Josh Allen vs. Joe Burrow NFL Player Props, Odds Week 9: Predictions for Bills vs. Bengals
The Cincinnati Bengals will host the Buffalo Bills on Sunday Night Football, as we make our best Josh Allen vs. Joe Burrow NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds from our best sports betting apps.
Josh Allen has established himself as a highly productive quarterback in 2023, ranking third in the league for total touchdown passes and fifth in terms of passing yards per game. However, his impressive performance has been marred by eight interceptions, with a worrying trend of throwing at least one interception in each of his last four games. This pattern highlights the crucial need for improved ball security as Allen strives to sustain his strong performance throughout the season.
Joe Burrow is far off the passing leaders in every statistical category. However, he's thrown eight touchdown passes in his last three games, and he’s cleared 280 yards twice during that span.
To accompany our Bills-Bengals prediction and Bills-Bengals prop picks, here are our best Josh Allen vs. Joe Burrow NFL player prop predictions for the Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals Week 9 matchup on Sunday Night Football (odds via our best NFL betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Josh Allen vs. Joe Burrow NFL player prop predictions for Week 9
- Josh Allen more passing yards (+100 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
- Joe Burrow 3+ touchdown passes (+270 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Josh Allen Over 0.5 interceptions (-130 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Josh Allen vs. Joe Burrow player props
Josh Allen more passing yards (+100 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
Burrow has been hot the last three weeks, but Allen has consistently thrown for much more yardage all season. He's logged three 300-plus-yard games and has thrown for at least 250 yards in five of his eight contests.
Meanwhile, Burrow has failed to hit 200 yards twice in 2023, and he’s thrown for 300 yards just once. But the Bills’ secondary is very beat up, and that's shown in the results recently, as both Mac Jones and Baker Mayfield were able to put up solid yardage numbers. We expect Burrow to throw for plenty of yards, and Allen will match him. Even if the Bengals’ rush defense is weak, the Bills are a pass-first team.
The total for each player is almost identical at most of the best sportsbooks. But the plus odds at BetMGM are enticing, making this a really solid play.
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Joe Burrow 3-plus touchdown passes (+270 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
There's no value in taking Burrow or Allen to throw for more than 1.5 touchdown passes. The prices are at least -150 for both at all five of our best sports betting sites. Therefore, we recommend playing the hot hand for a really good price at bet365.
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Burrow has thrown three touchdown passes in two of his last three games. While the Bills are only allowing an average of 1.0 touchdown heaves per contest, their injury-riddled secondary has given up two touchdown tosses in consecutive matchups. Those performances came against the New England Patriots and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, so a red-hot Burrow should be able to at least hit that mark.
bet365 is currently alone among our best live betting sites while offering this line. We wouldn’t wait around in an attempt to get a better price. This could end up being the play of the day in this game.
Josh Allen Over 0.5 interceptions (-130 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This one is really simple. The Bengals lead the league in interceptions per game in 2023. And Allen has thrown at least one interception in each of his last four games.
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The only reason this isn’t a five-star play is because the Bills could try to take advantage of the Bengals’ weak run defense. That would lead to fewer attempts from Allen, which would mean fewer chances to throw a pick.
DraftKings is the best option by far. All of our other best sports betting sites have set the price at -140 or worse. Some even have the price as high as -155.
Josh Allen vs. Joe Burrow player prop picks made 11/5/2023 at 8:31 a.m. ET.
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