Lamar Jackson NFL Player Props, Odds Week 12: Predictions for Ravens vs. Chargers
The Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers meet on Sunday Night Football, as we make our best Lamar Jackson NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.
Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson has thrown for over 200 yards in back-to-back games after throwing for fewer than 190 in Week 8 and 9. On the season, he’s thrown for 2,441 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while adding 535 yards and five touchdowns on the ground.
Jackson will be without Mark Andrews on Sunday Night Football, as he faces the worst pass defense in football in the Los Angeles Chargers. Will he be able to top 250 yards for the third time this season?
To accompany our Ravens vs. Chargers prediction and Justin Herbert player props, here are our best Lamar Jackson NFL player prop predictions for this SNF showdown, and don't miss out on all of our NFL Week 12 predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Lamar Jackson NFL player prop predictions for Week 12
- Lamar Jackson Over 235.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Lamar Jackson Under 27.5 passing attempts (+108 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
- Lamar Jackson anytime touchdown scorer (+150 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
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Lamar Jackson player props
Lamar Jackson Over 235.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Jackson has thrown for fewer than 235 yards seven times this season. In two of the four games where he threw for more than 235, he managed just 236 and 237. So, even against the worst pass defense in the league, Jackson is far from a sure thing to hit this Over.
However, the Chargers’ defense really is terrible right now. In their last five games, three quarterbacks have passed for more than 300 yards against them. The only two who didn’t were Zach Wilson and Tyson Bagent. They still managed 263 and 232, respectively.
The Ravens lead the league in rushing yards per game. But even great rushing teams find a way to throw all over this Chargers’ secondary. DraftKings and Caesars have the total listed at 233.5, but they are asking for a more expensive price than bet365. Therefore, we recommend playing the slightly higher number for the better price in a game where Jackson may throw for 300 yards.
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Lamar Jackson Under 27.5 passing attempts (+108 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
Jackson has thrown the ball 27 or fewer times in five consecutive games. During that span, he’s averaging 13.3 yards per completion. The Chargers enter Sunday night’s game allowing 11 yards per completion, which is sixth-worst in the NFL.
Jackson has thrown for more than 250 yards in two of his last five games despite not throwing the ball more than 27 times. Earlier this season, the Ravens won two games in which Jackson threw the ball 22 or fewer times. This is all to say, the Ravens don’t need Jackson to throw a lot to win, and Jackson doesn’t need to throw a lot to gain significant yardage.
FanDuel is offering this prop at 28.5, but asking -122 for the Under. DraftKings, bet365, and Caesars are each listing 27.5. While all are offering solid prices, the +108 offered by Caesars is the best by far.
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Lamar Jackson anytime touchdown scorer (+150 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Jackson has only run for touchdowns in three games this season, despite entering this week with five rushing scores. He hasn’t scored with his legs since Week 7 against the Detroit Lions. However, Jackson has run the ball at least eight times in each of his last three games, and against a weak Chargers’ secondary, there will be plenty of opportunities for designed QB draws in the red zone.
Based on what has happened to the Chargers all season, the Ravens are likely going to throw to get into the red zone. However, once in the red zone, they’ll turn to their rushing attack to score. While Gus Edwards and his 10 touchdowns have made it hard for Jackson to get into the end zone on his own, the Chargers are allowing the sixth-most rushing touchdowns per game, so there should be plenty to go around in this one.
DraftKings is offering the best price by far, and we wouldn’t recommend playing this prop any worse than +140. At the moment, no other sportsbook is offering a better price than +137, while BetMGM is even asking -110.
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Lamar Jackson player prop picks made 11/26/2023 at 8:06 a.m. ET.
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