Super Bowl Betting Guide
These are some Super Bowl betting trends that you should consider before wagering on which team will win the big game:
- No team has ever won the Super Bowl after finishing the season below .500 ATS. That includes the regular season and the post-season. The 2003 Panthers, 2009 Saints and 2012 Ravens finished at exactly .500, while every other Super Bowl winner covered the spread in more than half of its games. The Chiefs went into Super Bowl LV with an 8-10 ATS record, and ended up losing heavily.
- Favorites are 28-25-2 against the spread in Super Bowl history and 36-18 straight up. That means the moneyline favorite has won the Super Bowl 66% of the time. However, favorites were a lot more dominant in the 20th century. Since 2000, the underdog has covered the spread 14 times, compared to seven times for the favorite.
- The NFC holds a 28-25 Super Bowl advantage over the AFC. The NFC won 13 in a row between 1985 and 1997. The AFC was dominant during Tom Brady’s time at New England, and it won six out of eight Super Bowls between 2013 and 2020, but then Brady switched to the NFC and led the Bucs to glory in 2021.
See our 2022 Super Bowl Betting Guide for up-to-date information on this year’s game.