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Jalen Hurts NFL Player Props, Odds Monday Night Football: Predictions for Eagles vs. Chiefs

Mike Spector

Last Updated: November 20, 2023 6:05 PM EST • 4 min 20 sec read.

Jalen Hurts will try to help the Philadelphia Eagles avenge last year’s defeat in Super Bowl LVII when they visit the Kansas City Chiefs on Monday Night Football, and we have you covered with our Jalen Hurts player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.

Philadelphia is the first team to start 8-1 or better in consecutive seasons since the 2005-06 Indianapolis Colts. Its 28-23 home win over the Dallas Cowboys in Week 9 was its seventh straight home win (including playoffs), and the Eagles are 3-0 against the NFC East for the first time since 2017. Six of Philadelphia’s eight wins have been by nine or fewer points.

In Week 9, the Kansas City Chiefs secured a significant 21-14 victory against the Miami Dolphins in Germany, elevating their record to 7-2. This win marked a milestone for head coach Andy Reid, tying him with Hank Stram for the most regular-season wins by a Chiefs head coach at 124.

Furthermore, the Chiefs showcased their resilience by extending their streak to 9-0 in the nine games following regular-season losses since 2021, emphasizing their ability to bounce back strongly. Additionally, Reid's teams have exhibited remarkable success with a record of 21-4 in games played with eight or more days of rest over the last 25 matchups.

For more picks on this MNF showdown, check out our Eagles vs. Chiefs player props, Eagles vs. Chiefs expert picks, A.J. Brown player props, Patrick Mahomes player props, Travis Kelce player props, and Eagles vs. Chiefs parlay ahead of kickoff.

To go along with our Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction, here are our best Jalen Hurts NFL player prop predictions for the Eagles vs. Chiefs Week 11 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Jalen Hurts NFL player prop predictions for Week 11

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Jalen Hurts player props

Jalen Hurts Under 21.5 completions (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Jalen Hurts’ last game against the Cowboys was the only game in his previous seven where he had fewer than 23 completions, let alone 21. However, Kansas City has seemingly transformed its image from a juggernaut offensive team to a staunch defensive team overnight, and we expect it to limit Hurts’ passing output again.

The Chiefs allow the third-lowest QBR in the league, and they rank in the top six in yards allowed per attempt and adjusted completion rate since Week 5. 

From 2018-22 (2018 was Patrick Mahomes’ first year as a starter), the Chiefs ranked first in points per game and 13th in points per game allowed. This year, Kansas City ranks 13th in offensive points per game and tied for second in points per game allowed.

DraftKings is the only one of our best sports betting apps offering cheaper than -120 odds to back the Under.

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Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown scorer (+125 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

Hurts is the No. 1 quarterback in fantasy football, and while his passing numbers have a lot to do with that, his rushing numbers are off the charts compared to the rest of the position.

Hurts has the third-most rushing yards (316) among all quarterbacks and the most rushing touchdowns (seven) while also ranking first in red zone carries. If the Eagles ever get inside the two-yard line, there is a good chance the “Brotherly Shove” play is coming, and Philadelphia’s high conversion rate on those plays always makes Hurts a viable threat to find the endzone.

This is only a three-star play, as Kansas City has allowed just three players to score a rushing touchdown this season, but it has not faced a running quarterback with Hurts’ skill set, and Hurts has scored a rushing touchdown in four of the previous five games. He torched the Chiefs for 70 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns in last year’s Super Bowl.

FanDuel has the next-closest odds at +115 for Hurts to find the endzone, so use our DraftKings promo code to get the most value for this wager.

Jalen Hurts Over 0.5 interceptions (-104 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐

Hurts had three total touchdowns in the Week 9 win against Dallas, but it is worth noting that it was just his second game this season with zero turnovers. Hurts has thrown at least one interception in five of nine games, and Kansas City can do things defensively to rattle the Eagles signal caller. 

Against defensive back blitzes this season, Hurts ranks 30th in completion percentage, 28th in yards per attempt, and 26th in QBR. Meanwhile, when sending a cornerback blitz, the Chiefs defense ranks first in completion percentage allowed, first in yards per attempt, and second in QBR. This is significant as Kansas City uses defensive back blitzes at the third-highest rate in the NFL (18%) and could be the key to forcing Hurts into a pick. 

All of our other best sports betting sites have odds of -105 or higher to back the Over, so we are making BetRivers our go-to shop.

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Jalen Hurts player prop picks made 11/20/2023 at 6:11 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”