Patriots vs Raiders Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 6: New England Defense is the Difference

Check out our top predictions for the matchup between the Patriots and Raiders based on the best NFL odds.
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The New England Patriots visit Allegiant Stadium for a Week 6 tilt against the Las Vegas Raiders, and the New England defense showing up on the road is one of our top Patriots vs. Raiders predictions. All our NFL picks are made based on the NFL odds provided by our best sports betting apps.

The New England Patriots were blown out 34-0 for their second consecutive lopsided loss last week, and they’re now down to 1-4 and in the conversation to finish the regular season with the NFL’s worst record.

On the flip side, the Las Vegas Raiders (2-3) snapped a three-game losing streak by topping the Green Bay Packers 17-13 on Monday Night Football and a late interception sealed the deal.

Will the Raiders extend New England’s recent woes, or can the Pats right the ship as we make our NFL best bets for Week 6?

To accompany our NFL predictions for Week 6, here is our best Patriots vs. Raiders prediction and our NFL picks (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Patriots vs. Raiders prediction

Patriots +3 (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

All those Super Bowl wins are a distant memory in New England, where the Patriots are licking their wounds after being outscored 72-3 in their last two games and dropping to 1-4 on the season. But as bad as it is for head coach Bill Belichick, QB Mac Jones, and Co., it’s important to note the quality of competition they’ve faced during that stretch. Philly, Miami, Dallas, and New Orleans are a combined 16-5, while the Jets boast one of the league’s top defenses.

A visit to Las Vegas is a much-needed step down in class as New England looks to get back on track. Jones certainly won’t be lacking for motivation, potentially playing for his starting job after being pulled in each of the Pats’ last two games. He should be better supported by a decent New England running game that the Patriots were forced to abandon when facing huge deficits during the last two weeks.

However, New England’s biggest advantage in this game is on the defensive side of the football, where its defense ranks eighth in total yards allowed per game and sixth against the pass. The Patriots’ pass rush should get home against a Vegas offensive line that has allowed 15 sacks in its last three games, forcing Jimmy Garoppolo — already the league leader in interceptions — into quick decisions and mistakes.

Las Vegas also still hasn't cracked the 20-point plateau in a game offensively, the Raiders are coming off a short week following a tight win over Green Bay on Monday night, and the Silver and Black are a dismal 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games as favorites.

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Patriots vs. Raiders best odds

BetMGM +3 (-115)

DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars bet365
+3 +2.5 +3 +2.5 +2.5
-118 -102 -115 -105 -105

Of all the games on this weekend’s NFL betting card, this one might be the most beneficial when it comes to line shopping for the best number. Some of our best sports betting apps had dropped the point spread below a field goal with reduced juice on the Pats, while others were still offering New England +3 with extra vig.

At the time of writing, BetMGM was the clear choice for New England point spread backers, charging just an extra five cents than normal for the +3 with the Pats. Catching a full-field goal with the underdog is extremely valuable in a game with such a low total.

Patriots vs. Raiders odds 

Patriots vs. Raiders odds analysis

FanDuel made the Raiders slim 1.5-point favorites on the early look-ahead lines but re-opened Las Vegas as 3.5-point chalk after the Raiders beat Green Bay on Monday and the Patriots were blown out for the second straight week. The hook quickly disappeared as New England was immediately bet down to +3, and several of our best sports betting sites had dipped their line below the key number by Friday morning.

The total has seen strong support for the Under in response to New England being blanked by the Saints and the Raiders’ offense struggling once again versus the Packers. At the time of writing, the consensus total sat at 41, a couple of points lower than the opener.

Patriots vs. Raiders game info

  • When: Sunday, Oct. 15 at 4:05 p.m. ET
  • Where: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
  • How to watch: FOX
  • Weather: Indoors

Patriots-Raiders prediction made Friday at 7:54 a.m. ET

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