NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds 2024-25: Favorites Daniels, Nix Back at it in Week 15

Jayden Daniels and Bo Nix were idle in Week 14, waiting for their opportunity to write the next chapter in the 2024-25 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds race. 

Daniels is the only minus-money favorite at our best NFL betting sites after a solid Week 13 display against the Tennessee Titans, which included three touchdown tosses. 

Nix led the Denver Broncos to their third straight win last time out, but threw two picks, which increased Daniels' lead atop the oddsboard. 

Tight end Brock Bowers, who had 49 receiving yards on three catches against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 14, is the only other rookie with an implied win probability of over 7%. 

Here are the OROY odds as we look ahead to the NFL Week 15 odds. 

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds 2024-25

Here are the latest highlights entering Week 15:

• Daniels' odds shortened from -135 to -220 following his bounce-back performance against the Titans. They shortened to -265 during his bye week
• Daniels and his Washington Commanders play the New Orleans Saints on the road while Nix and his Broncos face the Indianapolis Colts at home in Week 15
• However, Nix's odds have improved from +3000 to +240 since Nov. 7, an implied probability shift from 3.23% to 29.41%
• Bowers' odds moved from +4200 to +1200 after a monstrous Week 13 performance but remained stable after a comparatively quiet Week 14

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite 2024-25

Jayden Daniels (-265)

Welcome back, the real Jayden Daniels.

With his rib injury seemingly in the rearview, Daniels is back to running more, and he targeted No. 1 wide receiver Terry McLaurin at a much higher rate in Week 13 compared to the previous few games.

We likely missed our window to buy unless Daniels slips up significantly again. His -135 price was already a bit tough for an investment, and this -265 price is best left alone.

A $10 would result in just a $3.77 profit.

Best odds: -265 via BetRivers | Implied probability: 72.60%

My NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year candidate to watch

Bo Nix (+230)

Nix and the Broncos have surprised the football world while going 8-5 thus far, and they own a very respectable plus-71 point differential (nearly the best in the division and better than the Kansas City Chiefs' output).

They're coming off another victory against the Browns, and Nix threw for 291 yards and a touchdown. However, his odds lengthened after he threw two picks.

Nix was essentially puffing up his stats with scrambles for big gains earlier this season, making his box score look much more impressive than it was in truth.

But he's barely running anymore, as Nix is becoming a much more composed, complete quarterback.

This price shortened from +600 to +175 entering Week 13, but it's now back to +230. This is a solid time to buy if you still believe in Nix.

Best odds: +230 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 30.30%

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How to bet on NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year

When betting on NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, find a reputable sportsbook that offers futures bets for this award.

Check out the odds for different players; for example, if Jayden Daniels is at -400 and Caleb Williams is at +950, Daniels is favored to win.

Decide how much you want to wager and place your bet. If you bet $100 on Daniels at -400 and he wins, you’ll get $125 back ($25 profit + $100 stake). Keep an eye on how the rookies perform throughout the season to see how your bet is shaping up.

But remember with odds movement in future markets it's all about performance and perception. If a rookie has a standout game, their odds will improve. Conversely, if they underperform or get injured, their odds will worsen.

Team success can also influence a player's odds; rookies on winning teams might see better odds. Public betting trends are important too - if a lot of people are betting on one player, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to manage their risk.

Expert analysis and predictions also play a role as they can sway public opinion and betting patterns. Understanding these factors can help you make smarter bets and potentially catch favorable odds shifts.

How to read NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds

Reading NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.

For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.

These odds also reflect the implied probability of a player winning the award. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood of winning, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on factors like player performance, injuries, team success, and betting patterns.

For example, if Jayden Daniels has -400 odds and Caleb Williams has +950 odds, Daniels is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Daniels and he wins, you’d get $125 back ($25 profit + $100 stake). Meanwhile, a winning $100 bet on Williams would return $1,050 in total ($950 profit + $100 stake).

Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds over time

(Latest odds via FanDuel)

Past NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year winners

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year winners by position

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year FAQs

Who is the favorite for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels is the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite with his -265 odds implying an 72.60% chance he'll win the award, according to our odds calculator. 

When will the 2024-25 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year be announced?

The 2024 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award will be announced during Super Bowl week in early February 2025.

Who was the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year last year?

Houston Texans QB C.J. Stroud won the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award last year, throwing for 4,108 yards and 23 touchdowns with just five interceptions.

Has a team ever had both the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year and Defensive Rookie of the Year?

With C.J. Stroud winning OROY and Will Anderson winning DROY for the Houston Texans last season, it marked the fourth time in league history that both winners were on the same team.

The previous three times were with the New York Jets in 2022 (Garrett Wilson and Sauce Gardner), New Orleans Saints in 2017 (Alvin Kamara, Marshon Lattimore), and the Detroit Lions in 1967 (Mel Farr, Lem Barney).

Has a rookie ever won NFL MVP? 

Jim Brown is the only rookie to ever win NFL MVP. He won both Offensive Rookie of the Year and MVP in 1957 for the Cleveland Browns after leading the league with 942 rushing yards. 

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