Super Bowl MVP Odds, Predictions 2025: Can Mahomes Become First to Win 3 Straight?
Can Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes make it three Super Bowl MVPs in a row, achieving something that even the great Bart Starr didn't pull off? Super Bowl MVP odds will be made available soon after the game matchup is learned. This year's Big Game will be played on Sunday, February 9 in New Orleans, Louisiana.
The Chiefs defended their title at Super Bowl 2024, and Mahomes captured his second straight Super Bowl MVP after closing as the favorite by the top NFL odds across our best Super Bowl betting sites. Kansas City once again leads the way in the Super Bowl odds, and when the Super Bowl MVP odds are released, Mahomes will certainly be a top contender to capture the coveted award again.
The Chiefs have been perennial powerhouses over the last five seasons since Mahomes captured his first Super Bowl MVP at Super Bowl LIV. If our Super Bowl predictions come through and they reach the Big Game next year, he will undoubtedly be a big factor in them doing so.
While we await this years Super Bowl MVP odds, here is a look at the closing numbers from last season.
Super Bowl MVP odds
Super Bowl MVP odds will be made available on Sunday, January 26 following the conclusion of the AFC and NFC title games.
| Name | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | +125 | +150🔥 | +145 | +130 | +125 |
| Brock Purdy | +235🔥 | +210 | +230 | +200 ❄️ | +225 |
| Christian McCaffrey | +450 | +450 | +450 | +400 | +400 |
| Travis Kelce | +1200 | +1400 🔥 | +1300 | +1200 | +1100 ❄️ |
| Deebo Samuel | +2000 | +2500 | +2500 | +2000 | +2500 |
| Isiah Pacheco | +2500 | +2500 | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 |
| Rashee Rice | +5000 | +5000 | +6600 🔥 | +6000 | +5000 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | +6000 | +5000 | +5000 | +6000 | +5000 |
| George Kittle | +6000 | +7500 | +8000 | +6000 | +8000 |
| Nick Bosa | +7500 | +8500 | +10000 🔥 | +8000 | +6600 ❄️ |
Super Bowl MVP favorites
Patrick Mahomes (+150)
Mahomes was the betting favorite to be crowned the Super Bowl MVP for the second straight year, and with the Chiefs' victory, he cashed those tickets. He was instrumental through the air and on the ground in drives to tie and win the game as Kansas City won the Super Bowl LIV rematch with the 49ers.
Best odds: +150 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 40.00%
Other Super Bowl MVP Prop markets
Closer to the 2025 Super Bowl, many more MVP-related betting markets will be released. Here are some examples of what was available in 2024 ahead of the Chiefs meeting with the 49ers.
Who will the MVP thank first
| 1st mentioned in MVP speech | FanDuel |
|---|---|
| God/Religious figure | -125 |
| Teammates | +260 |
| Family | +600 |
| Fans | +1000 |
| Coach | +1600 |
| Team/organization | +3500 |
Position of MVP
DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars, simplified the Super Bowl MVP market by asking which position would win.
| Position | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterback | -265 ❄️ | -200 🔥 | -210 | -250 |
| Running back/full back | +380 | +380 | +350 | +375 |
| Wide receiver | +800 | +1300 | +850 | +800 |
| Tight end | +900 | +1200 | +900 | +900 |
| Defensive lineman | +1600 | OFF | +1800 | +1800 |
| Linebacker | +3500 | OFF | +4000 | +4000 |
| Cornerback | +5000 | OFF | +5000 | OFF |
| Safety | +8000 | OFF | +8000 | OFF |
| Defensive Back | OFF | OFF | OFF | +4000 |
| Kicker/punter/long snapper | +15000 | +16000 | +15000 | +15000 |
| Offensive lineman | +25000 | +25000 | +10000 | +25000 |
| Any defensive player | OFF | +1700 | OFF | OFF |
Position vs. the Field
FanDuel and bet365 offered variations on this type of wager.
FanDuel listed the wager as "QB vs. Any Other Position."
| Position | Yes | Any Other Position |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterback | -200 | +160 |
| Running back, full back, wide receiver, tight end | +195 | -250 |
FanDuel gets further in-depth, listing odds for each individual quarterback. However, for whatever reason, its odds on Mahomes are shorter than those in the normal MVP market.
bet365's variant of the same question was a simple "Yes/No." Will a quarterback win the MVP? Yes (-320) or No (+235) are the two options in this market. Several other position groups were covered, too.
| Position | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterback | -270 | +210 |
| Running Back | +375 | -550 |
| Wide Receiver | +1400 | -4000 |
| Tight End | +1000 | -2000 |
| Defensive Player | +2200 | -25000 |
Past Super Bowl MVP winners
| Season | Player | Team | Position | Closing Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | QB | +145 |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | QB | +130 |
| 2021 | Cooper Kupp | Rams | WR | +600 |
| 2020 | Tom Brady | Buccaneers | QB | +190 |
| 2019 | Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | QB | +105 |
| 2018 | Julian Edelman | Patriots | WR | +2500 |
| 2017 | Nick Foles | Eagles | QB | +460 |
| 2016 | Tom Brady | Patriots | QB | +125 |
| 2015 | Von Miller | Broncos | LB | +2500 |
| 2014 | Tom Brady | Patriots | QB | +200 |
How to bet Super Bowl MVP futures odds
Betting on the Super Bowl MVP involves wagering on which player will be awarded the MVP title at the end of the championship game. Here are steps to bet on the Super Bowl MVP:
- Understand the odds: Familiarize yourself with the odds listed by sportsbooks for different players to win the Super Bowl MVP. The player with the lowest odds is considered the favorite.
- Research player performances: Analyze the performances of various players throughout the season and playoffs. Factors such as statistics, impact on their team's success, and overall contributions are crucial. Seven of the last 10 winners have been quarterbacks due to their impact on the game.
- Monitor odds and player performance: Throughout the postseason, monitor odds fluctuations and player performances. As the playoffs progress, odds will change based on players' performances and their impact on games.
- Stay updated: Stay informed about injuries, team performance, and how players are faring in their respective positions. These factors can significantly impact a player's chances of winning the MVP.
- Cash-out or hold: Depending on how the postseason progresses and the player's performance, you can cash out if the odds are in your favor or hold onto your bet until the end of the postseason to see if your chosen player wins the MVP.
Remember, betting on the Super Bowl MVP requires careful consideration of various factors and a good understanding of the game and players' impacts on their teams' success.
How to read Super Bowl MVP odds
Reading Super Bowl MVP odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the probability of a player capturing the Super Bowl MVP. Lower odds (e.g., +300) suggest a higher likelihood, while higher odds (e.g., +2000) indicate a lower probability. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on performance, injuries, trades, and betting patterns.
If Patrick Mahomes gets +500 odds and Brock Purdy gets +1000, Mahomes is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Mahomes and he wins, you’d get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
Super Bowl MVP FAQs
Who was the Super Bowl MVP favorite?
Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes was the Super Bowl MVP favorite with +150 odds to win his third Super Bowl MVP award.
Who won last year's Super Bowl MVP?
Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes was named the 2024 Super Bowl MVP.
When will the Super Bowl MVP be decided?
The next Super Bowl MVP will be decided after the conclusion of this season's championship game on Sunday, Feb. 9, 2025.
Where will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
Super Bowl LIX will be held at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana, which is home to the New Orleans Saints.
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