Skip to main content

Jared Goff NFL Player Props, Odds Week 11: Predictions for Bears vs. Lions

Philip Wood

Last Updated: November 19, 2023 12:30 PM EST • 3 min 43 sec read.

The Detroit Lions host the Chicago Bears in Week 11, and our best Jared Goff NFL player prop predictions are based on the top NFL odds from our best NFL prop betting sites.

Goff is coming off one of his strongest performances of the season. He completed 23 of 33 passes for 333 yards and two touchdowns during the 41-38 shootout victory against the Los Angeles Chargers. He led three straight scoring drives to finish the game, entering this Week 11 tilt with all of the momentum.

This week, he faces another favorable matchup against the Bears’ 26th-ranked pass defense. What can we anticipate from Goff in this NFC North meeting, and how do our best sportsbooks reflect this in their odds?

Check out our NFL Week 11 predictions and Week 11 best bets, along with our Week 11 NFL props to accompany our best Jared Goff NFL player prop predictions for the Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions Week 11 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Jared Goff NFL player prop predictions for Week 11

Not intended for use in MA
Affiliate Disclosure: Sportsbook Review may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook

Jared Goff player props

Jared Goff longest completion Over 36.5 yards (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

In three of the Lions’ past four games, Goff has thrown a completion of at least 44 yards. He failed to do so only when the Lions were destroyed by the Baltimore Ravens and their stingy defense.

Despite ranking in the bottom part of the league in passing yards allowed per game, the Bears are 14th in yards allowed per completion. They’re allowing just 9.8 per catch; over their last three games, that number drops to 8.7.

However, Goff and the Lions have the sixth-longest average completion mark in the NFL this season. They’re not afraid to take deep shots, but they also have playmakers who can take screens and turn them into explosive plays. As has been the case in more than half his games this season, we expect Goff to complete at least one pass of 37 yards or more this week.

Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets

Deposit required. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Claim Now
Each product featured on our website has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission. 21+. Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly

Visit our Google News page and click "Follow" (⭐) for the latest odds, picks and news!  

Jared Goff Under 24.5 passing completions (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Goff has completed more than 25 passes in just four games this season. Even last week, as he threw for 333 yards and his team scored 41 points, Goff completed just 23 passes.

With running backs David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs healthy, offensive coordinator Ben Johnson can take the pressure off his quarterback with their strong rushing game. Last week, the Lions amassed over 200 yards on the ground, and while we don’t expect them to have the same success against the Bears’ second-ranked rush defense this week, we expect them to run the ball a lot.

This Under is expensive, but it’s the right play. Perhaps bettors will back the Over before kickoff, and the price will drop. However, the price for the Under is as high as -134 at our other best sports betting apps, so we don’t recommend waiting for a better price. We expect the number to drop to 24 or 23.5 before long, so get in using our bet365 bonus code: SBRBONUS.

Jared Goff Over 3+ touchdown passes (+195 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Every one of our best sports betting sites that currently lists a touchdown pass line for Goff has the Over 1.5 at -190 or worse. That’s too expensive, even if he’s playing at home against a defense allowing 2.0 touchdown passes per game.

Though Goff has only thrown three touchdown passes twice this season, he hasn’t been a lock to throw at least two touchdowns. As great as the Lions’ offense has been, Goff hasn’t had the touchdown production you’d expect. He has just 14 touchdown passes in nine games and five games with one or fewer touchdown passes.

But the Bears’ defense has been great against the run of late while struggling against the pass. Last week, we saw the Lions fail quite a few times when running the ball against the Chargers in the red zone. This week, we expect them to pass in the red zone against a team that allows less than half of a rushing touchdown per game. Taking this alt line provides a massive reward for minimal risk.

Jared Goff player prop picks made 11/17/2023 at 8:41 a.m. ET.

NFL betting odds pages

Super Bowl OddsNFL Defensive Rookie of the Year OddsNFL Sacks Leader Odds
NFL MVP OddsNFL Comeback Player of the Year OddsNFL Best Record Odds
NFL Offensive Player of the Year OddsNFL Most Regular Season Passing Yards OddsNFL Worst Record Odds
NFL Defensive Player of the Year OddsNFL Most Regular Season Rushing Yards OddsNFL Win Totals Odds
NFL Coach of the Year OddsNFL Most Regular Season Receiving Yards OddsNFL Draft Odds
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

Check out our best NFL betting sites:

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Related pages

Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.