Super Bowl Coin Toss Props: Odds, Predictions for Heads and Tails for Eagles vs. Chiefs
Heads or Tails? Millions will be wagered on the Super Bowl 57 coin toss, as it's one of the most popular Super Bowl novelty props. It also happens to come with some of the best odds among all prop bets. Read on for all of the Super Bowl coin toss prop betting options.
Humanity has been making decisions with the flip of a coin ever since the introduction of money – so it's no surprise that the NFL places a great deal of significance on a coin toss.
The team that wins the Super Bowl coin toss can decide whether to receive the ball to open the game, or to defer and start on offense at the beginning of the second half. In short, it impacts the strategies of both teams. And it's possibly the greatest Super Bowl prop bet there is.
Sports betting sites recognize this and have made it a significant part of their Super Bowl odds offerings. You'll often find better odds on the coin toss than on the majority of other notable Super Bowl prop bets.
Our Super Bowl picks don't include whether we lean toward heads or tails, but we're happy to help you conquer this wildly popular Super Bowl prop bet.
Check out our national anthem picks and Gatorade color picks.
Super Bowl 57 coin toss prop predictions
- Coin toss result to be tails (+100 via DraftKings)
- Chiefs to win coin toss (+100 via DraftKings)
- Eagles to win coin toss AND win the game: Yes (+250 via DraftKings)
Super Bowl 57 coin toss prop odds
Here's a look at the odds on the coin toss across the best Super Bowl betting sites for this year's Super Bowl matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs:
DraftKings has thrown down the gauntlet, offering sports betting enthusiasts dead even odds on the coin flip with zero juice. Caesars followed suit later on Jan. 30 with identical +100/+100 odds on both heads and tails but has since shifted to -102/-102.
While Barstool (-103/-103), FanDuel (-104/-104) and BetMGM (-105) have reduced the juice relative to other props, DK is the big winner here.
When deciding on the best Super Bowl betting sites, consider the Super Bowl coin toss odds as part of your decision. The sportsbooks offering the lowest juice on their coin toss market are worth a long look – not just at Super Bowl time, but as a preferred sports betting site overall.
Super Bowl 57 coin toss props
Heads or tails prop
This one is as simple as it gets, and puts sports bettors in the shoes of the lucky player who gets to make the coin flip call himself: Heads or tails?
As mentioned above, you'll want to shop around here to find the best possible odds. There might not be much difference between sportsbooks, but every cent and dollar count.
Coin toss pick: Tails (+100 via DraftKings)
Those who choose to bet on the Super Bowl coin toss are quite literally engaging in a 50/50 proposition. Now, there is viable research that suggests there is a slightly higher chance of the coin landing on the side that is facing up when it is flipped. However, the impact is minimal.
Bettors are strongly advised to bet on the coin toss outcome at DraftKings. Laying juice of any kind on the coin toss is a very poor use of one’s betting bankroll given the 50/50 nature of the proposition. While DraftKings has both Heads and Tails priced at fair +100 odds, other shops are requiring bettors to lay up to -105 juice on the coin toss result.
As for the selection of Tails, it’s more based on gut feel than any hard stats or data. That said, it is worth noting that four of the last five Super Bowl coin tosses have come up as Heads. There have been multi-year runs in favor of one side or the other in the past, but basic probability would seem to suggest that Tails might be due for a bounce-back at Super Bowl 57.
Check out our Super Bowl novelty prop picks and Super Bowl halftime show picks.
Coin toss winner prop
This Super Bowl coin toss prop varies slightly from the straight heads-or-tails decision. Here, you're trying to predict which team will win the toss. And again, it's a 50-50 shot.
Here are the Super Bowl 57 coin toss winner odds as of Feb. 8:
As you can see, these odds are largely identical to the straight heads-tails pick, which gives DraftKings yet another edge over Caesars, FanDuel, BetMGM and Barstool.
Coin toss pick: Chiefs to win coin toss (+100 via DraftKings)
As the de facto visiting team, the Chiefs will be making the coin toss call at this year’s Super Bowl. More often than not, the team making the call will elect to align with Tails. As the old saying goes, “Tails never fails”.
Under the assumption that the Chiefs do in fact select Tails when making the call, this would align with our coin toss outcome pick above that Tails will be facing up. Much like the outcome prop, the +100 odds found at DraftKings are easily the best value in the market for what is another 50/50 proposition.
Check out our Super Bowl game picks and same-game parlay.
"Player correctly calls coin toss" prop
The majority of the best Super Bowl betting sites will have the first two coin toss props available. You will, however, find additional markets at select sportsbooks.
Barstool, for example, has a Super Bowl coin toss offering that some competitors do not – at least, as of Jan. 30. It's offering a market where bettors can predict if the player calling the toss will get it right:
"Coin toss winner also wins Super Bowl" prop
The last Super Bowl coin toss prop we'll mention here is also the most complex – but not by much. Barstool was first to market for a prop on whether the team that wins the coin toss will also win the Super Bowl; DraftKings followed suit several days later:
|Philadelphia Eagles||Yes (+250), No (-330)||Yes (+255), No (-335)|
|Kansas City Chiefs||Yes (+300), No (-400)||Yes (+300), No (-400)|
Coin toss pick: Eagles to win coin toss AND win the game (+255 via Barstool)
While the coin toss itself is next to impossible to handicap in a statistical manner, the same cannot be said for the game that will follow. The Eagles will have remarkable advantages at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball. It’s tough to ever discount Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes, but Philadelphia has a pretty clear advantage in terms of talent in this matchup.
Taking this into consideration, one can’t help but consider a wager on the Eagles to win both the coin toss and the game at +255 odds through Barstool. This bet would buck recent history which has not gone in favor of the team that wins the coin toss. The last eight Super Bowl coin toss winners have come up short in the game itself.
What’s more, it may also be worth doubling down and betting on the Chiefs to win the coin toss but not win the game at -400 odds. By doing so, bettors would be performing a glorified moneyline hedge and be able to cash one of the tickets so long as Philadelphia does in fact win the Super Bowl outright.
Other Super Bowl 57 coin toss props
Give Barstool credit for really leaning into the Super Bowl 57 coin toss props. Here are a few others you'll find on the sports betting site:
Result of coin toss and game winner
|Heads + Eagles||+250|
|Tails + Eagles||+250|
|Heads + Chiefs||+300|
|Tails + Chiefs||+300|
Result of coin toss and spread
|Heads + Chiefs +2.5||+265|
|Tails + Chiefs +2.5||+265|
|Heads + Eagles -2.5||+280|
|Tails + Eagles -2.5||+280|
Result of coin toss and total points
|Heads + Over 49.5||+245|
|Tails + Over 49.5||+245|
|Heads + Under 49.5||+310|
|Tails + Under 49.5||+310|
Super Bowl coin toss results
It might only be a coin flip, but there's an awful lot of historical data available to sports bettors who are either curious about its history, or believe there are trends to mine (there aren't.)
Here's a breakdown of the history of the Super Bowl coin toss:
|Game||Coin Toss Result||Coin Toss Winner||Game Winner|
|Super Bowl 1||Heads||Packers||Packers|
|Super Bowl 2||Tails||Raiders||Packers|
|Super Bowl 3||Heads||Jets||Jets|
|Super Bowl 4||Tails||Vikings||Chiefs|
|Super Bowl 5||Tails||Cowboys||Colts|
|Super Bowl 6||Heads||Dolphins||Cowboys|
|Super Bowl 7||Heads||Dolphins||Dolphins|
|Super Bowl 8||Heads||Dolphins||Dolphins|
|Super Bowl 9||Tails||Steelers||Steelers|
|Super Bowl 10||Heads||Cowboys||Steelers|
|Super Bowl 11||Tails||Raiders||Raiders|
|Super Bowl 12||Heads||Cowboys||Cowboys|
|Super Bowl 13||Heads||Cowboys||Steelers|
|Super Bowl 14||Heads||Rams||Steelers|
|Super Bowl 15||Tails||Eagles||Raiders|
|Super Bowl 16||Tails||49ers||49ers|
|Super Bowl 17||Tails||Dolphins||Washington|
|Super Bowl 18||Heads||Raiders||Raiders|
|Super Bowl 19||Tails||49ers||49ers|
|Super Bowl 20||Tails||Bears||Bears|
|Super Bowl 21||Tails||Broncos||Giants|
|Super Bowl 22||Heads||Washington||Washington|
|Super Bowl 23||Tails||49ers||49ers|
|Super Bowl 24||Heads||Broncos||49ers|
|Super Bowl 25||Heads||Bills||Giants|
|Super Bowl 26||Heads||Washington||Washington|
|Super Bowl 27||Heads||Bills||Cowboys|
|Super Bowl 28||Tails||Cowboys||Cowboys|
|Super Bowl 29||Heads||49ers||49ers|
|Super Bowl 30||tails||Cowboys||Cowboys|
|Super Bowl 31||Heads||Patriots||Packers|
|Super Bowl 32||Tails||Packers||Broncos|
|Super Bowl 33||Tails||Falcons||Broncos|
|Super Bowl 34||Tails||Rams||Rams|
|Super Bowl 35||Tails||Giants||Ravens|
|Super Bowl 36||Heads||Rams||Patriots|
|Super Bowl 37||Tails||Buccaneers||Buccaneers|
|Super Bowl 38||Tails||Panthers||Patriots|
|Super Bowl 39||Tails||Eagles||Patriots|
|Super Bowl 40||Tails||Seahawks||Steelers|
|Super Bowl 41||Heads||Bears||Colts|
|Super Bowl 42||Tails||Giants||Giants|
|Super Bowl 43||Heads||Cardinals||Steelers|
|Super Bowl 44||Heads||Saints||Saints|
|Super Bowl 45||Heads||Packers||Packers|
|Super Bowl 46||Heads||Patriots||Giants|
|Super Bowl 47||Heads||Ravens||Ravens|
|Super Bowl 48||Tails||Seahawks||Seahawks|
|Super Bowl 49||Tails||Seahawks||Patriots|
|Super Bowl 50||Tails||Panthers||Broncos|
|Super Bowl 51||Tails||Falcons||Patriots|
|Super Bowl 52||Heads||Patriots||Eagles|
|Super Bowl 53||Tails||Rams||Patriots|
|Super Bowl 54||Tails||49ers||Chiefs|
|Super Bowl 55||Heads||Chiefs||Buccaneers|
|Super Bowl 56||Heads||Bengals||Rams|
Here are some quick facts based on the above results:
- Tails has come up 29 times in Super Bowl history, compared with heads at 27.
- No result has come up more than five times in a row, with heads the correct call from Super Bowls 43-47
- The Dallas Cowboys own the distinction of having the most Super Bowl coin toss wins with six. San Francisco have won five Super Bowl coin flips, followed by the Miami Dolphins with four wins.
- Tom Brady was on the losing end of the coin toss in all seven of his Super Bowl titles.
- The team to win the coin toss has gone on to lose the last eight Super Bowls.
Super Bowl prop bets
- Super Bowl 57 Roundup
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