NFL Coach of the Year Odds 2024-25: Campbell is Becoming the Overwhelming Favorite
One week after becoming the new NFL Coach of the Year odds favorite, Dan Campbell continued to use his fearless brand of football to push his Detroit Lions to an 11th straight win.
The Lions boast the NFL's best record at 12-1, and they're inching away as the Super Bowl odds favorite.
Similarly, there's a growing gap beyond Campbell in the NFL Coach of the Year odds, with Detroit's sideline boss tightening his grip at our best NFL prop betting sites. However, Kevin O'Connell (Minnesota Vikings), Mike Tomlin (Pittsburgh Steelers), and Sean Payton (Denver Broncos) remain right behind Campbell while also helping their respective teams to quality seasons.
Can Campbell and his powerhouse Lions keep sprinting away? Here's how the NFL Coach of the Year odds look at our best NFL betting sites.
NFL Coach of the Year odds
| Coach | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Campbell | -170 | 62.96% | $5.88 |
| Kevin O'Connell | +340 | 22.73% | $34 |
| Mike Tomlin | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| Sean Payton | +1800 | 5.26% | $180 |
| Dan Quinn | +1800 | 5.26% | $180 |
| Mike Macdonald | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
| Andy Reid | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Jim Harbaugh | +3000 | 3.23% | $300 |
| Nick Sirianni | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Todd Bowles | +5000 | 1.96% | 1.96% |
Some other newsworthy tidbits:
- There's some disagreement at the top among our best NFL betting sites, and that begins with Campbell, who's listed as long as -143 through BetMGM but as short as -190 at Caesars.
- O'Connell is also as long as +500 at DraftKings, while FanDuel is down at +390
- There there's Tomlin, who as long as +650 and as short as +450
- There's a significant gap after Tomlin, as only the top three are being given an implied probability of 13.33% or better
- Jim Harbaugh took a significant tumble after his Los Angeles Chargers suffered a tough Sunday night loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, going from +750 to around +3000
NFL Coach of the Year favorite
Dan Campbell (-143)
Campbell is surging ahead and becoming the overwhelming favorite. There's a significant divide between his -143 odds atop the board, and the roughly +400 odds O'Connell is receiving.
Campbell has led his team to a nearly flawless record while playing in one of the league's toughest divisions, and he's doing it while putting immense trust in his players to execute. He did that repeatedly this past week with daring fourth-down calls during a narrow win over the division-rival Green Bay Packers on Thursday Night Football.
He was trading at around +400 only a couple of weeks ago. Now, following multiple seasons in which many argued he should win this award, Campbell will be hard to ignore if the Lions take the hotly contested NFC North.
Best odds: -143 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 58.82%
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My Coach of the Year candidate to watch
Mike Tomlin (+650)
If Tomlin were to win, it would be a legacy award of sorts since the legend somehow hasn't been given the honor, despite guiding his team to six division titles and a Super Bowl win after taking over back in 2007.
As has often been the case under Tomlin, the Steelers boast a strong defense that anchors the squad. But what's made this season different and perhaps trophy-worthy for Tomlin are the quarterback questions he's needed to navigate throughout the campaign.
The Steelers are 9-3 and sit atop an imposing AFC North. They've won seven of their last eight games, most recently knocking off the rival Cleveland Browns. The team managed Justin Fields well and squeezed the most out of him before turning to Russell Wilson, who looks rejuvenated.
Tomlin's odds have been hovering around the same territory despite his team still piling up wins recently. That's no doubt in part due to the brilliance of Campbell and the Lions. But if Detroit stumbles, expect the long-tenured legend to be ready to pounce.
Best odds: +650 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 15.38%
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NFL Coach of the Year odds over time
Odds via bet365
| Coach | June 11 | Aug. 22 | Dec. 3 | Dec. 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Harbaugh | +600 | +800 | +600 | +2500 |
| Matt Eberflus | +1200 | +1000 | OFF (Fired) | OFF (Fired) |
| DeMeco Ryans | +1200 | +1200 | +25000 | +25000 |
| Matt LaFleur | +900 | +1000 | +1800 | +5000 |
| Raheem Morris | +1200 | +1200 | +20000 | +30000 |
| Jonathan Gannon | +2500 | +1400 | +2500 | +7500 |
| Dan Campbell | +2500 | +2500 | +120 | -150 |
| Shane Steichen | +1400 | +1400 | +20000 | +25000 |
| Dave Canales | +1800 | +1800 | +100000 | +100000 |
Past NFL Coach of the Year winners
| Year | Coach | Team | Preseason odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Kevin Stefanski | Browns | +3000 |
| 2022 | Brian Daboll | Giants | +1400 |
| 2021 | Mike Vrabel | Titans | +2500 |
| 2020 | Kevin Stefanski | Browns | +2000 |
| 2019 | John Harbaugh | Ravens | +2800 |
| 2018 | Matt Nagy | Bears | +875 |
| 2017 | Sean McVay | Rams | +5000 |
| 2016 | Jason Garrett | Cowboys | +2800 |
| 2015 | Ron Rivera | Panthers | +4000 |
| 2014 | Bruce Arians | Cardinals | N/A |
How to bet on NFL Coach of the Year
When betting on NFL Coach of the Year odds, find a reputable sportsbook that offers futures bets for this award.
Check out the odds for different coaches; for example, if Jim Harbaugh is at +500 and Matt Eberflus is at +800, Harbaugh is favored to win.
Decide how much you want to wager and place your bet. If you bet $100 on Harbaugh at +500 and he wins, you’ll get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Keep an eye on how the coaches' teams perform throughout the season to see how your bet is shaping up.
But remember, with odds movement in future markets, it's pretty heavily impacted by wins and perception. If a coach overcomes adversity, their odds will improve. Conversely, their odds will worsen if they underperform or fall short of expectations.
Public betting trends are important, too - if many people are betting on one coach, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to manage their risk.
Expert analysis and predictions also play a role, as they can sway public opinion and betting patterns. Understanding these factors can help you make smarter bets and potentially catch favorable odds shifts.
How to read NFL Coach of the Year odds
Reading NFL Coach of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the implied probability of a coach winning the award. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood of winning, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on team performance, overcoming injuries, and betting patterns.
For example, if Jim Harbaugh has +500 odds and Matt Eberflus has +800 odds, Harbaugh is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Harbaugh and he wins, you’d get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
NFL Coach of the Year FAQs
Who is the favorite for NFL Coach of the Year?
Dan Campbell of the Detroit Lions is the favorite to win 2024 NFL Coach of the Year honors. His odds are trading at -143 through BetMGM, which implies a 58,82% win probability, according to our odds calculator.
When will the 2024-25 NFL Coach of the Year be announced?
The 2024-25 NFL Coach of the Year award will be announced during Super Bowl week in February 2025.
Who was the NFL Coach of the Year last year?
Cleveland Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski won the NFL Coach of the Year award last season.
Who votes for the NFL Coach of the Year?
The NFL Coach of the Year is voted on by the Associated Press and is awarded to the coach who is judged to "have had the most outstanding season."
Who won the NFL's first Coach of the Year Award?
Detroit Lions head coach George Wilson won the first Coach of the Year Award, handed out in 1957.
Who won the most Coach of the Year Awards?
Don Shula won Coach of the Year four times, three with the Baltimore Colts (1964, 1967, 1968) and one with the Miami Dolphins (1972).
How many coaches won Coach of the Year more than once?
Thirteen coaches won the award at least twice, with Shula (4), Bill Belichick (3), and Chuck Knox (3) the only bench bosses to win three or more.
When was the last back-to-back Coach of the Year winner?
Joe Gibbs was the last back-to-back Coach of the Year winner. He won the award in 1982 and 1983 as Washington's head coach.
NFL betting odds pages
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