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First Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Thursday Night Football Week 4

Rodrigo Villagomez

Last Updated: September 26, 2024 11:38 AM EDT • 2 min 60 sec read.

New York Giants wide receiver Malik Nabers celebrates his touchdown with teammates against the Cleveland Browns.
New York Giants wide receiver Malik Nabers celebrates his touchdown with teammates against the Cleveland Browns. Photo by Scott Galvin via Imagn Images.

Two struggling NFC East teams battle to get out of the bottom of the division, and with a bevy of talented wide receivers involved when the Dallas Cowboys meet the New York Giants, we narrow down the options for our first touchdown scorer predictions for Thursday Night Football.

Malik Nabers is one of the fastest-rising stars in the NFL, and he's doing the impossible by making Daniel Jones look good. Nabers has scored three times in his last two games, and we fancy his chances of finding the endzone once again on Thursday night.

Meanwhile, the Cowboys have too many talented skill-position players to be this bad, and that includes third-year wideout Jalen Tolbert. 

These touchdown picks offer just a taste of everything this game offers, which we've featured with our Cowboys vs. Giants prediction and Cowboys vs. Giants player props as part of our NFL Week 4 predictions.

First touchdown scorer predictions Thursday Night Football: Week 4

Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market - including a variety of touchdown markets - across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Cowboys first touchdown scorer prediction: Jalen Tolbert, WR ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +2000 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 4.76%

Though we highlighted Rico Dowdle in our anytime touchdown scorer predictions, it's the Cowboys' young receiver who we like for this market.

Six different players have crossed the goal line for the Cowboys this season, but only Brandin Cooks has been the first to do so in a game. This certainly makes it hard to pinpoint the best candidate for this market, but I like Tolbert to break the seal if the Cowboys score first. 

Tolbert is second on the team in targets (16) and receptions (10) behind CeeDee Lamb. He’s tied with Lamb in red-zone targets (2) and scored his first touchdown of the season last week against the Ravens on a 15-yard pass from Dak Prescott.

Caesars has this line all the way down to +1200, proving that even the best sports betting sites are having trouble predicting which Dallas player will score first this week.

We don't foresee a ton of volume for the Cowboys' passing game with our Dak Prescott TNF player props, but he can very well find Tolbert for a score early in this one.

Giants first touchdown scorer prediction: Malik Nabers, WR ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +1000 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 9.09%

Daniel Jones has thrown four touchdown passes this season, and Nabers has caught three of them. The rookie out of LSU has seen 38% of the total targets in the Giants’ passing game through his first three games. 

Nabers is tied with Cincinnati Bengals receiver Andrei Iosivas for the most red-zone touchdowns in the league (three). He’s also in a four-way tie for fourth in the league in red-zone targets  and receptions (five). On top of that, his 37 total targets are the most of any wideout in the NFL this year.  

The Cowboys haven't scored the first touchdown in a game since Week 1 against the Cleveland Browns. Last week, Dallas surrendered four touchdowns to the Baltimore Ravens before finally scoring one of their own in the fourth quarter.

FanDuel offers the most value for this prop, turning your $10 bet into a $100 profit whereas most of our other best sports betting apps are hovering around +700.

We dove even further into the Giants receiver's scoring chances with our Malik Nabers touchdown picks.

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Written By:
Rodrigo Villagomez
Rod has been a contributing author at Sportsbook Review for the last two years specializing in NASCAR and NFL prop betting. He has been writing and podcasting professionally for almost 20 years, spending the last four years in the sports gambling space. Rod has made several appearances on the SiriusXM Fantasy Sports channel. He’s appeared multiple times on the Fantasy Alarm Show with Howard Bender as well as several times over the last two years during the FSGA Draft Week. He is a published author in the academic world with an article on steroids in baseball featured in the Bedford Reader textbook. Rod loves to find non-traditional bets which has led him to dive into the world of defensive and kicking props in football among others. His love of motorsports has translated into several winning weeks of both NASCAR and Formula 1 bets. Rod is a fan first and aims to provide betting picks that are not only profitable but will provide the maximum entertainment value during the sweat. Ultimately, he tries to remember that watching sports should still be fun and anything else is icing on the cake.