. 9
- Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
- Favorite: Detroit Lions (+275 via Caesars)
- TV: FOX, Fubo (streaming)
- Halftime show: Kendrick Lamar
- Anthem: John Batiste
Vegas Super Bowl odds
Vegas Super Bowl odds from Circa Sports.
| Team | Odds (Circa) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | +280 | 26.32% | $28 |
| Chiefs | +390 | 20.41% | $39 |
| Bills | +560 | 15.15% | $56 |
| Ravens | +600 | 14.29% | $60 |
| Eagles | +680 | 12.82% | $68 |
| Packers | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Vikings | +1900 | 5.00% | $190 |
| Chargers | +3200 | 3.03% | $320 |
| Steelers | +3200 | 3.03% | $320 |
| Texans | +4200 | 2.33% | $420 |
We're still awaiting the latest Super Bowl odds from Circa Sportsbook, but we saw the biggest shake-up yet last week following an eventful Week 12.
The Lions remained the Super Bowl favorites ahead of the Chiefs and Bills, while the Ravens and Eagles rounded out the top five - nothing new there. But the 49ers fell off a cliff after a significant loss to the Packers, who moved to +1600 to win it all.
The Texans also fell quite a bit after a stunning loss to the Titans, while the Chargers and Steelers each took a step back following their own losses to AFC foes.
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Super Bowl point spread
We're still awaiting the point spread for Super Bowl 2025, though if history is an indication, it'll likely open at shorter than a field goal.
Dating back to 2011, 10 of the last 14 matchups have featured a point spread of 3 points or shorter. That includes the last two seasons, when the Kansas City Chiefs won as short underdogs against the Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5) and San Francisco 49ers (-2.5).
The last time the Super Bowl point spread exceeded a touchdown was 2008, when the undefeated New England Patriots were 12-point favorites to beat the New York Giants. That famously didn't end well for the Patriots, who suffered a 17-14 defeat.
Overall, favorites have posted a 29-24-2 record against the spread (54.7%) while winning 37 of 57 matchups straight up (64.9%). That doesn't include the 2015 Super Bowl, which saw the Patriots beat the Seattle Seahawks in a pick 'em.
Super Bowl moneyline odds
Updated Super Bowl moneyline odds via DraftKings.
| AFC | NFC |
|---|---|
| -115 | -115 |
While we still don't know the teams involved, you can already bet on the Super Bowl 2025 moneyline odds based on which conference will win it.
The AFC has won two straight thanks to the Kansas City Chiefs' dominant run, which extended a 7-3 run for the conference over the last 10 years. Three of the five favorites to win this year's Super Bowl hail from the AFC.
The NFC had won four of five Super Bowls before that stretch. The NFC champion has also entered the Big Game as the outright favorite in three straight years, so don't be surprised if the pendulum swings in that direction before long.
Across the 58-year history of the Super Bowl, the AFC and NFC have each won 29 games straight up while posting an identical 28-28-2 record against the spread.
Super Bowl O/U total
Once again, we'll likely have to wait until closer to the matchup being determined to bet on the Super Bowl total, which has been trending higher and higher in recent years.
Five of the last eight Super Bowls have featured a betting total of at least 50 points, which had only happened nine times in the previous 50 years. Last year's total of 46.5 was the lowest since 2016, though the Over cashed by 0.5 points after the Chiefs scored the go-ahead touchdown in overtime.
That marked the second straight time that the Over cashed in the Super Bowl, which ended a successful four-year run for Under bettors. Across the entire history of the Big Game, the Over has cashed 29 times compared to 28 wins for the Under.
Super Bowl preseason odds for all 32 teams
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +500 | +550 | +500 | +575 | +550 |
| 49ers | +600 | +600 | +600 | +625 | +550 |
| Ravens | +1000 | +1100 | +1000 | +900 | +900 |
| Lions | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 | +1200 |
| Bengals | +1300 | +1500 | +1300 | +1300 | +1200 |
| Eagles | +1400 | +1300 | +1200 | +1300 | +1400 |
| Bills | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 | +1700 | +1200 |
| Texans | +1600 | +1500 | +1600 | +1300 | +1600 |
| Packers | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 |
| Jets | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1700 | +1800 |
| Cowboys | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Dolphins | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Rams | +3000 | +3000 | +3000 | +2500 | +3000 |
| Falcons | +3000 | +2600 | +3000 | +2800 | +2500 |
| Bears | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3000 |
| Browns | +4000 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Chargers | +4500 | +4000 | +4000 | +3500 | +3500 |
| Steelers | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | +4500 | +4000 |
| Jaguars | +5000 | +4500 | +5000 | +4500 | +4500 |
| Seahawks | +6500 | +5500 | +6600 | +8000 | +6600 |
| Colts | +7500 | +5500 | +8000 | +6000 | +6000 |
| Buccaneers | +8000 | +6500 | +8000 | +9000 | +6600 |
| Vikings | +8000 | +8000 | +10000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Cardinals | +10000 | +8000 | +12500 | +12500 | +10000 |
| Saints | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +8000 |
| Raiders | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 | +6000 | +8000 |
| Commanders | +12000 | +12000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Titans | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Giants | +20000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +10000 |
| Broncos | +20000 | +25000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Panthers | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 | +25000 |
| Patriots | +35000 | +30000 | +30000 | +27500 | +15000 |
Super Bowl odds history
| Year | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2023 | Chiefs | +900 |
| 2022 | Rams | +1200 |
| 2021 | Buccaneers | +1000 |
| 2020 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2019 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2018 | Eagles | +4000 |
| 2017 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2016 | Broncos | +900 |
| 2015 | Patriots | +650 |
Super Bowl wins and appearances by team
| Team | Appearances | Wins |
|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 11 | 6 |
| Steelers | 8 | 6 |
| 49ers | 8 | 5 |
| Cowboys | 8 | 5 |
| Broncos | 8 | 3 |
| Chiefs | 6 | 4 |
| Giants | 5 | 4 |
| Packers | 5 | 4 |
| Commanders | 5 | 3 |
| Raiders | 5 | 3 |
How to bet on the Super Bowl
Betting into the Super Bowl market is one of the most popular but challenging things to do successfully as a sports bettor. You have to carefully consider a mix between a team's viability in the regular season and its aptitude for the postseason.
First, you need to consider a team's ability to make the playoffs, which feature seven teams in each conference with a first-round bye for the No. 1 seed. That last part is key - the top seed in each conference routinely reaches (and wins) the Super Bowl, so betting on an elite regular-season team is a solid way to succeed in this market.
That said, a team's postseason success tends to be highly correlated to quarterback play, coaching, and elite defense. That's been the formula for decades, and while a top-flight defense is perhaps the least important of those three, there are only so many franchise quarterbacks and championship-level coaches around.
That's why the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, have won two straight Super Bowls and three of the last five. It's also why most Super Bowl winners tend to enter the season with odds shorter than 10/1, as the teams with those key elements in place are the ones you can expect to survive through February.
How to read Super Bowl odds
A crucial step to betting on the Super Bowl is understanding how the odds work. Put simply, American odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 wager - or, in some cases, how much money you would need to wager to return $100.
Let's refer to an example. The Kansas City Chiefs opened with +750 odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl. That means a $100 bet at those odds would return $750 in profit, or a $10 bet would return $75 in profit. You could even bet $1 for a $7.50 return if Kansas City does indeed win its third consecutive championship this February.
A team like the Houston Texans, which opened at +2500 odds, would return a whopping $2,500 in profit if they win their first Super Bowl. Of course, those odds suggest they are much less likely to do so, as those +2500 odds represent an implied probability of just 3.85% according to our odds converter.
As we get closer to the Big Game, you may see a team dealing at "negative" odds. For example, the San Francisco 49ers were priced at -125 ahead of Super Bowl 58, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100, or $12.50 to win $10.
You'll want to be careful staking too much on bets with minus odds, as what can seem like a "sure thing" is always vulnerable to the chaos and unpredictability of sports.
Super Bowl FAQs
Who is predicted to win the Super Bowl?
The Detroit Lions are the 2025 Super Bowl favorites with +300 odds, which implies a 25% chance that they'll win their first Super Bowl according to our odds converter.
What will be the Super Bowl matchup?
The Super Bowl matchup isn't yet decided and won't be until after the AFC and NFC championship games. The Kansas City Chiefs lead the AFC and the Detroit Lions lead the NFC through Week 13.
FanDuel's Super Bowl exact result odds list Lions to beat Chiefs (+1300) as the most likely result with an implied win probability of 7.14%.
Who won the Super Bowl last year?
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 58, defeating the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller to win their second straight Lombardi Trophy.
When is the 2025 Super Bowl?
Super Bowl 59 will be played on Feb. 9, 2025 with kickoff set for 6:30 p.m. ET.
Where is the 2025 Super Bowl?
The 2025 Super Bowl will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
How to watch Super Bowl 2025
FOX will broadcast Super Bowl 59 nationally on Feb. 9, 2025. While kickoff is yet to be announced, it will likely take place around 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who will perform the Super Bowl 2025 halftime show?
Grammy Award-winning artist Kendrick Lamar will perform at the 2025 Super Bowl halftime show. He previously performed in the 2022 Super Bowl halftime show.
Who will sing the Super Bowl national anthem?
R&B artist John Batiste will sing the 2025 Super Bowl national anthem.
Who has the most Super Bowl wins?
The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have won six Super Bowls, tied for the most.
Who has the most Super Bowl appearances?
The New England Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl 11 times, the most of any team.
When was the first Super Bowl?
The first Super Bowl occurred in 1967 after the NFL and AFL merged.
Which team won the first Super Bowl?
The Green Bay Packers won Super Bowl I, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-10.
How many teams haven't won the Super Bowl?
Twelve teams have never won the Super Bowl. That list includes:
- Arizona Cardinals
- Atlanta Falcons
- Buffalo Bills
- Carolina Panthers
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Cleveland Browns
- Detroit Lions
- Houston Texans
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Minnesota Vikings
- Tennessee Titans
Super Bowl betting odds pages
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