NFL Offensive Player of the Year Odds 2024-25: Chase Cuts Into Barkley's Lead After Monster Performance
Ja'Marr Chase's 177-yard two-touchdown performance against the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football had a seismic impact on the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds (OPOY).
Chase's odds shortened at FanDuel from +2200 to +600 overnight, shifting his implied win probability from 4.35% to 14.29%.
Saquon Barkley secured his seventh 100-plus-yard rushing game in Week 14 against the Carolina Panthers over his last eight outings and remains the clear favorite despite Chase's standout evening.
Derrick Henry was idle in Week 14, with his Baltimore Ravens enjoying a much-needed bye. They're set to play the New York Giants in Week 15.
Here's a look at the OPOY favorites as we look ahead to the NFL Week 15 odds.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds 2024-25
Live NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds from our best NFL betting sites.
- Barkley has helped his Philadelphia Eagles become one of the Super Bowl odds front-runners
- Thanks to his monster MNF performance, Chase leapfrogged Henry on the odds leaderboard at FanDuel and DraftKings
- Barkley, Henry, and Chase are the only players with implied win probabilities over 14%
- Josh Allen, the prohibitive NFL MVP odds favorite, produced six combined touchdowns against the Los Angeles Rams, improving his OPOY odds in the process.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds favorites 2024-25
Saquon Barkley (-450)
While Barkley has taken a bit of a backseat in the NFL MVP odds, he's by no means been taking his foot off the pedal. Falling behind in the MVP race is more down to Allen's exceptional exploits than anything else.
With four games remaining, Barkley has already broken the Eagles' single-season rushing record. He leads the league in attempts (266) and yards (1,623), is tied with Lamar Jackson for the most yards per carry (6.1), and the tailback has logged the most yards per game (124.8).
After two 100-plus-yard rushing performances over the Eagles' first five games this season, Barkley has registered seven in his last eight. That includes four outbursts for 140-plus yards, and one with an absurd 255 yards.
It's no wonder he's trading at -450, which suggests an 81.82% chance of him winning this honor. A $10 bet would return a $2.22 profit.
Best odds: -450 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 81.82%
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Ja'Marr Chase (+750)
We said it would probably take Barkley and Henry falling off a cliff for anyone else to win this award. While that's still probably true, Chase made things slightly more interesting by scorching the Cowboys on MNF.
Trust the Cowboys to inexplicably and inexcusably give Joe Burrow and Chase one last chance to insert the final dagger emphatically. The dynamic duo took full advantage, with Chase shimmying, leaving the Cowboys secondary for dead and taking to the end zone with just over a minute to play.
Chase has eight touchdowns in his last four games.
He is enjoying a prolific season after his early-season contract issues and has the best chance of anyone not named Barkley or Henry to win the award, especially after his unforgettable evening in Arlington, Texas.
Our best sports betting apps are mainly in lockstep, although he's trading as short as +600 at FanDuel.
Best odds: +750 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 11.76%
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Derrick Henry (+900)
Henry's odds have lengthened slightly despite not playing in Week 14. After Chase's MNF performance, they lengthened even more, moving from +600 to +900.
Against the Eagles, he failed to score a touchdown for the second straight game after hitting pay dirt in each of the first 11.
The king was in the pole position not long ago while looking like he'd zoom out to an insurmountable lead. That was before the Ravens stopped using him like a workhorse.
While he's fallen below the century mark in rushing during four of the last six weeks, including against Philadelphia where he ran for 82 yards on 19 carries, Henry is still one of the best running backs on the planet.
He could make a case for himself again if he can continue to produce and keep scoring touchdowns for one of the NFL's best offenses, but probably only if Barkley slips.
FanDuel is offering +900 odds on Henry to win this award for the second time in his career, which would turn a $10 bet into a $90 profit if he does.
Best odds: +900 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 14.29%
How to bet NFL Offensive Player of the Year futures odds
Betting on the NFL Offensive Player of the Year typically involves wagering on which player will be awarded the league's Offensive Player of the Year title at the end of the regular season. Here are steps to bet on the NFL Offensive Player of the Year:
- Understand the odds: Familiarize yourself with the odds listed by sportsbooks for different players to win the Offensive Player of the Year. The player with the lowest odds is considered the favorite.
- Research player performances: Analyze the performances of various players throughout the season. Factors such as statistics, impact on their team's success, and overall contributions are crucial. Consider running backs and wide receivers primarily.
- Monitor odds and player performance: Throughout the season, keep an eye on odds fluctuations and player performances. As the season progresses, odds will change based on players' performances and their impact on games.
- Stay updated: Stay informed about injuries, team performance, and how players are faring.
- Cash-out or hold: Depending on how the season progresses and the player's performance, you can decide to cash out if the odds are in your favor or hold onto your bet until the end of the season to see if your chosen player wins the Offensive Player of the Year.
Remember, betting on the NFL Offensive Player of the Year requires careful consideration of various factors and a good understanding of the game and players' performances throughout the season.
How to read NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds
Reading NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the probability of a player winning the Offensive Player of the Year. Lower odds (e.g., +300) suggest a higher likelihood, while higher odds (e.g., +2000) indicate a lower probability. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on performance, injuries, and betting patterns.
If Tyreek Hill gets +500 odds and Christian McCaffrey gets +1000, Hill is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Hill and he wins, you’d get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds over time
(Most recent odds via bet365)
| Player | June 10 | Sept. 4 | Dec. 9 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | +4000 | +2200 | -600 |
| Justin Jefferson | +700 | +1000 | +3300 |
| Tyreek Hill | +550 | +700 | +30000 |
| Christian McCaffrey | +600 | +750 | OFF |
| CeeDee Lamb | +800 | +800 | +50000 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | +1100 | +1100 | +2000 |
| Breece Hall | +2800 | +1400 | OFF |
| Bijan Robinson | +3000 | +1400 | +30000 |
| Jonathan Taylor | +2800 | +2200 | +50000 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | +2500 | +1600 | +30000 |
NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds history
| Season | Player | Preseason odds | Team | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Christian McCaffrey | +1500 | 49ers | RB |
| 2022 | Justin Jefferson | +1200 | Vikings | WR |
| 2021 | Cooper Kupp | +8000 | Rams | WR |
| 2020 | Derrick Henry | NA | Titans | RB |
| 2019 | Michael Thomas | NA | Saints | WR |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | NA | Chiefs | QB |
| 2017 | Todd Gurley | NA | Rams | RB |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | NA | Falcons | QB |
| 2015 | Cam Newton | NA | Panthers | QB |
| 2014 | DeMarco Murray | NA | Cowboys | RB |
NFL Offensive Player of the Year winners by position
| Position | OPOY wins |
|---|---|
| Running back | 27 |
| Quarterback | 20 |
| Wide reciever | 4 |
NFL Offensive Player of the Year winners by team
| Team | OPOY wins |
|---|---|
| 49ers | 6 |
| Rams | 6 |
| Broncos | 3 |
| Oilers | 4 |
| Saints | 3 |
| Vikings | 3 |
| Bills | 2 |
| Chargers | 2 |
| Chiefs | 2 |
| Colts | 2 |
| Commanders | 2 |
| Lions | 2 |
| Patriots | 2 |
| Raiders | 2 |
| Titans | 2 |
| Bears | 1 |
| Bengals | 1 |
| Cowboys | 1 |
| Dolphins | 1 |
| Falcons | 1 |
| Panthers | 1 |
| Ravens | 1 |
| Seahawks | 1 |
NFL Offensive Player of the Year FAQs
Who is the favorite for NFL Offensive Player of the Year?
Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley is the 2024 NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds favorite with his -450 odds implying an 81.82% probability that he'll win the award, according to our odds calculator.
Who was the NFL Offensive Player of the Year last year?
San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey was crowned the 2023-24 NFL Offensive Player of the Year.
Who has won the most Offensive Player of the Year Awards?
Marshall Faulk and Earl Campbell are tied for the most Offensive Player of the Year wins with three each.
Who was the last back-to-back Offensive Player of the Year winner?
Marshall Faulk was the last player to win consecutive OPOY Awards. He won three in a row from 1999 to 2001.
Who won the most consecutive Offensive Player of the Year Awards?
Faulk (1999, 2000, 2001) and Earl Campbell (19778, 1979, 1980) won three consecutive OPOY Awards.
When will the 2024-25 NFL Offensive Player of the Year be announced?
The 2024-25 NFL Offensive Player of the Year will be announced during Super Bowl week in early February 2025.
When was the first Offensive Player of the Year Award?
Washington running back Larry Brown won the first OPOY Award in 1972.
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