Joe Burrow NFL Player Props, Odds Week 10: Predictions for Texans vs. Bengals
The Houston Texans head to Paycor Stadium to face the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 10, and have you covered for the action with our top Joe Burrow NFL player prop predictions. We search for the best NFL odds from our best NFL prop betting sites when making all our NFL picks.
The Cincinnati Bengals' impressive four-game winning streak can be largely attributed to the enhanced performance of quarterback Joe Burrow. In the last four weeks, Burrow has notably elevated his game by throwing 10 touchdown passes, a significant improvement from the two touchdowns he managed in his first four games of the season. Burrow's increased efficiency and impact in the passing game have played a pivotal role in the Bengals' recent success, showcasing his ability to lead the team and contribute significantly to their offensive firepower during this successful stretch.
Burrow will be without wide receiver Tee Higgins (hamstring) this week, and wideout Ja’Marr Chase (back) is questionable. But the Cincy QB has still thrown for more than 280 yards in three of his last four and is facing a Houston Texans passing defense allowing 238 passing yards per game.
To accompany our NFL Week 10 predictions that include our Texans-Bengals prediction, here are our Joe Burrow prop picks for his Week 10 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Joe Burrow NFL player prop predictions for Week 10
- Joe Burrow Over 274.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Joe Burrow Over 25.5 passing completions (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Joe Burrow 3+ touchdown passes (+265 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
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Joe Burrow player props
Joe Burrow Over 274.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Bengals’ receiving corps may be beaten up, but the Texans have done poorly against much worse wideouts than what Cincinnati will put on the field on Sunday. Burrow has finally hit his stride, and even with just a hobbled Chase and a healthy Tyler Boyd, he should be able to dissect this secondary.
Over the last three weeks, the Texans have allowed an average of 257.3 passing yards per game. During that stretch, they faced Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield, Carolina Panthers QB Bryce Young, and Las Vegas signal-caller Derek Carr. All three of those quarterbacks threw for at least 235 yards against them, with Carr going for over 350.
Three of our best sports betting apps offer this total listed at 274.5. FanDuel is offering over 272.5 for -114. While you could consider taking the extra two yards, we don’t think the price is worth it. Therefore, we recommend wagering at bet365, which offers the best price of any of the three sportsbooks with 274.5 listed.
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Joe Burrow Over 25.5 passing completions (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Burrow has completed at least 28 passes in three of his last four games, going over 30 completions twice during that span. Some may be concerned about the Bengals blowing the Texans out, but whether they do or not, we love this prop.
Despite finding themselves in many high-scoring games, the Texans are giving up just the 18th-most passing attempts per game. However, of the 34.4 attempts they’re allowing per game, opponents are completing 24.3 of them. On the season, the Texans are 31st in the league in opponent completion percentage, with opposing quarterbacks completing 70.55% of passes against them.
In the past five weeks, Burrow has completed at least 66.7% of his passes, so he won’t need to throw a lot of passes in this game to hit this over. The price for this prop is as high as -145 at DraftKings, so make sure you shop around and get the best price. At the time of writing, bet365 is offering the best price by far.
Joe Burrow 3+ touchdown passes (+265 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
At the moment, bet365 is the only major sportsbook offering Burrow to throw or more touchdown passes in this game. Every other of our best sports betting apps offers over 1.5 touchdown passes, but the cheapest price is -150. While Burrow has thrown at least two touchdown passes in each of his last four games, that is a high price, especially since he’s going up against the team, allowing the second-fewest touchdown passes per game.
However, we’ve talked about the Texans’ last three opponents. They faced some of the most inconsistent offenses in the league, yet they still gave up a lot of yardage and an average of 1.3 passing touchdowns per game.
Even though the Bengals managed just two passing touchdowns in their first four games, they’re still tied for 11th in the league in passing touchdowns per contest. We’ll take the value of Burrow throwing three or more touchdown passes rather than paying a hefty price for him to throw at least two.
Joe Burrow player prop picks made 11/11/2023 at 9:29 a.m. ET.
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