Titans Betting Preview 2023: Futures Picks & Predictions for Tennessee
The Tennessee Titans are looking to rebound under head coach Mike Vrabel after failing to make the postseason for the first time since 2018 last year. Sportsbook Review betting analyst Neil Parker has checked out the available markets and shares his predictions and picks in our Titans betting preview focused on the latest NFL futures odds from our best sports betting apps.
Everything finally caught up to the Tennessee Titans in 2022, and head coach Mike Vrabel couldn’t return the train to the tracks after a sterling 7-3 start. Tennessee dropped seven straight to conclude the year, and the club failed to clinch a postseason berth for just the second time during Vrabel's tenure.
The offense fell off the map to finish 28th in scoring (17.5 points per game), and a number of key defenders battled injuries down the stretch amid the late-season collapse.
For the first time, Vrabel wasn’t able to lead the Titans to be better than the sum of their parts. But I’m viewing Tennessee's 2022 season as a one-off and not a sign of what's to come.
Tennessee bolstered its quarterback depth with the selection of Will Levis in the second round of the 2023 NFL Draft, and then the team signed star receiver DeAndre Hopkins to strengthen its passing attack ahead of training camp.
Forget the 2022 Titans. This year’s version will be the Titans to remember.
Check out our 2023 Tennessee Titans betting preview based on the odds from our best live betting sites (pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Titans betting preview 2023
All Titans betting preview picks as of July 18.
Titans to win Over 7.5 games (+110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
(Odds as of Sept. 1)
Outcome | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Over 7.5 | +110 🔥 | -132 ❄️ | -125 | -120 | -125 |
Under 7.5 | -130 ❄️ | +106 🔥 | +105 | +100 | +100 |
I'm projecting the Titans to win 8.9 games, with the Over on 7.5 wins priced at -265. As a result, there’s a positive expected value of 52% when comparing my number with the available +110 odds.
Tennessee disappointed in 2022 and still won seven games. The team started 7-3 while reeling off a six-game winning streak during the heater. The Titans also went toe-to-toe with the Kansas City Chiefs in a Week 9 overtime loss, with rookie quarterback Malik Willis under center.
I value Vrabel, and running back Derrick Henry remains a unicorn rusher who can change both the pace along with the entire look and feel of a game. The Hopkins addition will help, too.
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Titans to win AFC South (+350 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
(Odds as of Sept. 1)
Market | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
To win Super Bowl | +8000 | +6000❄️ | +10000 | +10000 | +6600 |
To win AFC | +5000 | +4000 | +5000 | +6000 🔥 | +4000 ❄️ |
To win AFC South | +350 🔥 | +310 | +300 ❄️ | +340 | +320 |
It took a five-game winning streak to end the season for the Jacksonville Jaguars to win the AFC South in 2022, and the Titans spoiled a 7-3 start with seven straight losses to miss the postseason for the first time in three years. A Tennessee rebound under head coach Mike Vrabel is in the cards, and Jacksonville isn’t sneaking up on anyone in 2023.
I have the Titans projected for 8.9 wins and priced at +111 to win the division. As a result, we’re landing an enormous positive expected value of 113% on the +350 odds available through DraftKings.
Treylon Burks Over 685.5 receiving yards (-115 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Everything went wrong for Burks after being selected 18th overall in the 2022 NFL Draft and being dubbed the A.J. Brown replacement for Tennessee's offense. He missed six games while lining up for only 377 offensive snaps.
Still, Burks was quarterback Ryan Tannehill’s favorite target during organized team activities in May. That comes after the second-year wideout flashed the athleticism to be a matchup nightmare and problem in space when healthy in 2022.
I'm projecting Burks for 846 receiving yards, so I price the Over on 685.5 at -257 to present a positive expected value of 35% over the -115 odds through Caesars.
Editor’s note: Caesars doesn’t have a prop available for Treylon Burks’ receiving yards as of Sept. 1. DraftKings has it set at 725.5 (-110).
Derrick Henry Over 8.5 rushing touchdowns (-128 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Make no mistake, Henry’s best days as a rusher are in the rearview. But he's still been on cruise control to double-digit touchdowns in each of the past five seasons, including across just eight games when injured in 2021.
Henry paced the NFL in carries for the third time in four years in 2022, and he quickly silenced any concerns that a 2021 foot injury would linger or kick-start a decline.
I'm projecting Henry for 9.7 rushing touchdowns, so my Over on 8.5 is priced at -202 with an attached 19% positive expected value compared to the -128 through FanDuel.
Finally, Henry’s broken-tackle percentage and positive run rate were higher in 2022 than 2021, so it’ll take an injury for him to fall short of this total.
I'm confident in his durability and go-to role in Tennessee's offense.
DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Over total | 9.5 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 |
Over odds | -105 | -128 | -110 | -115 |
My Over odds | -121 | -202 | -121 | -121 |
Expected Value | 7% | 19% | 5% | 2% |
Editor’s note: FanDuel has moved the total for Derrick Henry’s rushing touchdowns to 9.5 (-102) as of Sept. 1.
DeAndre Hopkins Over 850.5 receiving yards (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
My numbers show a small edge in backing Hopkins to go Over 850.5 receiving yards during his first season with the Titans. Between multiple injuries and a six-game suspension to start 2022, Hopkins has only suited up for 19 games over the past two years.
We’re landing a decreased total as a result, and relocating to Tennessee gets the three-time All-Pro in a more favorable offensive environment. He’s also healthy, and elite wide receivers regularly continue high-end production into their mid-30s. Hopkins turned 31 in June.
I'm projecting Hopkins to compile 896 receiving yards, and my price for the Over on 850.5 is -131 with a positive expected value of 8% over the -110 number through DraftKings.
DraftKings | FanDuel | Caesars | |
---|---|---|---|
Over total | 850.5 | 850.5 | 900.5 |
Over odds | -110 | -112 | -115 |
My Over odds | -131 | -131 | +105 |
Expected Value | 8% | 7% | -9% |
Editor’s note: DraftKings doesn’t have a prop available for DeAndre Hopkins’ receiving yards as of Sept. 1. FanDuel has it set at 850.5 (-112).
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