Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction: Week 8 Odds, Picks & Best Bet (Nov. 1)
Denver looks to even up the season series with Kansas City, and pry first place in the AFC West from them in the process, as I provide my Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction.
Kickoff is at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver. The Chiefs are priced as a slight 1.5-point road betting favorite.
Chiefs vs. Broncos picks & predictions
See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 8 based on the latest NFL odds.
| Pick | Odds | Bet size |
|---|---|---|
| Broncos ML | +100 via BetMGM | 0.5 units to profit 0.5 units |
| Under 40.5 | -105 via FanDuel | 1 unit to profit 0.95 units |
Picks submitted: Oct. 28 at 4 p.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 1.5 units | Max profit: +1.45 units
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Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction & best bet
Under 40.5 (-105 via FanDuel)
Chiefs-Broncos games have been physical, low-scoring affairs in recent years. Five of the last seven matchups in this rivalry have finished Under 40.5 points, with the two exceptions totaling just above at 41 points each.
The Broncos' offense hasn't found any answers since switching play-calling duties back to Sean Payton. That unit continues to struggle with the third-fewest yards per game in the NFL.
On the other side, the Chiefs scored just three points last week and will have their hands full with one of the league's best defenses, especially in Denver.
40 points is a key number in football betting, so getting 40.5 gives us some room to avoid a push. I wagered a full unit on Under 40.5 at FanDuel's -105 odds, the top value among the best sports betting sites.
📡 SBR Edge - Mile High defensive dominance
The Broncos have allowed an average of 16.6 points at home since 2024.
Chiefs' success hinges on Walker's dominance
Kenneth Walker's quiet night against the Seahawks exposed holes in the Chiefs' passing game, similar to what we saw from this K.C. offense during its struggles last season.
The league's leading rusher was bottled up by his former team on Sunday Night Football, totaling just 38 yards on a career-worst 2.6 yards per carry.
Don't expect another monster Walker game against the Broncos, who I have coming away with a low-scoring home victory.
Play to: Under 40.5 (-112), pass at 40.
Score prediction: Broncos 20, Chiefs 17
Live Chiefs vs. Broncos odds
See the latest odds movement and more on our Chiefs vs. Broncos page.
Chiefs vs. Broncos opening odds
- Moneyline: Chiefs -126 | Broncos +103
- Spread: Chiefs -1.5 (-110) | Broncos +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 42.5 (-110) | Under 42.5 (-11)
Chiefs vs. Broncos weather
A cloudy Sunday forecast in Denver carries a 50% chance of rain. That caps the potential passing and scoring ceiling for this contest.
Latest Chiefs vs. Broncos injuries
How to watch Chiefs vs. Broncos: Week 8
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 1
- Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver)
- TV/Streaming: CBS
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