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Caleb Williams of the USC Trojans at United Airlines Field as we look at the best 2024 NFL Draft odds.
Caleb Williams of the USC Trojans at United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images via AFP.

Just one more game stands between the NFL season and all eyes turning to the 2024 NFL Draft, but little has changed in recent days across our best NFL betting sites as USC's Caleb Williams remains the heavy favorite to be drafted No. 1 overall. 

We're less than a week away from the 2024 Super Bowl, and once it's completed, the football world will turn its attention in full to the 2024 NFL Draft, which gets underway on April 25 and wraps up on April 27. 

The Chicago Bears are currently selected to pick first in the 2024 NFL Draft, a pick they acquired from the Carolina Panthers. Last year, Chicago was slated to pick as well, but it traded out of the spot for a package that included wideout DJ Moore and the Panthers' 2024 first round pick. Carolina must not have imagined it would finish 2-15 when it made the swap.

Will they trade out of the top spot again? It seems logical to draft the current favorite — USC quarterback Caleb Williams — and pay him a rookie contract, but that means current starter Justin Fields would be with a different team ahead of his looming payday. The Bears have hired a new offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach ahead of the 2024 season, but there's been no indication if they want to work with the current roster or head in a fresh direction.

Regardless of what Chicago plans to do with the first pick, Williams is the consensus favorite to be picked first. He is already in four-digit odds in minus territory at several books, so it seems they are convinced he will go first regardless of what the Bears do with the pick.

Here is our look at the 2024 NFL Draft odds from our best sports betting apps.

NFL draft odds 2024: First overall pick

(Odds updated Feb. 6)

PlayerDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGM (Ontario)Caesarsbet365
Caleb Williams-900🔥-1200 -1250❄️-1000-1000 
Drake Maye+475❄️+700 +1000🔥+700 +700 
Jayden Daniels+1000❄️+4000+5000🔥+1400 +2800 
Marvin Harrison Jr.+1100+1600 🔥+1500+1000 ❄️+1400 
Michael Penix Jr.+4000 +10000 +10000+4000+8000 
Bo Nix+9000+10000 +10000+10000+8000 ❄️
Joe Alt+10000+10000OFF+8000 ❄️+10000 
Olumuyiwa Fashanu+10000+10000OFF+8000 ❄️+10000 
Laiatu Latu+10000 +10000+10000+15000 🔥+10000 
Jared Verse+10000 +10000+10000+10000+10000 

Who is the favorite to be the No. 1 pick of the 2024 NFL draft?

Caleb Williams

best odds: -900 via DraftKings

Williams declared for the draft on Jan. 15, after finishing his collegiate career with 10,082 passing yards, 93 touchdowns, and 14 interceptions while adding 966 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns on the ground.

Williams secured the Heisman Trophy during his first year at USC after transferring from Oklahoma. He completed 66.6% of his pass attempts for 4,537 yards while throwing 42 touchdown passes against just five interceptions. Additionally, he contributed 10 scores and 382 yards on the ground.

His numbers tapered off in 2023, and the Trojans' 7-5 record didn't fully reflect his play. Williams completed 68.6% of his throws for 3,633 yards with 30 passing touchdowns against five interceptions.

The best price available on Williams is the -900 line available at DraftKings, and suggests those books have given Williams a 90% implied chance be selected first overall. However, a $10 bet on that wager only returns a profit of $1.11.

NFL draft odds 2024: Contender

Jayden Daniels

best odds: +5000 via BetMGM Ontario; +4000 via FanDuel

Daniels has surpassed Harrison for the third-shortest odds at DraftKings but remains the fourth-shortest at FanDuel, Caesars, and bet365, and FanDuel is still hanging the largest number for him for American bettors. The LSU quarterback took home the 2023 Heisman Trophy to put a bow on his collegiate career, joining Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow as the second LSU passer to win the award over the last five years.

Daniels completed 72.2% of his pass attempts for 3,812 yards with 40 touchdowns and just four interceptions, all while guiding the Tigers to a 9-3 overall record with a 6-2 mark in SEC play.

As days go on it's looking increasingly unlikely for Daniels — or anyone else — to be selected ahead of Williams, but as long as his name is bandied about in the top three quarterbacks off the board this line merits keeping an eye on.

NFL draft odds 2024: Long shot

Michael Penix Jr.

best odds: +10000 via FanDuel, BetMGM Ontario

Penix was named a Heisman Trophy finalist, led the Huskies to capture the Pac-12 Championship, and guided the team to the CFB Championship Game.

The Washington senior will turn 24 years old before NFL training camps open next summer, so he's likely to remain a fade in this market. But he could be an option to go higher than anticipated once prop markets surface.

NFL draft odds 2024: Fade

Marvin Harrison Jr.

best odds: +1600 via FanDuel

Harrison has the talent to be the No. 1 pick of the draft. The Ohio State wideout has recorded back-to-back seasons with more than 1,200 receiving yards and 14 touchdown seasons, and he was named a unanimous All-American both seasons while capturing the Fred Biletnikoff Award as the top receiver in 2023.

The issue with him being the No. 1 overall selection has nothing to do with his pedigree or talent, and everything to do with the crop of QBs ahead of him. Even if the Bears decide to stick with Fields and think Harrison is the best choice for them, they'll have an excellent opportunity to flip picks with a quarterback-needy team while still giving themselves an opportunity to get Harrison.

There's too much prospective talent coming out under center, and too many teams in need.

NFL draft odds movement

Maye remains the only true challenger to Williams, and even that gap has been growing in recent weeks, with Williams now as short at -1200 at FanDuel. Harrison and Daniels own the third- and fourth-shortest odds, depending on where you're betting.

A new wave of quarterbacks rose toward the top of the board later in the campaign, although they've remained stagnant across the last week. Penix rounds out the top five, but he can be found for as little as +4000 or as much as +10000.

Colorado QB Shedeur Sanders opted out of the NFL Draft in late January, removing an exciting prospect in this year's class. But perhaps Sanders can improve his game while competing as a Heisman Trophy odds sleeper next season.

NFL draft odds 2024: Second overall pick 

PlayerFanDuelbet365
Drake Maye-250-240
Jayden Daniels+300+300
Caleb Williams +1000+750
Marvin Harrison Jr.+1400+1600
J.J. McCarthy+10000+8000
Joe Alt+7500+8000
Olumuyiwa Fashanu+7500+8000

NFL draft odds 2024: First QB selected

PlayerDraftKingsbet365
Caleb Williams-1000 🔥-1200
Drake Maye+450+450
Jayden Daniels+1000+1100 🔥
Michael Penix Jr.+4000🔥+3500
Bo Nix+7500🔥+4000
J.J. McCarthy+10000+10000

NFL draft odds 2024: First Non-QB selected

PlayerDraftKingsbet365
Marvin Harrison Jr.-475-450 🔥 
Jared Verse+500 +500
Olumuyiwa Fashanu+650+650
Joe Alt+900 🔥 +800
Laiatu Laatu+1100+1200 🔥
Dallas Turner+1300+1400 🔥
Brock Bowers+2500+2500
Kool-Aid McKinstry+3000 🔥+2500
Malik Nabers+4000 +5000 🔥

Projected NFL draft order 2024

Draft order at conclusion of regular season

PickTeam
No. 1Chicago Bears (via Carolina Panthers)
No. 2Washington Commanders
No. 3New England Patriots
No. 4Arizona Cardinals
No. 5Los Angeles Chargers
No. 6New York Giants
No. 7Tennessee Titans
No. 8Atlanta Falcons
No. 9Chicago Bears
No. 10New York Jets

Recent NFL draft 1st overall picks

YearPickPositionSchool
2023Bryce YoungQBAlabama
2022Travon WalkerDEGeorgia
2021Trevor LawrenceQBClemson
2020Joe BurrowQBLSU
2019Kyler MurrayQBOklahoma
2018Baker MayfieldQBOklahoma
2017Myles GarrettDETexas A&M
2016Jared GoffQBCalifornia
2015Jameis WinstonQBFlorida State
2014Jadeveon ClowneyDESouth Carolina

NFL draft betting analysis

Now that the Bears have clinched the No. 1 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the odds movement at our best sports betting sites will be closely tied to reports and rumors of their intentions in late April.

The rumor mill will be spinning constantly over the next few months with intrigue tied to whether the Bears will commit to QB Justin Fields for the future. The Bears could choose to use the 2024 No. 1 pick on their QB of the future and select Williams, Maye, or Daniels.

Shopping around at sites with the best sportsbook promos is crucial in this market. FanDuel offers the leading price on four of the top five contenders, although it has a market-low price on Williams. Caesars has entered the market as well following the completion of the regular season but has market-low numbers on three of the top ten contenders.

2024 NFL Draft FAQs

Who is the favorite to go first overall in the 2024 NFL Draft?

USC quarterback Caleb Williams (-900) is the favorite to go No. 1 in the 2024 NFL Draft.

Who was the first overall pick last year?

Quarterback Bryce Young of Alabama was the first overall pick of the 2023 NFL Draft by the Carolina Panthers.

When is the 2024 NFL Draft?

The first round of the 2024 NFL Draft will be held on Thursday, April 25, and the event concludes on Saturday, April 27.

Where is the 2024 NFL Draft?

The 2024 NFL Draft will be held in Detroit, MI.

How can you watch the 2024 NFL Draft?

You can watch the draft on NFL Network, ABC, and ESPN or stream it at the affiliated websites (NFL.com, ABC.go.com, and ESPN.com).

Here are our best NFL betting sites:

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