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Houston Texans wide receiver Nico Collins is introduced before the game against the Buffalo Bills, and we offer our first touchdown scorer predictions for Lions vs. Texans.
Houston Texans wide receiver Nico Collins is introduced before the game against the Buffalo Bills. Photo by Troy Taormina via Imagn Images.

Nico Collins is expected to make his return for the Houston Texans at home in prime time as they host the Detroit Lions at 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC) on Sunday night at NRG Stadium.

This week’s first touchdown scorer predictions for Sunday Night Football celebrate the return of the league’s leading receiver through the first four weeks of the season. We also spotlight a beast of a running back who has been a scoring machine this year.

The Texans are expected to welcome back Collins this week just in time to help a battered offense. C.J. Stroud will need the help as he has thrown just one touchdown pass over his last three games. 

A two-headed rushing attack has powered the Lions to a 7-1 record, with Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomey leading the charge. Each has seven rushing touchdowns this year and more than 100 carries.

The Lions have scored the first touchdown in six of their eight games this year while the Texans have done it only three times this season.

We dive into this game with our Lions vs. Texans prediction and Lions vs. Texans SNF prop bets as part of our NFL Week 10 predictions.

First touchdown scorer predictions Sunday Night Football: Week 10

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Lions first touchdown scorer prediction: David Montgomery, RB ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +550 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 15.38%

Montgomery has racked up seven touchdowns through eight games this season. He’s crossed the goal line at least once in all but two games this year.

The Lions running back has been the first player to find the end zone for his team five times. In four of them, he was the first player on either team to cross the goal line in the game.  

Houston has allowed only four rushing touchdowns this season and is allowing the eighth-fewest rushing attempts per game (24.1) in the league. However, Detroit has not shied away from its running game no matter the matchup. This is especially true on the road, where it has the highest rushing play percentage in the league (56.3%).

Montgomery was held out of the end zone last week. He has not gone back-to-back games without a touchdown this season. He’ll turn your $10 bet into a $55 profit if he scores first this week.

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Texans first touchdown scorer prediction: Nico Collins, WR ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +950 via Caesars | Implied probability: 9.52%

Collins has been limited in practice this week, returning to the active roster after suffering a hamstring injury that landed him on the IR in Week 5. 

Even missing those four games, Collins still leads the team in receiving yards (567) and is tied with Stefon Diggs for the most receiving touchdowns (three) among Houston pass catchers.

Before he was injured, Collins led the Texans with 45 total targets. He was also the most targeted Houston receiver inside the 20-yard line, earning seven looks inside the red zone. 

With Tank Dell also questionable this week, I anticipate Collins to get plenty of work in his return. You can expect a tidy $95 return on your $10 investment on this wager.   

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