Broncos vs. Bills Parlay: SGP Odds, Predictions for MNF
Buffalo will try to respond to its disappointing loss in its last prime-time game when it hosts Denver on Monday Night Football, and we offer our Broncos vs. Bills parlay predictions based on the best NFL odds.
The Buffalo Bills (5-4) play their second straight prime-time game following their loss last week, and they'll have to deal with the suddenly hot Broncos.
Denver is coming off its bye, so if that time off caused any loss of momentum, it could be a long night for the Broncos in Buffalo.
Make sure to check out our Broncos vs. Bills prediction, NFL player props, Russell Wilson player props, and Josh Allen player props to go along with our best Broncos vs. Bills parlay predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Broncos vs. Bills parlay for MNF
(Odds via DraftKings)
- Under 47 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Bills -7.5 (-102) ⭐⭐⭐
- Josh Allen Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-175) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: +415 via DraftKings
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SGP predictions for Broncos vs. Bills
Under 47 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
There are only nine teams in the NFL this season whose games have hit Over more frequently than Under — neither the Broncos nor Bills are among those teams. Denver is 4-4 Over/Under, while Buffalo is just 3-6 to the Over.
Unders have dominated the NFL this season, so we’re looking to ride the MNF total in the same direction. Buffalo should be able to limit the Broncos offensively, as it has allowed only 17.8 points per game this season (4th in the NFL) and has been even better defensively at home.
DraftKings lists the total at 47 points while FanDuel remains at 47.5 for the time being if you're looking to place this as a standalone wager.
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Bills -7.5 (-102 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
The last time we saw the Broncos, they exercised some demons with a long-awaited win over the Chiefs. The bye week may not have come at the best time for Denver, as the momentum from that gritty win has arguably dissipated.
While Buffalo is just 2-2 ATS as a home favorite on the season, Denver is one of two teams in the NFL that has not yet covered a spread on the road. The Broncos are 0-2-1 ATS in road games this season. The Cincinnati Bengals humbled the Bills on Sunday Night Football in Week 9, in which Cincinnati controlled the game from start to finish. I’m looking for Buffalo to return to some home cooking and assert its talent gap.
The Broncos have one of the weakest passing defenses in the league; Allen and the Bills can take advantage. We're comfortable with the value at DraftKings, where this spread sits at -7.5, even though you can get Bills -7 spread at FanDuel.
Allen Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-175 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combining Josh Allen’s passing touchdowns prop with the Bills covering the point spread provides a correlation that means our parlay doesn’t get too much of a boost. However, when you factor in the game total going Under 47 total points, that allows our parlay odds to get a jolt.
If Allen runs in any touchdowns while simultaneously clearing the passing touchdown prop, keeping the game total Under gets more complicated. We will attempt to thread this needle, though, knowing that Denver has allowed 2.0 passing touchdowns per game on the season. That’s a mark Allen has hit in five of his last six games.
Only two teams in the league have allowed more passing scores per game, so I look for Allen to find his footing through the air. While FanDuel offers a better line on the Bills spread, we’re not thrilled with the overall parlay odds at +376 at FanDuel. We'll use our DraftKings promo code for this parlay to get the +415 odds offered on the SGP.
Broncos-Bills parlay picks made 11/13/2023 at 2:15 p.m. ET
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