Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Week 11: Monday Night Football

We're up 2.0 units with our NFL anytime touchdown scorer predictions for the 2023 season and will look to make it a 3-2 week when attacking the odds from our best NFL betting sites for the Monday Night Football showdown between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs.

We took an early hit to our Week 11 anytime touchdown scorer predictions when Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews left the Thursday Night Football contest against the Cincinnati Bengals early due to injury. We were more than able to right the ship on the Sunday slate, as we cashed Jahmyr Gibbs at +120 and Mike Evans at +240. We gave one unit back on Sunday Night Football when Minnesota Vikings tight end T.J. Hockenson failed to find paydirt against the Denver Broncos.

As such, we enter Monday Night Football's marquee showdown between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs up 2.0 units for the season. Though Monday's 45.5-point betting total is significantly lower than one may expect, we're attempting to find one touchdown scorer with our Eagles vs. Chiefs predictions.

Don't miss our Eagles vs. Chiefs NFL player props and Eagles vs. Chiefs expert picks for further help when betting on this Super Bowl rematch.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 11: Monday Night Football

Eagles vs. Chiefs anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Rashee Rice, KCC, WR (+230 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Eagles have given up 14 touchdowns to opposing wide receivers this season, sharing that league-high mark with the Washington Commanders. While Philly has also been exploited by opposing tight ends to the tune of five touchdowns, we predictably can't get much value out of targeting Travis Kelce, as his best odds for anytime touchdown are -115 via BetMGM.

Focusing instead on the Chiefs' receiving corps, rookie Rashee Rice led the group in snap share each of the two weeks before Kansas City's bye. In both Week 8 and 9, he was the only wide receiver on the team to receive a red-zone target, and he had a score in two of his last three games.

Rice's 0.3 projected touchdowns on Monday are the most of any KC receiver and trail only Eagles wideout A.J. Brown. With that implied 30% probability, we'd expect odds around +230. While there's not much to be gained from BetMGM's offering, it is far superior to Caesars' market-low +175 odds.

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Anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 11: Sunday

Bears vs. Lions anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Jahmyr Gibbs, DET, RB (+120 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✅

The Detroit Lions are one of five home favorites laying at least a touchdown on the Week 11 Sunday slate. They're consensus 7.5-point favorites against the lowly Chicago Bears with an implied team total of 20 points.

This has me targeting a mispriced touchdown line on running back Jahmyr Gibbs, who has been climbing the Offensive Rookie of the Year oddsboards in recent weeks.

Gibbs has four rushing touchdowns over his last four games. After making back-to-back starts in place of an injured David Montgomery, Gibbs still led the backfield with a 58% snap share in the Lions' Week 10 shootout win over the Los Angeles Chargers, with Montgomery back in the mix.

Yet, Montgomery's odds for an anytime touchdown against the Bears on Sunday are only as high as +100 via Caesars. We can bet on a red-zone visit for Gibbs at outlier +120 odds from Caesars, with BetRivers offering a market low of -152.

As a complement to this pick, see our Phil Wood's Jared Goff NFL player props for Bears vs. Lions.

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Buccaneers vs. 49ers anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Mike Evans, TBB, WR (+240 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐ ✅

DraftKings is hanging inflated +240 odds for Evans to score an anytime touchdown on Sunday. His 0.4 projected touchdowns are tied with San Francisco 49ers receiver Brandon Aiyuk for the most of any receiver in this matchup, yet Aiyuk's highest odds are +155 via FanDuel.

The 40% implied probability should translate to +150 odds. DraftKings is well above that number with BetMGM offering the market low of +105.

While the Niners are monstrous 12-point home favorites in the 4 p.m. ET window, the Buccaneers have scored at least one touchdown in all but one game this season. Evans is coming off a six-catch, 143-yard game against the Tennessee Titans that included his sixth touchdown of the season.

See Anthony Wootton's Buccaneers vs. 49ers NFL player props for more on this matchup.

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Anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 11: Sunday Night Football

Vikings vs. Broncos anytime touchdown scorer prediction: T.J. Hockenson, MIN, TE (+250 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ❌

Hockenson scored a touchdown in two of his last three games, and he hauled in 11 catches on a season-high 15 targets from QB Joshua Dobbs in last week's 27-19 Minnesota Vikings win over the New Orleans Saints. That early connection with the team's new QB bodes well heading into Sunday Night Football's encounter with a Denver Broncos team that has allowed four touchdowns and a league-high 620 yards to opposing tight ends this season.

Hockenson's projected for 0.3 touchdowns on Sunday night, but we're able to get +250 odds from FanDuel for this pick when the 30% implied probability of him finding the end zone should equate to +233 odds. None of our other NFL prop betting sites are offering odds over +220 with BetMGM setting the market low with +150 odds.

For more on the SNF showdown, see Mike Spector's Vikings vs. Broncos prediction, Rodrigo Villagomez's Vikings vs. Broncos NFL player props, and Phil Wood's Russell Wilson NFL player props.

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Anytime touchdown scorer predictions: Week 11: Thursday Night Football

Bengals vs. Ravens anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Mark Andrews, BAL, TE (+165 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ❌

These odds are very curious for Thursday's Bengals vs. Ravens showdown.

Ravens tight end Mark Andrews, who has recorded six receiving touchdowns in 2023, has logged seven career scores across 10 meetings with the Bengals. He scored that seventh head-to-head touchdown during a Week 2 meeting between the two sides in Cincinnati while catching five of eight targets.

Additionally, opposing tight ends have been a blind spot for the Cincy defense in 2023, with four touchdowns allowed to the position. Only three teams have given up more yards to tight ends than the Bengals' 602.

Yet the odds remain heavily in our favor. Andrews is projected for 0.5 touchdowns on Thursday. That 50% implied probability should translate to even-money +100 odds. However, all of our best sports betting apps are offering plus money for this pick. The best value easily comes via FanDuel with its +160 price.

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