Week 4 NFL Parlay Predictions, Odds: Bears’ Defensive Woes Continue

Can the Chicago Bears finally stop a team from scoring in bunches? We examine their chances Sunday as part of our Week 4 parlay picks based on the best NFL odds.

Connor Cooper

Last Updated: October 1, 2023 9:12 AM EDT • 5 minute read

In our NFL parlay predictions for Week 4, we're betting against the Chicago Bears' struggling defense, relying on the best NFL odds available.

While Justin Fields is often criticized for the Bears' challenges, their defense also shares the responsibility. Chicago has given up at least 30 points in eight of its last 13 games, all of which ended in losses. Unfortunately, we don't expect any improvement this week, especially against the Denver Broncos.

Here are our best NFL parlay predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Make sure to check out all of our NFL predictions for Week 4!

Best NFL Week 4 parlay predictions

Broncos Over 24.5 (+104 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Even after getting blown off the field last week in Miami, Denver opened as a field-goal favorite over the Bears and has drawn most of the early betting support. That's how bad things are in Chicago, as the Bears are coming off a lopsided loss of their own, 41-10 at Kansas City.

Not only have the Bears lost 13 straight dating back to last year, but they've given up at least 25 points in each of those games since trading away defensive stars Robert Quinn and Roquan Smith last October. All we need to cash this leg of our parlay is for that streak to continue.

As bad as Denver looked last week, the offense still shows plenty of promising signs. The Broncos' 7.6 yards per pass attempt were the sixth-most in the NFL entering Week 4, and Denver produced three first-half scoring drives against the Dolphins before throwing in the towel once things got out of hand.

In a bounce-back spot against the woeful Bears defense, look for the Broncos to approach the 30-point plateau Sunday afternoon.

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Bengals-Titans Under 41 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Joe Burrow and the Bengals' offense still aren't quite right, generating 19 first downs and 5.3 yards per pass attempt in Monday's 19-16 win over the Rams. Burrow's calf injury is preventing him from buying time in the pocket and hitting receivers downfield, hitting on just two of 20 passes that were in the air for 15 yards or more this year.

Until the Bengals' attack gets things figured out, they're reliant on their defense to keep them afloat. That stop-unit stepped up in a huge way on Monday, holding the Rams to three field goals until L.A. finally reached the end zone in the dying minutes, recording six sacks and intercepting a pair of passes.

Tennessee might have posted the league's worst offensive performance so far this season last week in Cleveland, gaining just six first downs and 94 total yards. Ryan Tannehill is averaging less than 200 passing yards per contest and Derrick Henry has been held to 3.2 yards per carry.

Defensively, the Titans are porous against the pass but that might not show this week against a Bengals attack that isn't taking deep shots down the field. Tennessee has gone Under the total in 11 of its last 14 games in Nashville, and all signs point to another low-scoring affair here.

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Raiders +10.5 (-260 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Chargers finally broke into the win column last week in Minnesota, but it wasn't easy. Then again, it rarely is for Justin Herbert and Co., who have won by more than 10 points just twice since the start of last season. Despite 405 passing yards from Herbert, L.A. still needed a goal-line interception in the dying seconds to preserve its 28-24 win over the Vikings, thanks to a defense that allowed nearly 500 total yards.

Expect the Chargers to have difficulty pulling away once again this week, even if Jimmy Garoppolo is unable to start at quarterback for the Raiders after going into concussion protocol this week.

Seven of the last eight meetings between these division rivals have been decided by seven points or less, and 11 of Las Vegas' last 14 losses have been by a single possession. Taking the Raiders up to +10.5 on the alternate spread protects us from the potential of the Chargers kicking a late field goal to make this a two-score game, but I'm not sure we'll need it.

NFL Week 4 parlay: +439 via FanDuel

Week 4 NFL parlay picks made 09/28/2023 at 9:55 p.m. ET

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Written by:
Connor Cooper

Connor Cooper has written about sports in various capacities for more than 20 years, including as a newspaper reporter, sports handicapper, and betting analyst. He originates hockey plays every day throughout the NHL season, regularly bets his own opinions on NFL and college football, and relies on handicappers he trusts to find daily action in basketball, baseball, soccer, tennis, and golf. A diehard Maple Leafs and Blue Jays fan growing up in the Toronto area, Connor quickly shed all his allegiances once he realized that making money betting on sports was much more fun than cheering for his favorite team. Connor won’t hesitate to bet on — or against — anybody if that’s where the value lies. In addition to analyzing recent and season-long statistics, Connor always looks to account for the human element when breaking down games, weighing situational and motivational factors into his handicapping process. He's also a big believer in finding creative ways to generate more value, constantly scouring BetMGM, Caesar, FanDuel, and other regulated sportsbooks' derivative markets such as team totals, alternate lines, and player props.