Super Bowl Touchdown Scorer Props: Anytime, First TD Odds, Predictions & History
We're inside one week to go until the Kansas City Chiefs meet the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 57. Sports betting sites are offering more Super Bowl prop bets than ever before to complement your Super Bowl picks. That list includes anytime touchdown scorers – one of the most popular prop bets among Super Bowl and NFL fans.
Mapping out your NFL championship betting plan can be daunting.
Imagine all of the questions you might be asking yourself in the days leading up to that final kickoff of the season. What are the latest Super Bowl odds? Which Super Bowl picks can I trust? What are the best Super Bowl betting sites?
Fortunately, we're here to help with all of that – and this particular guide will take you through some of the most important things to know about Super Bowl touchdown scorer bets (available at all of the best sportsbooks in North America).
Anytime touchdown scorer prop picks
The best thing about Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer prop bets is that they're remarkably easy to track. If the player you bet on finds the end zone, you win – and if he doesn't, you lose.
One important thing to consider: Quarterbacks are given credit for a successful anytime touchdown scorer bet only if they enter the end zone themselves with the football. Passing TDs do not count for the player throwing the ball in this market.
- Travis Kelce first Chiefs touchdown scorer (+310 via DraftKings)
- First touchdown scorer jersey number Over 11.5 (+100 via BetMGM)
- Jerick McKinnon to Have a Receiving Touchdown (+300 via Barstool)
- Travis Kelce 1st/Miles Sanders 2nd TD exact order (+5500 via FanDuel)
- Patrick Mahomes TD passes Over Connor McDavid points on Feb. 12 (-140 via Caesars)
Anytime touchdown scorer prop odds
Here's a look at the top anytime touchdown odds for Super Bowl 57 between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles:
|Travis Kelce||-125||-115 🔥||-125||-135 ❄️||-130||-132|
|Jalen Hurts||-105||+100 🔥||-110||-125||-115||-125|
|Miles Sanders||+125||+120||-110||+130 🔥||+115||-113 ❄️|
|Isiah Pacheco||+140||+150 🔥||+140||+145||+140||+148|
|A.J. Brown||+115 ❄️||+135||+120||+135||+140 🔥||+116|
|Devonta Smith||+165||+175||+150||+145 ❄️||+175||+160|
|Jerick McKinnon||+190||+195||+160 ❄️||+215 🔥||+170||+190|
|Dallas Goedert||+170||+180||+175||+170||+185 🔥||+175|
|JuJu Smith-Schuster||+310||+330 🔥||+250||+210 ❄️||+290||+295|
|Marques Valdez-Scantling||+290||+350 🔥||+200 ❄️||+205||+260||+275|
|Kadarius Toney||+270||+320 🔥||+260||+215 ❄️||+230||+285|
|Kenneth Gainwell||+360||+390 🔥||+275||+255 ❄️||+320||+295|
(Odds updated Sunday, Feb. 12 at 4:45 p.m. ET.)
We've seen plenty of movement across every top sportsbook – and unfortunately for anytime touchdown scorer prop bettors, the majority of those adjustments have been to the detriment of the player. That said, there are still notable value plays across the board, including:
- Travis Kelce anytime touchdown (-115 via FanDuel): The player with the lowest odds to find the end zone has seen his prices fall everywhere, but FanDuel is the only major sportsbook to have him at -1205 or better (which is as good as you can hope for now).
- Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown (+100 via FanDuel): The man who led all quarterbacks in rushing scores during the regular season is between -120 and -130 at three of the sportsbooks listed above – which makes FanDuel's current price downright silly (in a good way).
- Kenneth Gainwell anytime touchdown (+390 via FanDuel): Gainwell's anytime TD odds have fluctuated wildly. FanDuel still has the best price on Gainwell by a large margin over the competition.
Super Bowl touchdown scorer prop bets
Travis Kelce first Kansas City touchdown scorer (+310 via DraftKings)
Kelce led his position in total touchdowns this season, finding the end zone 12 times during the regular season. He caught a touchdown pass in nine total games this season including the playoffs. Kelce was the first Chiefs player to cross the goal line in seven of those games. In both postseason contests, he scored the first Kansas City touchdown.
The lines for an anytime Kelce score range anywhere from -114 on Caesars to -135 on DraftKings. Getting plus odd for the star tight end to find the end zone offers far better value here. It is also worth exploring a two-touchdown bet at +500 on DraftKings. Kelce recently accomplished that against the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC Championship Game.
First touchdown scorer jersey number Over 11.5 (+100 via BetMGM)
Kelce scored the Chiefs' first touchdown in both of Kansas City’s playoff games wearing No. 87. Both of them also were the first touchdowns of the game. He accounted for his team's first score five times during the regular season. Chiefs wide receiver Kadarius Toney (No. 19) also accomplished this task back in Week 16. This bet could also hit should QB Patrick Mahomes (#15) find his way into the end zone first.
The Eagles offer more of an advantage to cash this prop if they score first. Philadelphia running back Miles Sanders (No. 26) scored the first touchdown in the NFC Championship. Tight end Dallas Goedert (No. 88) crossed the goal line first against the New York Giants in the divisional round. In two of the last three Philadelphia regular season games, a player over this jersey number accounted for the first touchdown.
Barstool offers this same line but has the Over set at -112. Grab the plus odds at BetMGM for better value.
Jerick McKinnon to have a receiving touchdown (+300 via Barstool)
McKinnon scored 10 total touchdowns during the regular season. Nine of them were touchdown receptions. He ended the regular season by catching a touchdown pass in six straight games, but he has been held quiet during the playoffs so far. That makes this a perfect opportunity to seize the value.
McKinnon already boasts favorable odds for an anytime touchdown which can be found as high as +205 on Caesars and as low as +162 on BetMGM. However, boosting your odds by adding the manner in which he scored the most this season into the equation makes this bet even more appealing.
Travis Kelce 1st/Miles Sanders 2nd TD exact order (+5500 via FanDuel)
The case has been laid out regarding Kelce and his first-strike capabilities. As one of the highest-scoring teams in the league, Kansas City should waste no time in finding the end zone. If the Chiefs get the ball first, odds are good that their tight end will be the first to find paydirt.
Philadelphia led the league in rushing touchdowns per game (2.1) during the regular season. The Eagles continued that trend into the playoffs by scoring three times on the ground against the New York Giants. All four of their touchdowns against the San Francisco 49ers were from the rushing attack with Sanders opening the barrage.
This is a fun long shot that can also be found on BetMGM but with slightly shorter odds coming in at +5000 for this exacta.
First touchdown scorer props
A first touchdown scorer prop bet is much more restrictive than an anytime touchdown scorer bet, for obvious reasons.
Here's a look at the top first touchdown odds for Super Bowl 57:
|Travis Kelce||TE||Chiefs||+650||+650||+650||+550 ❄️||+600||+700 🔥|
|Jalen Hurts||QB||Eagles||+700||+700||+800 🔥||+550 ❄️||+700||+575|
|Miles Sanders||RB||Eagles||+850||+850||+800||+575 ❄️||+850||+650|
|Isiah Pacheco||RB||Chiefs||+950||+950||+850||+650 ❄️||+900||+950|
|A.J. Brown||WR||Eagles||+1000||+950||+1000||+675 ❄️||+1000||+900|
|Devonta Smith||WR||Eagles||+1300 🔥||+1100||+1200||+750 ❄️||+1050||+1150|
|Jerick McKinnon||RB||Chiefs||+1200||+1200 🔥||+1100||+1100||+1100||+1200|
|Dallas Goedert||TE||Eagles||+1200||+1200||+1200||+850 ❄️||+1300 🔥||+1200|
|JuJu Smith-Schuster||WR||Chiefs||+2200 🔥||+2000||+2000||+1000 ❄️||+1800||+1800|
|Kadarius Toney||WR||Chiefs||+1900||+2000||+2200 🔥||+1100 ❄️||+1400||+1800|
|Marques Valdez-Scantling||WR||Chiefs||+1900||+2100 🔥||+1600||+1100 ❄️||+1400||+1700|
|Kenneth Gainwell||RB||Eagles||+2000||+2100 🔥||+1600||+1300 ❄️||+1700||+1600|
(Odds updated Sunday, Feb. 12 at 4:55 p.m. ET.)
We've seen much more stability in the first touchdown odds over the course of the week, though it might be nice for Caesars to continue moving in a more player-friendly direction. Here's a look at three lines you should capitalize on while there's value at a particular sportsbook:
- Miles Sanders first touchdown (+850 via FanDuel): If Sanders can repeat his first touchdown performance from the NFC Championship Game, bettors at FanDuel stand to earn the most profit. This is probably one of the best value plays in this market.
- Isiah Pacheco first touchdown (+950 via FanDuel): None of the major sports betting sites really leapt out on a Pacheco first touchdown, but FanDuel has since raised the odds here to be the sportsbook to beat.
- Kadarius Toney first touchdown (+2200 via BetMGM): We're seeing huge variance here, with each of our best Super Bowl betting sites shuffling the odds on Toney to score the first touchdown seemingly every day.
Here's a look at the previous 10 Super Bowl first touchdown scorers:
- Super Bowl 56: WR Odell Beckham Jr., Los Angeles Rams
- Super Bowl 55: TE Rob Gronkowski, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Super Bowl 54: QB Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs
- Super Bowl 53: RB Sony Michel, New England Patriots
- Super Bowl 52: WR Alshon Jeffery, Philadelphia Eagles
- Super Bowl 51: RB Devonta Freeman, Atlanta Falcons
- Super Bowl 50: DT Malik Jackson, Denver Broncos
- Super Bowl 49: WR Brandon LaFell, New England Patriots
- Super Bowl 48: RB Marshawn Lynch, Seattle Seahawks
- Super Bowl 47: WR Anquan Boldin, Baltimore Ravens
While it's not predictive by any means, it's interesting that a different position has recorded the first touchdown in each of the last four Super Bowls.
In case you were wondering whether there is a positional edge in terms of anytime touchdown scorers, here's a position-by-position breakdown of every touchdown scored in the previous 10 Super Bowls:
|Result||QB TDs||RB TDs||WR TDs||TE TDs||DST TDs|
|Super Bowl 56||Rams 23, Bengals 20||0||0||5||0||0|
|Super Bowl 55||Buccaneers 31, Chiefs 9||0||1||1||2||0|
|Super Bowl 54||Chiefs 31, 49ers 20||1||4||0||1||0|
|Super Bowl 53||Patriots 13, Rams 3||0||1||0||0||0|
|Super Bowl 52||Eagles 41, Patriots 33||1||3||2||3||0|
|Super Bowl 51||Patriots 34, Falcons 28||0||5||1||1||1|
|Super Bowl 50||Broncos 24, Panthers 10||0||2||0||0||1|
|Super Bowl 49||Patriots 28, Seahawks 24||0||1||5||1||0|
|Super Bowl 48||Seahawks 43, Broncos 8||0||1||4||0||1|
|Super Bowl 47||Ravens 34, 49ers 31||1||1||3||1||1|
Longest touchdown prop bets
Making a longest touchdown prop bet is a 50-50 proposition: The sportsbook posts a yardage number, and you can bet that the longest TD will come in higher or lower than that number.
Bear in mind that all touchdowns count toward the longest TD prop market – even special teams (kick or punt return) touchdowns and defensive (fumble or interception return) scores.
Here's a look at the current longest touchdown prop bet landscape:
|DraftKings||O39.5 yards (-120) | U39.5 (-110)|
|FanDuel||O39.5 yards (-110) | U39.5 (-110)|
|BetMGM||O39.5 yards (-115) | U39.5 (-115)|
|Caesars||O40.5 yards (-120) | U40.5 (-110)|
|PointsBet||O41.5 yards (-115) | U41.5 (-115)|
|Barstool||O40.5 yards (-106) | U40.5 (-118)|
There isn't much difference in the odds here, though if you think we're going to see a long bomb of 50+ yards, Barstool is comfortably the best option of the bunch.
Here's a breakdown of the longest touchdowns from the last 10 Super Bowls:
|Super Bowl 56||75 yards||WR Tee Higgins|
|Super Bowl 55||27 yards||RB Leonard Fournette|
|Super Bowl 54||38 yards||RB Damien Williams|
|Super Bowl 53||2 yards||RB Sony Michel|
|Super Bowl 52||34 yards||WR Alshon Jeffery|
|Super Bowl 51||82 yards||DB Robert Alford|
|Super Bowl 50||2 yards||RB C.J. Anderson|
|Super Bowl 49||22 yards||TE Rob Gronkowski|
|Super Bowl 48||87 yards||KR/PR Percy Harvin|
|Super Bowl 47||108 yards||WR Jacoby Jones|
Good luck handicapping this one. Over just the past 10 Super Bowls alone, we've seen a range of 106 yards (!) between longest scores, with a two-yard score representing the longest TD in two different Super Bowls over that span.
Shortest touchdown prop bets
As the headline suggests, you can also find shortest Super Bowl touchdown props, as well:
|DraftKings||O1.5 yards (+125) | U1.5 (-165)|
|FanDuel||O1.5 yards (+152) | U1.5 (-188)|
|BetMGM||O1.5 yards (+120) | U1.5 (-160)|
|Caesars||O1.5 yards (+150) | U1.5 (-180)|
|PointsBet||O1.5 yards (+150) | U1.5 (-200)|
|Barstool||O1.5 yards (+145) | U1.5 (-182)|
If you're wondering why the odds on a one-yard score are so short, it's because we've seen plenty of them in recent Super Bowl history. Thirteen of the previous 20 NFL championship games have featured a one-yard score, and we've seen 17 one-yard TDs in that span.
Super Bowl prop bets
Prop bet enthusiasts have a lot to choose from for Super Bowl 57; here's a look at some of the more popular Super Bowl prop bets across all of the best sportsbooks:
- Super Bowl 57 Roundup
- 57 Prop Bets for Super Bowl 57
- Super Bowl Exact Score Props
- Player Props
- Super Bowl MVP Props
- Touchdown Scorer Props
- Coin Toss Props
- National Anthem Props
- Super Bowl Sack Props
- Opening Kickoff Touchback Props
- Halftime Show Props
- Super Bowl 2024 Odds
- Novelty Props
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