NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds 2024-25: Williams in Driver's Seat Ahead of Training Camp

It's hard to imagine any player unseating Caleb Williams atop the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds this season. He was the No. 1 pick, after all.

However, this is shaping up to be one of the most talented rookie classes in recent memory, on the offensive side of the ball at least. While the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds are a whole other animal, the offensive odds are littered with potential stars.

As training camp approaches, Williams is pulling further and further ahead, with the Chicago Bears looking like an NFL playoff odds darling. But it won't be a cakewalk for Williams, with Jayden Daniels and Marvin Harrison Jr. getting the second and third-shortest odds across our best NFL betting sites. 

Regardless of who wins, rookie QBs and WRs will surely be making noise every week this NFL season.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds 2024-25

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds from our best sports betting apps as of July 8 | 🔥 = best odds | ❄️ = worst odds

2024-25 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year favorites

Caleb Williams (+150)

Few rookies QBs have come into the NFL with the same buzz as Williams. While he's not a true NFL MVP odds contender, I'd bet there's at least a handful of people in the Windy City backing the new face of their franchise to take home the top honor.

The former USC star was as good as it gets after two seasons leading the Trojans for Lincoln Riley. Even this past season as USC struggled, Williams continued to flash his jaw-dropping ability out of structure and his instincts as a passer. He was one of just six QBs in the country last year to not post an ADOT of 8.5 or more yards and an adjusted completion percentage of 77.5% or better, according to PFF (minimum 300 dropbacks).

Maybe even more importantly for Williams is the fact that GM Ryan Poles has made an effort to improve this roster in a way he didn't for Justin Fields. There are two Pro Bowl WRs at Williams' disposal in DJ Moore and Keenan Allen, and a fellow top-10 pick in Rome Odunze. 

Even the offensive line should be improved as long as it's healthy. But with all that said, this is far too short a price to back before we've even seen Williams step on Soldier Field. Sure, it could get shorter, but it's a long season and I'm willing to bet it lengthens. A $10 bet on these current odds pays just a $15 profit.

Best odds: +150 via Caesars | Implied probability: 40%

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Jayden Daniels (+650)

The top two favorites to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year are the last two Heisman winners, and the No. 1 and 2 picks in the 2024 NFL Draft.

Unlike Williams, Daniels enters a more shaky situation. Dan Quinn is taking over as head coach, and there's plenty of concern about this offensive line.

Still, Daniels was a human highlight package last year at LSU on his way to winning the Heisman. No other QB in college football ran for more yards than him (1,134), and he posted the fifth-most big-time throws in the country (29). Between his arm talent and rushing ability, he'll surely pop up on RedZone frequently.

But can he win this award? I have my doubts. Kliff Kingsbury is the offensive coordinator for the Commanders, and he was the head coach for Kyler Murray when he won it the award Arizona Cardinals. Daniels has a similar game to Murray, but he's a less capable passer out of structure. He tends to just tuck and run when the play breaks down.

There's also uncertainty around this pass-catching crew if Jahan Dotson doesn't step up. On the other hand, this price could shorten if Washington does make a move for Brandon Aiyuk. At this price, a $10 winning bet pays a $65 profit.

Best odds: +650 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 13.33%

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Marvin Harrison Jr. (+750)

It was often said Harrison was the best player in the draft regardless of position. Could he be the third straight Ohio State Buckeye to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? 

It's always tough betting on a wide receiver to win an award like this that not only favors a star QB, but also depends on his own QB's play. So if Harrison is as good as we all think he'll be right away, will Murray be good enough to feed him the ball?

I'm not that worried about Murray, who looked healthier as the year went on in 2023, and Arizona returns just one player that registered over 60 targets last season (Trey McBride). Harrison walks in as the WR1 on a team that lost 211 targets with Hollywood Brown, Rondale Moore, and Zach Ertz all gone.

He's the perfect X-receiver with his ball skills and body control. But Harrison also possesses rare fluidity and route-running prowess for a 6-foot-3 target. Harrison was one of just three receivers in the country last season to average over 3.2 yards per route run and make 10-plus contested catches.

If you're planning to back a WR to win OROY, this is the one, and a $10 winning bet pays a $75 profit.

Best odds: +750 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 11.76%

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My NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year candidate to watch

Drake Maye (+2500)

It seems a little crazy that the top two picks in the NFL draft are both getting odds shorter than +700, but the third QB selected is priced at 25/1. I'm not complaining though, because I'm a long-time Drake Maye truther and thought he was pretty clearly the second-best QB in the draft after Williams.

Obviously, the big thing working against him is how uncertain the New England Patriots' roster looks on paper. Maye is walking into a situation with no star WR and an offensive line with major questions. But it's not all that much different from what Daniels is getting in D.C.

Plus, I have more faith in Alex Van Pelt as his OC than Kingsbury. He's spent the last several seasons with Kevin Stefanski, and while Van Pelt is a first-time play-caller, his background fits Maye (Patriots fans are surely just happy it's not a retread). 

Keep in mind, Maye is also an aggressive downfield passer and athletic ball-carrier. He posted the second-most big-time throws in college football last season (35) and third-most scramble yards (415). Maye is the only non-Williams QB I'd be betting to win OROY, and it's because of the value with this price. It pays a $250 profit on a $10 bet. 

Best odds: +2500 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 3.85%

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NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds over time

Odds via bet365.

Past NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year winners

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year winners by position

How to bet on NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year

When betting on NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, find a reputable sportsbook that offers futures bets for this award. Check out the odds for different players; for example, if Jayden Daniels is at +500 and Marvin Harrison Jr. is at +800, Daniels is favored to win. Decide how much you want to wager and place your bet. If you bet $100 on Daniels at +500 and he wins, you’ll get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Keep an eye on how the rookies perform throughout the season to see how your bet is shaping up.

But remember with odds movement in future markets it's all about performance and perception. If a rookie has a standout game, their odds will improve. Conversely, if they underperform or get injured, their odds will worsen. Team success can also influence a player's odds; rookies on winning teams might see better odds. Public betting trends are important too - if a lot of people are betting on one player, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to manage their risk. Expert analysis and predictions also play a role, as they can sway public opinion and betting patterns. Understanding these factors can help you make smarter bets and potentially catch favorable odds shifts.

How to read NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds

Reading NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet. For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.

These odds also reflect the implied probability of a player winning the award. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood of winning, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on factors like player performance, injuries, team success, and betting patterns.

For example, if Caleb Williams has +500 odds and J.J. McCarthy has +800 odds, Williams is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Williams and he wins, you’d get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year FAQs

Who is the favorite for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams is the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. His odds are as short as +125, implying a 44.44% probability he wins the award.

When will the 2024-25 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year be announced?

The 2024 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award will be announced during Super Bowl week in early February 2025.

Who was the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year last year?

Houston Texans QB C.J. Stroud won the 2023 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award.

Has a team ever had both the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year and Defensive Rookie of the Year?

Yes. With CJ Stroud winning OROY and Will Anderson winning DROY for the Houston Texans last season, it was the fourth time in league history that both winners were on the same team.

The previous three times were with the New York Jets in 2022 (Garrett Wilson and Sauce Gardner), New Orleans Saints in 2017 (Alvin Kamara, Marshon Lattimore), and the Detroit Lions in 1967 (Mel Farr, Lem Barney).

Has a rookie ever won MVP? 

Jim Brown is the only rookie to ever win MVP. He won both Offensive Rookie of the Year and MVP in 1957 for the Cleveland Browns after leading the league in rushing yards with 942.

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