Cowboys vs. Giants TNF Parlay: Thursday Night Football SGP Odds
If you just look at the box score, you might be inclined to believe that Dak Prescott produced a strong game during a loss to the Baltimore Ravens last week.
Our Cowboys vs. Giants TNF parlay based on the best Thursday Night Football odds leans into the fact that stat-padding efforts came late after the flaws of this Cowboys team were displayed for three quarters.
We can’t discount the possibility of another stinker for Dallas in a divisional road game on TNF.
The Cowboys enter as a long shot in the Super Bowl odds, with wide receiver CeeDee Lamb sitting third in the NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds.
Cowboys vs. Giants parlay: Thursday Night Football
NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Giants +5.5 (-102) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Dak Prescott Under 257.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Rico Dowdle Over 40.5 rushing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: +675 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 12.90%
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SGP predictions for Cowboys vs. Giants
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Giants +5.5 (-102) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
We want to take advantage of a spread that feels mispriced at our best sports betting sites as a result of public bias on both sides of this matchup.
Although he’s far from an elite quarterback, people hate Daniel Jones more than they should. He performed perfectly admirably in last week’s win over the Cleveland Browns, throwing two touchdown passes with no interceptions.
Overrating America’s team?
On the other side, the Cowboys get more love than they deserve. Dak didn’t look good for the majority of last week’s game, which would have been his third straight clunker before a fourth-quarter renaissance saved his passing line.
Prescott struggling against a Brian Burns-led pass rush isn’t out of the question. DraftKings lists New York at +5.5 with -102 odds, a slight edge over the -106 odds from FanDuel on the same spread. BetMGM offers strong value with Giants +6.
Prescott Under 257.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Dak Prescott hasn’t been in sync with top receiver CeeDee Lamb, and Thursday could be a challenging setting to rebound.
Andrew Brennan agrees while taking several Unders in his Dak Prescott TNF player prop bets. And our Cowboys vs. Giants TNF player prop bets feature an Under on the opposing quarterback.
G-men will disrupt Dak
It’s perhaps a bold choice, but we’re fading Dak and the Cowboys' passing game against the Giants.
Dallas’ only road game so far resulted in just 179 passing yards for Prescott during an ugly loss to Cleveland. Similar to that Browns defense, New York possesses the ability to disrupt opposing quarterbacks.
We love the number for Dak’s Under at BetMGM at an elevated 263.5 passing yards. But the -135 odds tank the strength of the overall price for our SGP (+550) relative to DraftKings and FanDuel. Against a Giants defense allowing only 186.3 passing yards per game, we’re not overly concerned about needing the extra wiggle room on yardage from BetMGM at the expense of quality odds.
DraftKings (257.5 yards) and FanDuel (256.5 yards) are reasonable spots to plug in this prop, as we see Dak falling short of 250 passing yards in this game.
Dowdle Over 40.5 rushing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Parlaying a Dallas player prop going Over with the Giants on the spread provides a strong contrarian boost for our overall parlay odds. DraftKings lists this parlay at +675, stronger odds than the +610 FanDuel is offering.
The Dowdle rushing line of 38.5 yards at FanDuel is two yards lower than the total at DraftKings (40.5 yards). But we’ll stick with DraftKings for this SGP because of the more favorable overall odds and the extra breathing room on Prescott’s passing yards going Under.
Mike Spector also thinks Dowdle will be featured heavily in his Cowboys vs. Giants prediction.
Zeke is a non-factor
Ezekiel Elliott drew just three carries last week. But the Giants allow 131.7 rushing yards per game, so this could be a breakout opportunity for the more relevant Dallas rusher. We like Dowdle to rush his way into the low-50s in yardage as the primary ball-carrier over an aging Zeke.
A winning $10 wager on this parlay at DraftKings would profit $67.50 as part of your NFL Week 4 predictions.
Cowboys vs. Giants odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Thursday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Cowboys vs. Giants
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
- How to watch: Amazon Prime Video
- Weather: 77 degrees, 30% chance of precipitation, 7-mph southerly winds
- Favorite: Cowboys (-245 via DraftKings)
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