Super Bowl Odds 2025: Chiefs Shorten as Favorites Heading Into Week 6
The Kansas City Chiefs remain the Super Bowl odds favorites following their Monday Night Football victory over the New Orleans Saints.
There was plenty of movement right below them based on Sunday's results around the league.
- The Chiefs (+475) are still the favorites across our best Super Bowl betting sites with a 5-0 record that has been far from perfect
- The Ravens (+750) took the second spot after surviving the Bengals (+3500) in a showdown between NFL MVP odds contenders
- The 49ers (+750) and Bills (+1100) both suffered losses Sunday but remain among the title favorites
- The Cowboys (+2200) sit just outside the top tier after winning as Sunday Night Football odds underdogs
Here's a look at the latest Super Bowl odds to help with your NFL predictions for Week 6:
Super Bowl odds 2025
Super Bowl odds from our best sports betting sites; last updated Oct. 8.
Favorites
| Team | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +475 | 17.39% | $47.50 |
| Ravens | +750 | 11.76% | $75 |
| 49ers | +750 | 11.76% | $75 |
| Lions | +1000 | 9.09% | $100 |
| Bills | +1100 | 8.33% | $110 |
| Texans | +1100 | 8.33% | $110 |
| Vikings | +1200 | 7.69% | $140 |
| Eagles | +1500 | 6.25% | $150 |
- Chiefs (+475): Kansas City is 5-0 with four wins decided in the final minute, but it doubled up the New Orleans Saints 26-13 on Monday Night Football; the Chiefs are on a bye in Week 6
- Ravens (+750): For the first time all season, Baltimore is in the second spot on the oddsboard after a thrilling 41-38 overtime win in Cincinnati
- 49ers (+750): San Francisco is below .500, and it's an open question whether star running back Christian McCaffrey returns anytime soon - if at all
- Bills (+1100): Buffalo's odds didn't move even after a 23-20 loss to the Texans (+1100) in another miserable showing for Josh Allen
- Texans (+1100): Houston was dealt a blow on Wednesday when star wide receiver Nico Collins was placed on the injured reserve due to a hamstring issue, though the team's odds haven't moved yet with him set to miss a minimum of four games
- Vikings (+1200): Another week, another win for Minnesota after it bullied the Jets in London to stay unbeaten; Minnesota is on a Week 6 bye
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Contenders
| Team | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
| Packers | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Falcons | +2800 | 3.45% | $280 |
| Jets | +3000 | 3.23% | $300 |
| Bengals | +3500 | 2.78% | $350 |
| Commanders | +3500 | 2.78% | $350 |
| Saints | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Bears | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Seahawks | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Steelers | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Buccaneers | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
- Cowboys (+2200): A win over the Steelers helped Dallas get back over .500, but injuries could still derail the team's long-term hopes
- Falcons (+2800): Atlanta is above .500 after another game-winning drive from Kirk Cousins in overtime. Don't sleep on his potential MVP campaign
- Jets (+3000): If a loss in London wasn't bad enough, Aaron Rodgers suffered an ankle injury that could hamper this already shaky offense
- Bengals (+3500): A 1-4 start isn't ideal for Cincinnati, clearly, but its offense came alive on Sunday and could help spark a midseason turnaround
Long shots
| Team | Odds (BetMGM) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | +6600 | 1.49% | $660 |
| Chargers | +6600 | 1.49% | $660 |
| Colts | +8000 | 1.23% | $800 |
| Broncos | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Jaguars | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Dolphins | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
| Browns | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Rams | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Giants | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000 |
| Titans | +20000 | 0.50% | $2,000 |
| Raiders | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Patriots | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Panthers | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
- Broncos (+10000): After a 2-0 start, Denver's defense has carried it to a 3-2 record and looks like one of the best units in football
- Browns (+15000): Cleveland refuses to switch QBs with Deshaun Watson playing terribly under center, and the result is a 1-4 start after a 34-13 loss in D.C.
2025 Super Bowl favorites
Chiefs (+475)
Kansas City has won four games in the final minute, with two coming on questionable calls. But that form is still more impressive than what we saw a year ago from the two-time defending champions.
The Week 4 win over the Los Angeles Chargers was arguably the least impressive yet, and it may have cost the Chiefs their top wideout after Rashee Rice (knee) was carted off in the first quarter of that 17-10 win.
The loss of Rice wasn't a serious problem when the Chiefs beat the Saints 26-13 on Monday Night Football.
Patrick Mahomes and Co. rallied to hang on for their fourth straight win to start 5-0 heading into their bye. They'll visit the 49ers in Week 7.
This feels like the high-water mark for the Chiefs' title price if they keep winning, but the injuries are piling up for Kansas City's offense, which clearly doesn't look right even with a two-time MVP winner at the helm.
That could spell value at these +475 odds, which would turn a $10 bet into a $47.50 profit in February if Kansas City wins a third straight Super Bowl.
Best odds: +500 via bet365 | Implied probability: 16.67%
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Ravens (+750)
Two weeks ago, the Ravens were dealing at +1400 even after blasting the Dallas Cowboys on the road. Then they beat the Bills and Bengals in consecutive weeks to take the second spot in the Super Bowl odds.
Lamar Jackson is playing some of the best football of his career, and he added to his already absurd career highlight reel with another critical touchdown on Sunday:
Derrick Henry (92 yards) came up big for the third straight week with a game-sealing run in overtime, though Baltimore's defense put together its worst showing all season in a prolific day for Cincinnati's offense.
Still, given the Ravens' protection issues entering the year, that's a trade-off that John Harbaugh's group will surely take through five weeks.
Best odds: +750 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 11.76%
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49ers (+750)
At what point do we start to sound the alarm on the Niners?
Last year's Super Bowl runners-up haven't been healthy all year, but they were only missing Christian McCaffrey this week and still couldn't outlast the Arizona Cardinals in a 24-23 loss at home.
Now the 49ers head to Seattle on a short week before facing the Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys before a Week 9 bye. And there's a solid chance that we won't see McCaffrey back for any of those games, if he returns at all.
Our best sportsbooks still don't seem concerned about San Francisco, and there's still plenty of season ahead. And we know how dangerous this team can be if it makes the postseason.
At these odds, a $10 bet would return $80 if the Niners win it all.
Best odds: +800 via Caesars | Implied probability: 13.33%
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My Super Bowl pick to watch
Falcons (+2800)
I've been writing about the Falcons since February, when I gave them out as one of my favorite Super Bowl predictions at 50/1 odds.
That price has shortened after a 3-2 start including a narrow loss to the Super Bowl favorite Chiefs and thrilling wins over the Eagles, Saints, and Buccaneers.
Kirk Cousins has already led three game-winning drives, which leads the league, and the defense has lived up to its billing after making a splash in free agency.
Life should get easier - and the wins more comfortable - for Atlanta. The Falcons visit the Carolina Panthers in Week 6 before hosting the Seattle Seahawks.
They'll then play three of four games on the road - including rematches against the Saints and Bucs - before a Week 12 bye.
Best odds: +3000 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 3.23%
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AFC championship odds
The Chiefs are still the team to beat in the AFC after four straight tight wins. The Ravens are right behind them after three straight wins.
(AFC Conference odds via BetMGM)
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Chiefs | +250 |
| Ravens | +350 |
| Bills | +500 |
| Texans | +500 |
| Jets | +1500 |
| Bengals | +1800 |
| Steelers | +2200 |
| Chargers | +3000 |
| Colts | +3300 |
| Dolphins | +3500 |
| Jaguars | +5000 |
| Broncos | +5000 |
| Browns | +8000 |
| Titans | +10000 |
| Raiders | +10000 |
| Patriots | +25000 |
NFC championship odds
The NFC feels wide open after four weeks.
The 49ers remain the favorites even with a 2-3 record, while the Detroit Lions and Eagles don't quite look right. The Vikings might be the best dark-horse contender after a 5-0 start.
(NFC Conference odds via BetMGM)
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| 49ers | +425 |
| Lions | +550 |
| Vikings | +550 |
| Eagles | +700 |
| Cowboys | +1000 |
| Packers | +1100 |
| Falcons | +1200 |
| Commanders | +1800 |
| Saints | +2000 |
| Seahawks | +2000 |
| Buccaneers | +2000 |
| Bears | +3000 |
| Cardinals | +3300 |
| Rams | +6600 |
| Giants | +10000 |
| Panthers | +30000 |
How to bet on the Super Bowl
Betting into the Super Bowl market is one of the most popular but challenging things to do successfully as a sports bettor. You have to carefully consider a mix between a team's viability in the regular season and its aptitude for the postseason.
First, you need to consider a team's ability to make the playoffs, which feature seven teams in each conference with a first-round bye for the No. 1 seed. That last part is key - the top seed in each conference routinely reaches (and wins) the Super Bowl, so betting on an elite regular-season team is a solid way to succeed in this market.
That said, a team's postseason success tends to be highly correlated to quarterback play, coaching, and elite defense. That's been the formula for decades, and while a top-flight defense is perhaps the least important of those three, there are only so many franchise quarterbacks and championship-level coaches around.
That's why the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, have won two straight Super Bowls and three of the last five. It's also why most Super Bowl winners tend to enter the season with odds shorter than 10/1, as the teams with those key elements in place are the ones you can expect to survive through February.
How to read Super Bowl odds
A crucial step to betting on the Super Bowl is understanding how the odds work. Put simply, American odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 wager - or, in some cases, how much money you would need to wager to return $100.
Let's refer to an example. The Kansas City Chiefs opened with +750 odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl. That means a $100 bet at those odds would return $750 in profit, or a $10 bet would return $75 in profit. You could even bet $1 for a $7.50 return if Kansas City does indeed win its third consecutive championship this February.
A team like the Houston Texans, which opened at +2500 odds, would return a whopping $2,500 in profit if they win their first Super Bowl. Of course, those odds suggest they are much less likely to do so, as those +2500 odds represent an implied probability of just 3.85% according to our odds converter.
As we get closer to the Big Game, you may see a team dealing at "negative" odds. For example, the San Francisco 49ers were priced at -125 ahead of Super Bowl 58, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100, or $12.50 to win $10.
You'll want to be careful staking too much on bets with minus odds, as what can seem like a "sure thing" is always vulnerable to the chaos and unpredictability of sports.
Super Bowl preseason odds for all 32 teams
| Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | +500 | +550 | +500 | +575 | +550 |
| 49ers | +600 | +600 | +600 | +625 | +550 |
| Ravens | +1000 | +1100 | +1000 | +900 | +900 |
| Lions | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 | +1200 |
| Bengals | +1300 | +1500 | +1300 | +1300 | +1200 |
| Eagles | +1400 | +1300 | +1200 | +1300 | +1400 |
| Bills | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 | +1700 | +1200 |
| Texans | +1600 | +1500 | +1600 | +1300 | +1600 |
| Packers | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 |
| Jets | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1700 | +1800 |
| Cowboys | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Dolphins | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Rams | +3000 | +3000 | +3000 | +2500 | +3000 |
| Falcons | +3000 | +2600 | +3000 | +2800 | +2500 |
| Bears | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3000 |
| Browns | +4000 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
| Chargers | +4500 | +4000 | +4000 | +3500 | +3500 |
| Steelers | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | +4500 | +4000 |
| Jaguars | +5000 | +4500 | +5000 | +4500 | +4500 |
| Seahawks | +6500 | +5500 | +6600 | +8000 | +6600 |
| Colts | +7500 | +5500 | +8000 | +6000 | +6000 |
| Buccaneers | +8000 | +6500 | +8000 | +9000 | +6600 |
| Vikings | +8000 | +8000 | +10000 | +8000 | +8000 |
| Cardinals | +10000 | +8000 | +12500 | +12500 | +10000 |
| Saints | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +8000 |
| Raiders | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 | +6000 | +8000 |
| Commanders | +12000 | +12000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Titans | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Giants | +20000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +10000 |
| Broncos | +20000 | +25000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
| Panthers | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 | +25000 |
| Patriots | +35000 | +30000 | +30000 | +27500 | +15000 |
Past Super Bowl winners
| Year | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2023 | Chiefs | +900 |
| 2022 | Rams | +1200 |
| 2021 | Buccaneers | +1000 |
| 2020 | Chiefs | +600 |
| 2019 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2018 | Eagles | +4000 |
| 2017 | Patriots | +600 |
| 2016 | Broncos | +900 |
| 2015 | Patriots | +650 |
Super Bowl wins and appearances by team
| Team | Appearances | Wins |
|---|---|---|
| Patriots | 11 | 6 |
| Steelers | 8 | 6 |
| 49ers | 8 | 5 |
| Cowboys | 8 | 5 |
| Broncos | 8 | 3 |
| Chiefs | 6 | 4 |
| Giants | 5 | 4 |
| Packers | 5 | 4 |
| Commanders | 5 | 3 |
| Raiders | 5 | 3 |
Super Bowl FAQs
Who is the Super Bowl favorite?
The Kansas City Chiefs are the 2025 Super Bowl favorites with market-best +500 odds, which imply a 16.67% chance they hoist a third straight Lombardi Trophy.
Who won the Super Bowl last year?
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 58, defeating the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller to win their second straight Lombardi Trophy.
When will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
Super Bowl 59 will be played on Feb. 9, 2025.
Where will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
The 2025 Super Bowl will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
How to watch Super Bowl 2025
FOX will broadcast Super Bowl 59 nationally on Feb. 9, 2025. While kickoff is yet to be announced, it will likely take place around 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who has the most Super Bowl wins?
The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have won six Super Bowls, tied for the most.
Who has the most Super Bowl appearances?
The New England Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl 11 times, the most of any team.
When was the first Super Bowl?
The first Super Bowl occurred in 1967 after the NFL and AFL merged.
Which team won the first Super Bowl?
The Green Bay Packers won Super Bowl I, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-10.
How many teams haven't won the Super Bowl?
Twelve teams have never won the Super Bowl. That list includes the Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Buffalo Bills, Carolina Panthers, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Detroit Lions, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles Chargers, Minnesota Vikings, and Tennessee Titans.
Super Bowl betting odds pages
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