Eagles vs. Chiefs Predictions, Picks, Odds Week 11: Monday Night Football
Kansas hosts Philadelphia in an epic Monday Night Football clash, and we offer our top Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction based on the best NFL odds.
It's the highly anticipated Super Bowl LVII rematch that everyone has been waiting for, and we're treated to it on a Monday night during the regular season.
Both teams had a bye in Week 10, and the Eagles emerged from that break with the best record in the NFL. However, it's the Chiefs who own the consensus shortest Super Bowl odds. The hype for this showdown is at an all-time high.
Though the Chiefs have been known in previous years as an offensive juggernaut, it's Kansas City's defense that's stealing the show in 2023. It's allowing just 15.9 points per game, but how will it hold up against the high-powered Eagles air and ground attack?
With revenge on the mind in what could be a potential preview for this year's season finale, can the Eagles be the ones to come out on top this time? Or will Andy Reid and the Chiefs once again play big brother in this matchup?
For our complete betting coverage of this mega Monday Night Football matchup, check out our Eagles vs. Chiefs player props, Eagles vs. Chiefs expert picks, Jalen Hurts player props, A.J. Brown player props, Patrick Mahomes player props, Travis Kelce props, and Eagles vs. Chiefs parlay ahead of kickoff.
Take a look at our best Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction for Monday Night Football (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction: Monday Night Football
Under 45.5 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
It’s shocking to see a game featuring Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes with a total listed at fewer than 50 points. Yet, when you look at offensive production, defensive performance, and results from earlier in the season, it’s not hard to see why this number is so low.
The Chiefs are tied with the San Francisco 49ers for the best scoring defense in football, and 11 weeks in, it’s clear this isn’t a fluke. They’ve held eight of their nine opponents to 21 or fewer points, and they haven’t given up more than 24 in a game. If you’re thinking it’s because of their opponents, think again. They have faced three top-7 scoring offenses in the NFL, and two were held to 17 or fewer points.
The Eagles average 28 points per game, scoring at least that many in five of their nine games this season. Yet, when playing top-10 defenses, they’ve scored 25 or fewer points in two of their three games, including just 14 against the New York Jets.
With two of the best quarterbacks in football on the field, this game could undoubtedly go Over, which is why this is only a three-star play. Yet, while the Eagles allow 21.7 points per game, they’ve only allowed more than 23 points in three games this year. The Chiefs’ offense won’t top that number Monday, as they’re ranked 13th in the league in scoring.
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Eagles vs. Chiefs bonus codes
Eagles vs. Chiefs best odds
bet365 (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 45.5 | Under 45.5 | Under 45.5 | Under 45.5 | Under 45.5 |
| -110 | -115 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
Four of our best sports betting apps offer the same total for the same price. Only FanDuel is asking more than -110 for the Under. While all four other sportsbooks are good options for straight-up plays, we’d recommend BetMGM if you want to parlay.
We recommend taking whichever team gets the extra half-point, as we believe this will be a field goal game. At the moment, that means backing the Chiefs against the spread. Of the best sports betting sites, BetMGM has the best price for the Chiefs to cover.
Eagles vs. Chiefs odds for Monday Night Football
Eagles vs. Chiefs odds analysis
The Chiefs opened as three-point favorites, but the spread has moved below the key number. Though they’re favored by just 2.5, the price for the Chiefs to cover is -115 or -120 at all five major sportsbooks. This signals that the spread will move back to three before long. With 60% of wagers backing the Chiefs, you should get in sooner rather than later if you’re backing the home team.
The number opened at 45.5 and it has not moved despite 83% of bettors backing the over. The price for the over at every major sportsbook is -110, so we don’t expect much movement before kickoff. The lack of movement to this point suggests that oddsmakers are very confident in the under.
Monday Night Football game info
- When: Monday, Nov. 20 at 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
- How to watch: ABC/ESPN
- Weather: 34 degrees, 10-mph winds, 40% chance of precipitation
Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction made 11/17/2023 at 8:19 a.m. ET
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