Thanksgiving NFL Player Props, Odds - Predictions, Picks for Thursday

Last updated: November 23, 2023 11:35 AM EST • 5 min read X Social Google News Link

It’s a Turkey Day tripleheader that includes three NFC divisional games, and our Thanksgiving NFL player props are based on the top NFL odds from our best sports betting apps.
We're thankful for the NFL's three-game Thanksgiving Day lineup. The action starts with the Green Bay Packers taking on the Detroit Lions. Later, the traditional NFC East battle between the Dallas Cowboys and Washington Commanders unfolds.
Finally, a fight for first place in the NFC West takes center stage in prime time as the San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks duke it out.
To accompany our NFL Thanksgiving predictions and NFL Thanksgiving parlay, here are our best Thanksgiving NFL player props (NFL odds via our best NFL betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Thanksgiving NFL player props
Aidan Hutchinson to record a sack (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Hutchinson made an impressive mark with 9.5 sacks during his debut NFL season, showcasing his talent. However, his 2023 season has begun at a slower pace as the Detroit defensive end has managed just two sacks in the first 10 games. This contrasts sharply with his rookie-year performance, indicating a challenging start to the current season for Hutchinson in terms of his pass-rushing impact.
However, he's brought the quarterback down behind the line of scrimmage 3.5 times in his three career games against the Packers. That includes his 1.5 sacks on Green Bay signal-caller Jordan Love in Week 4.
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The Packers have allowed 22 sacks in 2023. Love has been dragged down for a loss 12 times in his last four outings alone. The Lions were able to break past the Green Bay offensive line five times in Week 4 to get a sack. Detroit's defense is averaging 3.4 sacks per game at home in 2023.
Hutchison might be effective, but our Mike Spector still thinks offensive fireworks are coming in his Lions-Packers prediction.
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CeeDee Lamb 40-plus receiving yards in each half (+220 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Lamb is currently tied with Philadelphia Eagles receiver A.J. Brown for the second-most receiving yards in the league (1,013) heading into Thanksgiving. The Dallas wideout has surpassed 100 yards in four of his last five outings, topping 150 in three.
The star pass-catcher has tallied at least 40 receiving yards in each half in all but one of those games, falling four yards shy of hitting the mark against the Los Angeles Rams during the second half of that game.
Washington is allowing 258.5 passing yards per game in 2023, and 191.8 to the wide receiver position. Five opposing wide receivers have reached 100 yards against them. Brown has gone off for 175 and 130 yards against the Commanders in 2023. He was five yards short of 40 during the first half of the first matchup, but the Eagles star hit the mark in both halves of the rematch.
In his Commanders-Cowboys prediction, our Phil Wood believes an offensive eruption is coming. And Spector is siding with another Cowboys receiver in his NFL player prop picks for Thanksgiving.
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Any four of Christian McCaffrey, Jahmyr Gibbs, Brandon Aiyuk, Sam Laporta, and Jake Ferguson to each score 1+ TDs (+850 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Christian McCaffrey couldn't extend his record-tying touchdown streak against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Then he started a new one while crossing the goal line against the Buccaneers. The San Francisco back leads the league with 14 total touchdowns.
Our Brenden Schaeffer is also high on McCaffrey's scoring potential in his 49ers-Seahawks player props.
Jahmyr Gibbs has reached the end zone five times over his last four games. The rookie has been given 59 of his 98 carries during 2023 over that span as well. Fellow Detroit running back David Montgomery crossed the goal line three times during Week 4 against the Packers.
Brandon Aiyuk has notched four touchdowns on the season, with the last two coming over his last two games. The Niners’ explosive wideout leads his team in targets and is one of three San Francisco pass-catchers with at least four receiving touchdowns in 2023.
Sam Laprota may be the weakest part of this prop while coming into the week with no touchdowns in his last two games. The Lions’ tight end has registered four in 2023, but two came in his Week 5 meeting with the Carolina Panthers.
Jake Ferguson has scored a touchdown in three of his last four games. The Dallas tight end has climbed his way up to become the second-most targeted player on the team. Washington has surrendered five touchdowns to the tight end position in 2023.
Thanksgiving NFL player props made Wednesday at 9:00 a.m. ET
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