The Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers meet on Sunday Night Football, as we make our best Justin Herbert NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.
Last week, Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert went 21-of-36 for 260 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions. It was his second multi-touchdown game in a row, and his sixth time going over 250 yards this season.
Tonight, he’ll have his work cut out for him as he takes on the Baltimore Ravens and their third-ranked pass defense. The last time Herbert faced a defense in the top 10, he threw for just 136 yards and zero touchdowns. Week 12 NFL predictions
To accompany our Ravens vs. Chargers prediction and Lamar Jackson player props, here are our best Justin Herbert NFL player prop predictions for Sunday Night Football, and don't miss out on all of our NFL Week 12 predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Justin Herbert NFL player prop predictions for Week 12
- Justin Herbert Under 252.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Justin Herbert Over 35.5 passing attempts (-108 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
- Justin Herbert Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-130 via bet365) ⭐⭐
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Justin Herbert player props
Justin Herbert Under 252.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
The Ravens haven’t allowed a quarterback to throw for 250 yards since Jared Goff (284) when the Detroit Lions were blown out, 38-6. With how the Chargers’ defense has been playing, Herbert could find himself playing from behind the entire game. Yet, even if he is, it’s unlikely he’ll hit this number.
Herbert has faced six top-12 defenses this season. He’s thrown for more than 250 yards just twice in those games. He’s never thrown for more than 260, and he’s thrown for fewer than 175 yards twice.
The best sports betting apps are a bit conflicted about what to do with Herbert. DraftKings and Caesars have the same total listed as bet365, but they’re asking -130 and -135, respectively, for the Under. Meanwhile, FanDuel has the total listed at 244.5 and is asking -114 for the Under, while BetMGM doesn’t even have a total listed, but their price for Herbert to throw for at least 250 yards is -185
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Justin Herbert Over 35.5 passing attempts (-108 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
Herbert has attempted at least 36 passes in six of his 10 games this season, including his last two. The Ravens rank just 13th in the league in rushing yards allowed per contest. However, the Chargers are averaging just 105.7 rushing yards per contest, so the odds of them gaining the advantage in the run game aren’t very high.
One aspect of this game that makes taking this Over a bit frightening is that the Ravens might be able to string together long drives that keep Herbert and his offense off the field. The Chargers are allowing nearly 300 passing yards per game, and the Ravens’ rushing attack has been well-documented this season. However, if the Chargers are going to win this game, it’s going to be because of Herbert’s arm. And, if they lose, Herbert will throw plenty to try to keep them alive.
Justin Herbert Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-130 via bet365) ⭐⭐
The Ravens are allowing a league-best 0.8 touchdown passes per game this season. In last week’s game against the Cincinnati Bengals, they allowed two to two different quarterbacks.
Herbert has thrown one or fewer touchdown passes in four of his 10 games. Though he has thrown six in his last two contests, his game against the Lions was a shootout, and he didn’t get his second touchdown against the Packers until late in the fourth quarter. Herbert doesn’t excel against good defenses. He’s thrown one or fewer touchdowns in four of his six matchups against top-12 passing defenses.
The price for the Over is tempting, as FanDuel is offering a +120 price. However, the Under is the right play. Right now, bet365 is offering the best price, while some of the best sportsbooks have the Under priced at -160.
Justin Herbert player prop picks made 11/26/2023 at 7:42 a.m. ET.
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