NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds 2024-25: Can Anyone Catch Watt?
Seeing anyone close the gap and overtake T.J. Watt as the Defensive Player of the Year odds favorite is becoming about as unlikely as seeing snow on the beach in Florida.
But while he's comprehensively dominating the rest of the field at our best NFL betting sites, there is hope for Pat Surtain II, Xavier McKinney, Will Anderson, Myles Garrett, and his closest competitors. Watt's -190 odds at FanDuel imply a win probability of 65.52%, leaving some room for others to ascend.
But that window is closing quickly.
There's a canyon between him and the rest of the field, with Surtain as the only other player trading with an implied probability of over 7%. Here's how the rest of the DPOY odds break down at our NFL prop betting sites.
NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds 2024-25
Defensive Player of the Year odds recent takeaways:
- Watt had a relatively quiet game against the Cleveland Browns (zero sacks, two tackles), but his odds remained steady
- Surtain has been terrific most of the season and saw his odds improve despite being on a bye week
- Watt and Surtain are the only players listed at or below +1200
NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds favorite 2024-25
T.J. Watt (-190)
The four-time All-Pro recorded a whopping two sacks and three tackles for a loss during the Steelers' 44-38 triumph in Week 13 over the Cincinnati Bengals.
He slowed down a bit against the Browns but did enough for his odds to remain stable. Watt has the best defensive rating at PFF (92.4) and the second-best run defense rating (92.2).
He's tied for the league lead in tackles for a loss (17), and his 9.5 sacks are tied for seventh, two behind leader Trey Hendrickson.
The tenacious defensive end has notched nine tackles for a loss over a six-week span, all while spearheading a team rooted in its defensive dominance. The Steelers now enter Week 15 allowing the fifth-fewest points per game (18.3).
Watt produced 19 TFLs last season while finishing second in DPOY voting, and there are still four games to go in the current campaign. He's the faraway front-runner in this market, and a $10 bet on him now would lead to only $5.26 in profit.
Best odds: -190 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 65.52%
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My NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds player to watch
Myles Garrett (+2000)
At this point it feels like it would take a Herculean feat to unseat Watt. But with that in mind, if you're looking for a long shot in this market, why not sprinkle a few bucks on the NFL's Hercules himself?
Beyond Watt's dominance, the most significant hurdle Garrett faced this season was voter fatigue after he was named the Defensive Player of the Year last campaign. But Garrett continues to show that he can be a one-man force on a team that's otherwise unimpressive.
Stunningly, he's logged three sacks in two of the pass-rusher's last five games, with each of those contests also featuring three tackles for a loss. He added to that tally with another sack in Week 14 against the Steelers.
While those stats are impressive, Garrett has seen his Browns allow 78 points in the last two games.
While pushing aside Watt feels like an almost impossible task, getting the defending winner at +2000 is an intriguing long-shot notion. A $10 bet at FanDuel would lead to a $200 profit.
Best odds: +2000 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 4.76%
How to bet NFL Defensive Player of the Year futures odds
Betting on the NFL Defensive Player of the Year typically involves wagering on which player will be awarded the league's Defensive Player of the Year title at the end of the regular season.
Here are steps to bet on the NFL Defensive Player of the Year:
- Understand the odds: Familiarize yourself with the odds listed by sportsbooks for different players to win the Defensive Player of the Year. The player with the lowest odds is considered the favorite.
- Research player performances: Analyze the performances of various players throughout the season. Factors such as statistics, impact on their team's success, and overall contributions are crucial.
- Monitor odds and player performance: Throughout the season, keep an eye on odds fluctuations and player performances. As the season progresses, odds will change based on players' performances and their impact on games.
- Stay updated: Stay informed about injuries, team performance, and how players are faring.
- Cash-out or hold: Depending on how the season progresses and the player's performance, you can decide to cash out if the odds are in your favor or hold onto your bet until the end of the season to see if your chosen player wins the Offensive Player of the Year.
Remember, betting on the NFL Defensive Player of the Year requires careful consideration of various factors and a good understanding of the game and players' performances throughout the season.
How to read NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds
Reading NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds is straightforward. Odds are usually presented in a format like +500 or -200. Positive odds (e.g., +500) show how much profit you’d make on a $100 bet.
For example, a $100 bet at +500 odds would win you $500, plus your original $100 stake, totaling $600. Negative odds (e.g., -200) indicate how much you need to bet to win $100. So, a $200 bet at -200 odds would win you $100, plus your $200 stake, totaling $300.
These odds also reflect the probability of a player winning the Defensive Player of the Year. Lower odds (e.g., +300) suggest a higher likelihood, while higher odds (e.g., +2000) indicate a lower probability. Sportsbooks adjust these odds based on performance, injuries, and betting patterns.
If Micah Parsons gets +500 odds and T.J. Watt gets +1000, Parsons is considered more likely to win. If you bet $100 on Hill and he wins, you’d get $600 back ($500 profit + $100 stake). Understanding these odds helps you make informed betting decisions and assess potential returns.
NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds over time
(Most recent odds via FanDuel)
| Player | June 10 | Aug. 2 | Oct. 9 | Nov. 19 | Nov. 26 | Dec. 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Parsons | +500 | +450 | +3000 | +15000 | +10000 | +10000 |
| T.J. Watt | +700 | +750 | +300 | -160 | -120 | -190 |
| Nick Bosa | +700 | +700 | +1100 | +1300 | +5000 | +10000 |
| Maxx Crosby | +700 | +700 | +1600 | +10000 | +15000 | +30000 |
| Myles Garrett | +700 | +750 | +2000 | +4000 | +1200 | +2000 |
| Aidan Hutchinson | +1400 | +1400 | +275 | OFF | OFF | OFF |
| Will Anderson Jr. | +3000 | +3000 | +4000 | +2500 | +1100 | +2200 |
| Danielle Hunter | +4000 | +3300 | +5000 | +3000 | +1400 | +2200 |
| Josh Hines-Allen | +1400 | +1400 | +8000 | +30000 | +30000 | OFF |
| Chris Jones | +2800 | +2800 | +1100 | +1100 | +1800 | +4000 |
NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds history
| Year | Player | Preseason odds | Team | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Myles Garrett | +600 | Browns | DE |
| 2022 | Nick Bosa | +1400 | 49ers | DE |
| 2021 | T.J. Watt | +800 | Steelers | LB |
| 2020 | Aaron Donald | +600 | Rams | DT |
| 2019 | Stephon Gilmore | +8000 | Patriots | CB |
| 2018 | Aaron Donald | +590 | Rams | DT |
| 2017 | Aaron Donald | +1400 | Rams | DT |
| 2016 | Khalil Mack | +650 | Bears | LB |
| 2015 | J.J. Watt | +150 | Texans | DE |
| 2014 | J.J. Watt | +550 | Texans | DE |
NFL Defensive Player of the Year winners by team
| Team | DPOY wins |
|---|---|
| Steelers | 8 |
| Giants | 4 |
| Ravens | 4 |
| Bears | 3 |
| Bills | 3 |
| Buccaneers | 3 |
| Dolphins | 3 |
| Texans | 3 |
| 49ers | 3 |
| Rams | 3 |
| Raiders | 2 |
| Seahawks | 2 |
| Vikings | 2 |
| Broncos | 1 |
| Browns | 1 |
| Colts | 1 |
| Cowboys | 1 |
| Eagles | 1 |
| Patriots | 1 |
| Panthers | 1 |
| Saints | 1 |
NFL Defensive Player of the Year FAQs
Who is the favorite for NFL Defensive Player of the Year?
Pittsburgh Steelers edge-rusher T.J. Watt is the Defensive Player of the Year odds favorite entering NFL Week 14 with odds as high as -190, implying a 65.52% probability via our odds calculator.
Who was the NFL Defensive Player of the Year last year?
Cleveland Browns defensive end Myles Garrett was named the NFL Defensive Player of the Year for the 2023-24 season.
Who's won the most Defensive Player of the Year Awards?
Lawrence Taylor, J.J. Watt, and Aaron Donald share the NFL lead with three career DPOY wins. Five players won it twice.
When will the 2024-25 NFL Defensive Player of the Year be announced?
The 2024-25 NFL Defensive Player of the Year will be announced at the NFL Honors show during Super Bowl week in early February 2025.
When was the last back-to-back NFL Defensive Player of the Year winner?
Aaron Donald won the award in 2017 and 2018, and J.J. Watt won it in 2014 and 2015. Lawrence Taylor took the honors in 1981 and 1982. Those three are the only back-to-back recipients.
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