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Josh Allen NFL Player Props, Odds Week 10: Predictions for Broncos vs. Bills

Philip Wood

Last Updated: November 13, 2023 5:35 PM EST • 3 min 33 sec read.

The Buffalo Bills host the Denver Broncos on Monday Night Football in Week 10, as we make our best Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.

Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen has thrown an interception in each of his last five games, averaging 275 passing yards per game during that span. Last week, he threw just one touchdown, ending a streak of four consecutive games with at least two passing touchdowns.

Allen has rushed for more than 40 yards in back-to-back games and added a touchdown on the ground in three consecutive. What should we expect against the Denver Broncos tonight?

In conjunction with our Broncos vs. Bills prediction, player props, and Russell Wilson props, here are our best Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions for the Broncos vs. Bills Week 10 Monday Night Football matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions for Week 10

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Josh Allen player props

Josh Allen Over 267.5 passing yards (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Allen has thrown for at least 258 yards in five of his last six games. He only failed to hit that mark when he threw for just 169 yards against the New York Giants. That performance was an outlier in a season full of impressive yardage. 

The Broncos allow 251.8 passing yards per game but only 233 per game over their last three. While they have improved, their secondary still leaves much to be desired. The Bills may struggle to run the football, as they have for most of this season, but Allen will throw with success tonight.

Four of our best sports betting apps have posted this total at 275.5. None of them offer a price better than -110, so FanDuel is the obvious place to wager, considering they’re giving us eight extra yards.

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Josh Allen Over 6.5 rush attempts (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Recently, there seems to be a concerted effort to get Allen to use his legs more. He has run the ball at least seven times in his last three games, scoring a touchdown in each contest.

Though Allen has run for more than 40 yards in consecutive games, he managed just 17 three weeks ago against the New England Patriots. His over is currently set at 30.5 at most of our best sports betting sites, with prices as high as -130. That’s too expensive for something that may not even happen if Allen runs the ball a lot on Monday night.

Once again, FanDuel is offering the best price for this prop. Every other major sportsbook asks -120 or more for him to run the ball more than six times. Paying -114 is still expensive, but this is a four-star play, so we’ll pay the extra for this prop.

Make sure to get the best price on this prop by using our FanDuel promo code.

Josh Allen 3-plus touchdown passes (+240 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Allen has thrown three or more touchdown passes just twice this season. However, he has thrown at least two touchdown passes in six of his nine games. For him to consistently throw for two touchdowns, despite how his offense has been performing, gives us hope that he’ll have more success against the Broncos on Monday.

Though the Broncos have only allowed 1.0 touchdown passes per game over their last three, they’re allowing 2.0 per game throughout the season. That’s tied for third-worst in the NFL. They just held Patrick Mahomes to zero touchdown passes, but it was also the second time they’d faced Mahomes this season.

This prop is only being offered at two sportsbooks right now. FanDuel is offering the best price compared to the +215 offered by bet365.

Our Brenden Schaeffer's also counting on a big passing day for Allen with his Broncos vs. Bills parlay for MNF.

Josh Allen player prop picks made 11/13/2023 at 9:31 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.