2026 NFL Draft Odds: Arch Manning the Early Favorite to Be No. 1 Overall Pick
Texas QB Arch Manning (+200) opened as the early betting favorite by the 2026 NFL Draft odds to go No. 1 overall. The 2026 NFL Draft will be held in Pittsburgh from April 23-25, and broadcast on ESPN, ABC, and NFL Network.
Fellow quarterbacks Drew Allar (Penn State) and Garrett Nussmeier (LSU) are closest to Manning by the odds to be selected with the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft. Cade Klubnik, T.J. Parker, Keldric Faulk, Caleb Downs, and LaNorris Sellers round out the top contenders by the early draft betting lines from DraftKings.
🥇Who will be the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Our live 2026 NFL Draft odds for the No. 1 pick update in real time.
🏆 Who will be the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft?
🤘 Arch Manning odds to be No. 1 pick (+200)
Manning will officially take over as the Texas Longhorns' full-time starter for the 2025 college football season. He completed 61 of 90 passes for 939 yards and nine touchdowns against two interceptions in his first meaningful game action last season. He also rushed for 108 yards and four scores on the ground.
The son of Cooper Manning, grandson of Archie Manning, and nephew of Peyton and Eli Manning, Arch will be one of the most-watched - and most-hyped NFL prospects all season in Texas. The Longhorns (+650) are second by the college football championship odds, and Manning is the co-favorite by the Heisman Trophy odds (+800).
Barring disaster, he'll be the No. 1 pick of the 2026 NFL Draft in Pittsburgh, and the race to hold that No. 1 pick will be an intense battle all season for the non-Super Bowl contenders.
Best odds: +200 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 33.33%
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💰 Opening odds for No. 1 pick in 2026 NFL Draft
Odds via DraftKings.
- Arch Manning (+200)
- Drew Allar (+225)
- Garrett Nussmeier (+450)
- Cade Klubnik (+1800)
- T.J. Parker (+2500)
- Keldric Faulk (+2500)
- Caleb Downs (+2500)
- LaNorris Sellers (+3000)
- Carson Beck (+3000)
- Jayden Maiava (+3500)
- Dante Moore (+3500)
- Spencer Fano (+4000)
- Miller Moss (+4000)
- Harold Perkins Jr. (+4000)
📚 NFL draft betting history
| Year | Pick | Position | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Cam Ward | QB | +1500 |
| 2024 | Caleb Williams | QB | -1000 |
| 2023 | Bryce Young | QB | -1000 |
| 2022 | Travon Walker | DE | +140 |
| 2021 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | -1000 |
| 2020 | Joe Burrow | QB | OFF |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray | QB | -400 |
| 2018 | Baker Mayfield | QB | -175 |
| 2017 | Myles Garrett | DE | -400 |
| 2016 | Jared Goff | QB | -850 |
| 2015 | Jameis Winston | QB | -1500 |
| 2014 | Jadeveon Clowney | DE | -400 |
🤔 How to bet on the NFL draft
All of our best sports betting sites have NFL draft markets to bet on. Usually, they open with the odds to bet on who will be the No. 1 pick and then as the actual NFL draft approaches, they expand the available draft-related markets. Be sure to check out the best football betting promos to get the most out of your NFL draft bets.
Not all of our best sports betting apps have the same markets, though, with some offering more options or different options - like DraftKings having the market for which team will draft a specific player and FanDuel having the market for which team will make the No. 1 pick. But between our top NFL prop betting sites, you'll have a plethora of NFL draft betting options.
📖 How to read NFL draft odds
Odds are typically shown in formats like +300 or -150. Positive odds (e.g., +300) indicate how much profit you'd make on a $100 bet. For example, if a player has +300 odds to be the first overall pick, a $100 bet would win you $300, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $400. Negative odds (e.g., -150) show how much you need to bet to win $100. So, if a player has -150 odds, you'd need to bet $150 to win $100, plus your $150 stake, totaling $250.
These odds also reflect the implied probability of an event happening. Lower odds (e.g., +200) suggest a higher likelihood, while higher odds (e.g., +1000) indicate a lower likelihood. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on factors like player performance, team needs, and insider information that could affect draft decisions.
For example, if Manning is favored to be the first overall pick at -125, and Allar is at +105, Bec is considered more likely to be selected first. Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and evaluate potential returns based on how the draft might play out.
❓2026 NFL Draft FAQs
Who is favored to be the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft?
Texas QB Arch Manning is the early favorite to be the No. 1 pick by the 2026 NFL Draft odds. His odds of +200 represent an implied win probability of 33.33%, according to our odds converter.
Who has the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft?
We won't know who holds the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft until the end of the regular season. The Cleveland Browns, Tennessee Titans, and New Orleans Saints are expected to be among the contenders for the No. 1 pick.
Who was the first overall pick last year?
The Tennessee Titans selected Miami QB Cam Ward with the No. 1 pick of the past NFL draft.
When is the 2026 NFL Draft?
The 2026 NFL Draft will be held from April 23-25. The first round of the draft will begin at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, April 23.
Where is the 2026 NFL Draft?
The 2026 NFL Draft will be held in Pittsburgh.
💵 Best NFL draft betting sites
Ready to bet on the NFL draft? Check out how to bet on the NFL draft and the best sportsbook promos for 2026 NFL Draft futures:
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