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2022 NFL Draft Odds: Travon Walker New Favorite for 1st Overall

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2022 NFL Draft Odds: Travon Walker New Favorite for 1st Overall
Travon Walker of Georgia runs a drill during the NFL Combine. Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images via AFP.

Travon Walker out of Georgia has cemented himself as the favorite to be picked first overall in the upcoming NFL Draft. We take a look at the 2022 NFL Draft markets and the odds associated with a number of players and offer our best picks.

The NFL draft market consistently provides profitable opportunities for bettors and is one of the most lucrative markets you can wager on. In these markets, things move quickly and the sportsbooks lack the advantage they usually have over bettors since they are following the same breaking news as we can.

Edge rusher Travon Walker has seemingly emerged from nowhere to take over the top position on the odds board and be selected first overall. Walker opened at offshore sportsbooks with odds of +40000 to be the first overall pick, and he did not appear on the odds boards of many U.S. sportsbooks until more recently.

It was not until just prior to the combine that sportsbooks such as BetMGM started to offer Walker with odds of +3000. Walker is now the overwhelming favorite at -450, however, I have my eye on someone else to be the first overall selection on Thursday.

As we approach the start of the first round of the 2022 NFL Draft, we track the odds for several players and attempt to keep you ahead of any potential line movements.

SEE ALSO: 32 Best Bets for the 2022 NFL Draft

2022 NFL Draft Best Bets

  • First QB selected: Sam Howell, North Carolina (+5000 via FanDuel Sportsbook)
  • First CB selected: Ahmad Gardner, Cincinnati (-160 via Caesars Sportsbook)
  • Draft position: Jameson Williams Under 11.5 (+120 via DraftKings Sportsbook)
  • Draft position: Sam Howell Under 45.5 (+105 via DraftKings)
  • Malik Willis: Minnesota Vikings (+5000 via FanDuel)
  • First overall selection: Ikem Ekwonu (+500 via DraftKings)
  • Second overall selection: Kayvon Thibodeaux (+150 via FanDuel)
  • Third overall selection: Aidan Hutchinson (+500 via DraftKings)
  • Fourth overall selection: Garrett Wilson (+2300 via FanDuel)
  • Seventh overall selection: Garrett Wilson (+3300 via PointsBet)
  • Kenny Pickett: New York Giants (+5500 via DraftKings)

SEE ALSO: 2022 NFL Mock Draft: Picks, Recommendations for Each 1st-Round Selection

NFL Draft Odds: First Overall Pick

Walker has fallen from a -190 favorite to be the first overall pick to a -450 favorite since Monday. Hutchinson's odds have moved even further from +200 to as high as +500. I am still a fan of Ikem Ekwonu for the Jaguars, but the consensus seems to be that they will select Walker. With the current pricing that is available, I would lean Ekwonu because of the +500 odds versus -450 for Walker.

Pick: Ekwonu (+500 via DraftKings)

NFL Draft Odds: Second Overall Pick

Overnight, Kayvon Thibodeaux moved from +350 to +150 to be drafted second overall. The odds at Caesars are now as low as +110. I stated earlier in the week that I thought FanDuel was all over this Thibodeaux pricing at +185, when several other sportsbooks offered him at +600. In my opinion, Detroit Lions general manager Brad Holmes sticks to his guns and drafts the player he wants rather than drafting the local product in Aidan Hutchinson.

Pick: Thibodeaux (+150 via FanDuel)

NFL Draft Odds: Third Overall Pick

What a move on Derek Stingley Jr. we have seen in this market. Stingley opened as high as +10000 to be the third overall selection and now we see him as a -105 favorite at FanDuel. My only issue with the Stingley pricing is that it is based off of Hutchinson going second overall as a big favorite. In my opinion, whether the Jaguars take Ekwonu or Walker at No. 1, the Lions will be going after Thibodeaux. Therefore Hutchinson would be available for the Texans at No. 3 and I think his +500 price point offers some value.

Pick: Aidan Hutchinson (+500 via DraftKings)

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NFL Draft Odds: Fourth Overall Pick

There is a chance to hit on a longshot in this market. The New York Jets have the fourth and 10th picks. In the mock drafts, we can see that the Jets are in need of a wide receiver, and every expert predicts that the 10th overall pick will be used at the position. In addition to failing to acquire Tyreek Hill, the Jets will face heightened competition for a wide receiver with the 10th pick of the draft if they wait until then. In the wake of Daniel Jeremiah's prediction that the Giants will select Garrett Wilson at No. 7, we may see the Jets panic and draft their wide receiver earlier than expected.

Pick: Garrett Wilson (+2300 via FanDuel)

NFL Draft Odds: Seventh Overall Pick

The New York Giants selected Garrett Wilson with the 7th overall pick in Daniel Jeremiah's final mock draft. In my opinion, this is something I could see happening, and with a price point of +3300 available at PointsBet, I am willing to take a gamble on it. You can see that Wilson's odds are much shorter at Caesars to be selected 7th overall; they are currently +1200.

Pick: Garrett Wilson (+3300 via PointsBet)

NFL Draft Odds: First Quarterback Selected

This market opened with Kenny Pickett as the favorite, and the odds for Malik Willis to be selected as the first quarterback were around +250. In the wake of Willis' performance at the NFL combine, he moved from +250 to -170 at FanDuel to be the first quarterback selected. Currently, I do not see much value in the odds for Pickett or Willis, but if you are looking for a longshot, I recommend Sam Howell at +5000 via FanDuel.

On his pro day, the New York Giants sent four executives and he also worked out with his hometown Carolina Panthers. The odds for Howell opened at +650 in this market and he was projected to be the first overall pick prior to the season. I think that we have gone a little overboard by moving his odds all the way back to +5000.

Pick: Sam Howell (+5000 via FanDuel)

NFL Draft Odds: First Running Back Selected

Breece Hall opened at roughly -250 in this market, and his odds haven't changed much. Unfortunately, this market feels a bit chalky and I do not believe we are going to be able to find value before Thursday. I almost jumped through my ceiling in excitement when Clyde Edwards-Helaire became the first running back drafted at odds of +3300 in the 2020 NFL Draft. I do not anticipate that type of upset this year, and I believe Hall will be the first running back selected.

NFL Draft Odds: First Wide Receiver Selected

As of Monday, Wilson was a +120 favorite in this market. Now, his odds are as low as -150. I have already bet on Williams to be the first wide receiver selected at +400, and while the +340 at FanDuel is tempting, I am not inclined to wager on Williams at this time. Wilson has established himself as the market's rightful favorite.

NFL Draft Odds: First Offensive Lineman Selected

Neal was originally the favorite in this market until he conceded the top spot to Ekwonu. I was a supporter of Neal for a very long time to be the first offensive lineman chosen, but I think it's clear now that Ekwonu is the one who has the best chance of being selected by the Jaguars first overall.

In this market, it is important not to overlook the movement on Charles Cross. Several weeks ago, he was available at +1400, and he is now as short as +450. This movement in his odds can be attributed to his name being linked to the Giants at No. 5.

NFL Draft Odds: First Linebacker Selected

As compared to where the odds were on Monday, we have seen a dramatic change in this market. As of Monday, Walker was +1400 to be the first linebacker selected in the draft. He is now as low as +140 at FanDuel.

NFL Draft Odds: First Cornerback Selected

Gardner was a -550 favorite in this market a couple of weeks back and we are now seeing him priced at -160 because of the pressure Stingley is putting on him. This bet basically comes down to whether or not the Texans take Stingley at No. 3. I believe the Texans will opt for Hutchinson and that will cause Gardner to be the first cornerback drafted.

Pick: Ahmad Gardner (-160 via Caesars)

NFL Draft Odds: Over/Under Draft Position

Jameson Williams Under 11.5 (+120 via DraftKings)

Several reports indicate that Williams will be selected in the top 10, and the Atlanta Falcons have been linked to him at No. 8. At DraftKings, Williams is priced at +100 to be a top-10 pick. By playing Williams Under 11.5 at DraftKings, you gain an additional spot on the draft board and increase your payout by 20 cents.

SEE ALSO: NFL Draft Player Position Specials

Sam Howell Under 45.5 (+105 via DraftKings)

For me, the line of 45.5 is a significant number when playing this prop because the Seattle Seahawks, Giants, and Falcons will make selections in the second round before No. 45. I believe that all three of these teams could be ideal landing spots for Howell. Throughout this draft process, I think Howell has been underrated by the media and mock drafts. It is my expectation that he will be selected earlier than expected.

SEE ALSO: NFL Draft Team Specials

NFL Draft Odds: Team to Draft Player

Malik Willis: Vikings (+5000 via FanDuel)

Kirk Cousins is not the long-term answer for the Minnesota Vikings, and the Vikings are aware of this. Last year, they attempted to trade up to acquire Justin Fields but were unsuccessful and he ended up with the Chicago Bears. Minnesota is a perfect landing spot for Willis as he will have time to develop behind Cousins.

Although there may be better quarterbacks in next year's draft, the Vikings have no intention of selecting in the top 10 in 2023. With their current roster, they are a contender to reach the playoffs. In the event Willis falls to the Vikings at No. 12, I would be thrilled to have this +5000 in my pocket, as I don't think the Vikings will pass on Willis if given the opportunity.

Kenny Pickett: Giants (+5500 via DraftKings)

Pickett has fallen down draft boards, and I believe that this could open the door to a longshot in this market. While the Giants insist they are committed to Daniel Jones as their quarterback, there is a new regime in New York, and there is no reason to believe this stance would not change if Pickett was available at the end of the first round. The Giants could easily move from the 36th pick into the first round to select Pickett and obtain his fifth-year option.

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