NFL MVP Odds 2024-25: Allen Increases Lead After Historic Performance
Rain, sunshine, or snow, you usually know what you're getting from Josh Allen.
But Sunday's performance in Los Angeles falls into the unprecedented realm, as the prohibitive NFL MVP odds favorite became the first player to score three rushing and three passing touchdowns in the same game.
Yet somehow, the Buffalo Bills still found a way to lose in Los Angeles, which negatively impacted their Super Bowl odds, albeit marginally.
Allen increased his MVP odds lead over Saquon Barkley, who broke LeSean McCoy's previous Philadelphia Eagles season-single record for rushing yards (1,607). Barkley has 1,623 yards after a 120-yard outing in the win over the Carolina Panthers.
NFL MVP odds 2024-25
NFL MVP odds from our best NFL betting sites after Week 14. See our NFL player prop odds tool for the latest odds on any player.
- Josh Allen has 11 touchdowns (five rushing, six passing) in the last three games, and his MVP odds carry an implied win probability of 79.38% or better
- Saquon Barkley has busted through the 100-yard mark on the ground nine times this season. However, his odds lengthened from +500 to +550
- Jared Goff enjoyed another accomplished performance, tossing three touchdown passes in Detroit's TNF win. However, he's not making a dent in Allen's lead and saw his odds lengthen from +1100 to +1800
Josh Allen, QB, Bills (-385)
I'm sure there was a moment - from Weeks 8 to 10 - where people thought Allen's tendency from years past to throw an inordinate number of picks was making an ugly comeback.
And then he scored 11 touchdowns with just one interception from Weeks 11 to 14, barreling past his closest MVP competitors like he did the San Francisco 49ers' defense on that snow-covered Buffalo night.
Many analysts suggested that Allen would win an MVP so long as he decreased the number of costly mistakes. Well, he has 32 touchdowns compared to five picks through 13 games.
While we can't quite officially call this MVP race, which is a testament to Barkley's prolific season, the Eagles star is almost out of runway while Allen continually ascends well beyond cruising altitude.
That said, his recent performances drained all remaining value as a $10 bet would profit just $2.60
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Saquon Barkley, RB, Eagles (+550)
Barkley still has a shot at winning this award.
However, he's going to need Allen to falter. While the Eagles' running back can't do much more to stake his MVP claim, he's up against a juggernaut who is highly motivated to not only win this award but to claim the most prized possession in football.
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Jared Goff, QB, Lions (+1800)
Goff continues to have an outstanding season. Excluding his rotten outing in Houston, where he threw five picks, the Detroit Lions' signal-caller has a 23-to-5 TD/INT ratio. He's also led the Lions to 12 straight wins for the first time in franchise history. Still, it looks like that won't be enough to win his first MVP award.
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Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens (+1400)
Jackson lost his grip on this award with a putrid showing against the Steelers, and he seems to have lost the rope entirely after falling to Barkley and the Eagles in an MVP elimination spot. We've seen the Ravens star do the impossible with regularity, so maybe he'll pull a rabbit out of a hat and erase the stain of his big losses this year.
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs (+4000)
Kansas City has won 12 games, but 10 came by one score, with most decided in the final seconds - and Mahomes has rarely been the one to deliver the lethal blow.
Like a recurring dream, the same thing happened in Week 14 against the Los Angeles Chargers. While Mahomes is the best quarterback of a generation and deserves credit for being the best game manager, he isn't having an MVP-worthy season.
That won't matter to Mahomes if he leads the Chiefs to a third straight Super Bowl. His odds lengthened from +2800 to +4000 after the Chiefs' 19-17 win over the Chargers.
NFL MVP odds over time
(Most recent odds via DraftKings)
| Player | Opening odds (Feb. 12) | Sept. 4 | Nov. 26 | Dec. 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | +600 | +500 | +1300 | +4000 |
| Josh Allen | +800 | +800 | +150 | -400 |
| Joe Burrow | +900 | +900 | +3000 | +10000 |
| C.J. Stroud | +1100 | +900 | +9000 | +30000 |
| Lamar Jackson | +1200 | +1600 | +250 | +1000 |
| Dak Prescott | +1400 | +1600 | OFF | OFF |
| Justin Herbert | +1400 | +1600 | +2200 | +10000 |
| Brock Purdy | +1600 | +1600 | +10000 | +40000 |
| Jalen Hurts | +1600 | +1400 | +2500 | +6500 |
| Jordan Love | +1600 | +1400 | +5000 | +10000 |
How to bet NFL MVP futures odds
Betting on the NFL MVP typically involves wagering on which player will be awarded the league's MVP title at the end of the regular season. Here are steps to bet on the NFL MVP:
- Understand the odds: Familiarize yourself with the odds listed by sportsbooks for different players to win the MVP. The player with the lowest odds is considered the favorite.
- Research player performances: Analyze the performances of various players throughout the season. Factors such as statistics, impact on their team's success, and overall contributions are crucial. Consider quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, or even defensive players who might be having outstanding seasons.
- Monitor odds and player performance: Throughout the season, keep an eye on odds fluctuations and player performances. As the season progresses, odds will change based on players' performances and their impact on games.
- Stay updated: Stay informed about injuries, team performance, and how players are faring in their respective positions. These factors can significantly impact a player's chances of winning the MVP.
- Cash-out or hold: Depending on how the season progresses and the player's performance, you can decide to cash out if the odds are in your favor or hold onto your bet until the end of the season to see if your chosen player wins the MVP.
Remember, betting on the NFL MVP requires careful consideration of various factors and a good understanding of the game and players' performances throughout the season.
How to read NFL MVP odds
Reading NFL MVP odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the probability of a team winning the championship. Lower odds (e.g., +300) suggest a higher likelihood, while higher odds (e.g., +2000) indicate a lower probability. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on performance, injuries, trades, and betting patterns.
If Patrick Mahomes gets +500 odds and Josh Allen gets +1000, Mahomes is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Mahomes and he wins, you’d get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
NFL MVP award winners
| Year | Player | Team | Position | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Lamar Jackson | Ravens | QB | +1400 |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | QB | +800 |
| 2021 | Aaron Rodgers | Packers | QB | +1100 |
| 2020 | Aaron Rodgers | Packers | QB | +3000 |
| 2019 | Lamar Jackson | Ravens | QB | +4000 |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | QB | +3525 |
| 2017 | Tom Brady | Patriots | QB | +385 |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | Falcons | QB | +7500 |
| 2015 | Cam Newton | Panthers | QB | +5200 |
| 2014 | Aaron Rodgers | Packers | QB | +600 |
NFL MVP winners by position
| Position | NFL MVP awards |
|---|---|
| Quarterback | 47 |
| Running back | 13 |
| Fullback | 4 |
| Halfback | 1 |
| Kicker | 1 |
| Defensive tackle | 1 |
| Linebacker | 1 |
NFL MVP winners by team
| Team | NFL MVP awards |
|---|---|
| Packers | 10 |
| Colts | 9 |
| 49ers | 5 |
| Browns | 4 |
| Rams | 4 |
| Raiders | 3 |
| Patriots | 3 |
| Commanders | 3 |
| Broncos | 3 |
| Vikings | 3 |
NFL MVP FAQs
Who is the favorite for NFL MVP?
Josh Allen is the NFL MVP odds favorite, with his best odds of -385 implying a 79.38% chance, according to our odds calculator, that he wins the award for the first time in his career.
When will the 2024-25 NFL MVP be announced?
The 2024-25 NFL MVP will be announced at the NFL Honors show in the days ahead of the 2025 Super Bowl.
Who was the NFL MVP last year?
Baltimore Ravens QB Lamar Jackson won the 2023-24 NFL MVP award, claiming the award for the second time in his career.
Who has the most NFL MVP awards in history?
Former quarterback Peyton Manning has won five NFL MVP awards. He captured four with the Indianapolis Colts (2003, 2004, 2008, 2009) and one with the Denver Broncos (2013).
Who was the last back-to-back MVP winner?
Aaron Rodgers won back-to-back MVPs in 2020 and 2021.
Has anyone won consecutive MVPs more than once?
Peyton Manning won consecutive MVP awards twice, in 2003 and 2004 and again in 2008 and 2009.
Has anyone won three straight MVPs?
No player has won the MVP in three successive seasons.
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