In Week 11, the Buffalo Bills secured a commanding 32-6 victory against the New York Jets. This success was fueled by a dominant defensive performance, which resulted in four turnovers, and an offensive display that outpaced the Jets with a yardage advantage of 393-155.
It is noteworthy that Bills quarterback Josh Allen, entering this week, was tied with Washington Commanders' quarterback Sam Howell for the most interceptions in the league. This aspect potentially influences the team's strategy, emphasizing a focus on ball security.
Last week, the Philadelphia Eagles secured their fourth consecutive victory, marking their third consecutive win by seven or fewer points. The Eagles defense kept the Kansas City Chiefs scoreless in the second half and limited quarterback Patrick Mahomes to under 200 yards.
Head over to our NFL Week 12 predictions and NFL Week 12 player props and best bets to accompany our best Bills vs. Eagles NFL player props for Week 12 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Bills vs. Eagles NFL player props: Week 12
A.J. Brown Under 85.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Last week, Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown caught just one ball for eight yards. It was his second consecutive performance under 100 yards after he broke the century mark in his six previous games.
The Bills allow just 204.2 passing yards per game, but they have faced the New York Jets twice, the New England Patriots, and the New York Giants. However, even when they get lit up by opposing offenses, the one place they never get burned is by the opposing team’s number-one wide receiver. They held Tampa Bay Buccaneers wideout Mike Evans and Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase to fewer than 40 yards while keeping Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill below 60 receiving yards.
For a while, it looked like Brown was matchup-proof. However, with all the weapons available on this Eagles’ offense, Eagles signal-caller Jalen Hurts doesn’t need to force the ball to Brown to have success. FanDuel is the only one of our NFL prop betting sites offering this total of Over 81.5 yards. Therefore, it’s a no-brainer where to play this Under.
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Josh Allen Over 256.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Eagles’ secondary was great last week against Kansas City, but their defensive numbers were inflated by a horrible performance by the Chiefs’ receivers. The Chiefs receivers dropped five passes, including numerous ones that would have gone for over 20 yards and one that would have gone for a touchdown.
Overall, the Eagles’ pass defense hasn’t been very good this season. They’re fifth-worst in the league in passing yards allowed per game, and they’re allowing an average of 296.3 passing yards in their last three despite holding the Chiefs to 168 last week.
Allen has had an up-and-down season but has thrown for over 250 yards in four of his last five games. The Eagles are the fifth-best scoring team in football, which means the Bills will need offensive production to keep up. So far this season, almost all of their offensive success has come when throwing the ball.
D’Andre Swift Over 58.5 rushing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
Swift hasn’t run for more than 80 yards since Week 3. He’s rushed for fewer than 60 yards four times in seven games during that span. Yet, he had a solid game against the Chiefs, especially considering his team was playing from behind in the entire second half.
Only once in their last five games have the Bills allowed a single running back to rush for more than 40 yards against them. While that could spell trouble for Swift, he will get plenty of carries in this game, no matter the score. He’s received at least ten carries in every game since Week 1, and he’s carried the ball 14 or more times in seven games. The Bills are 29th in the league in rushing yards allowed per attempt. If Swift gets 14 carries on Sunday, he’ll easily beat this number.
BetMGM is the best place to wager because they offer Over 58.5 for -115. DraftKings offers the same total for -120, and Caesars asks for -121. bet365 is asking -110 for over 60.5, but we recommend playing the slightly worse price at BetMGM for the two extra yards.
Bills vs. Eagles player props made Friday at 8:55 a.m. ET
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