With no shortage of props available for Super Bowl LVI, let’s key in on Cincinnati Bengal running back Joe Mixon and take a look at the best prop bet opportunities tied to his performance in the 2022 Super Bowl.
In what turned out to be the best season of Mixon’s career, the Oklahoma alum racked up 1,205 yards and 13 touchdowns on the ground in the regular season; both career highs and set in 16 games. He also eclipsed his career-high in receiving yards at 314 yards, with another three touchdowns through the air.
Unlike many other teams, the Bengals did not implement any kind of running back committee. Mixon received 66.9% of the team’s total rushing attempts. It has been more of the same in the playoffs, as Mixon has racked up 296 yards from scrimmage over three games. He has been a dominant catalyst in getting the Bengals to the big game.
Having already faced the league’s second-ranked rushing defense in the Tennessee Titans, Mixon is now squaring off against the sixth-ranked Los Angeles Rams. They finished the regular season allowing just 103.2 yards per game on the ground. Let’s take a closer look at a few props involving Mixon that I have my eye on.
Here are the top player prop bets for Joe Mixon in Super Bowl 56: (pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
What are Player Prop Bets?
Player props typically include a projected number, and the bettor must predict whether the prop will land Over or Under that line.
Prop bets are a fun way to get action on the game without necessarily needing to pick a side. They’re often a more sustainably profitable endeavor than betting on the game outcome.
SEE ALSO: Super Bowl Betting Guide
Joe Mixon Super Bowl Prop Bets
- Rushing yards Under 65.5 (-125 via PointsBet Sportsbook) ★★
- Rushing attempts Under 16.5 (-115 via Caesars Sportsbook) ★
- Receiving yards Over 25.5 (-110 via FanDuel Sportsbook) ★★★
- Receptions made Over 3.5 (-125 via Caesars) ★★★
- Longest reception Over 12.5 (-110 via Caesars) ★★★★
SEE ALSO: Rams vs. Bengals Picks
Mixon Super Bowl Props
Under 65.5 rushing yards (-125)
I already liked the Under at the line of 62.5 widely available at other books. I found it as high as 65.5 at PointsBet, and I’m pouncing while it lasts. Mixon is averaging 63.3 rushing yards per game through three postseason starts this year. He set his playoff high with 88 yards against the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship.
Against the highly ranked Titans in the Divisional Round, Mixon ran for just 54 yards, after totaling just 48 yards on 17 carries against the Las Vegas Raiders on Wild Card Weekend. I expect the Bengals to largely be playing from behind, so I’ll take the Under and look to capitalize on the variance between books.
SEE ALSO: 56 Super Bowl Prop Bets
Under 16.5 rushing attempts (-115)
Tying this prop to the one above, I don’t see Mixon getting the ball via handoff much with what I expect to be a largely negative game script for the Bengals for much of the game. In Cincinnati’s three postseason games thus far, Mixon averaged just over 17 attempts per game, nearly a full attempt lower than his 18.3 attempts per game in the regular season.
Over 25.5 receiving yards (-110)
Despite averaging just 19.6 receiving yards per game in the regular season, Mixon had some monster games through the air. On five occasions, including his final two regular-season games, Mixon racked up 40-plus yards through the air.
In his three postseason performances, when Bengals QB Joe Burrow needed all the help he could get, Mixon averaged 35.3 yards per game with a high of 51 receiving yards against the Titans. In the games against the Raiders and Titans, Mixon had a single reception eclipse the 20-yard mark.
SEE ALSO: Bengals Team Prop Bets
Over 3.5 receptions made (-125)
Following the trend in receiving yards, Mixon’s receptions spiked heavily this postseason. He averaged just 2.63 receptions per game through the regular season, but he has averaged 4.33 catches per game this postseason.
Expect the steady hands of Mixon to be a go-to for Burrow on Sunday, especially with tight end C.J. Uzomah expected to still be at least a little banged-up following injury in the AFC Championship.
SEE ALSO: Why Bengals Will Win Super Bowl 56
Top Mixon Prop Bet
Over 12.5 longest reception (-110)
Mixon had six games in the regular season with a reception of at least 12 yards. He has quietly turned into one of the best in-the-flat running backs in the league. In his three postseason games he has receptions of 18, 21, and 21 yards.
All he needs is to break one to get there on this prop, and I think that’s exactly what we see.
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