Anytime and First Touchdown Scorer Predictions Week 1: Lazard, Rodgers Reunite in New York
Monday Night Football is here to wrap up the NFL's opening week and we're looking for one more big payout from our best NFL betting sites with our final anytime touchdown prediction for Week 1.
After going 1-for-3 but for +3.5 units with Sunday's first touchdown scorer hit in Cardinals vs. Commanders, we're back with a final anytime touchdown scorer prediction for Monday Night Football of Week 1.
Aaron Rodgers debuts with the New York Jets against the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football. But with most eyes on the future Hall of Famer, we're looking elsewhere among our NFL prop betting sites for value with Monday's best anytime touchdown prediction.
As a complement to your Bills vs. Jets predictions, Bills vs. Jets player props, Josh Allen vs. Aaron Rodgers player props, and Garrett Wilson player props, our anytime touchdown prediction is here to boost your bankroll.
Here are our best NFL anytime and first touchdown scorer predictions for Week 1 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
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Bills vs. Jets anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Allen Lazard (Jets, WR) +300 via BetMGM ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This may feel like low-hanging fruit to a degree but I'm most interested in BetMGM's outlier +300 odds on this prop with most of our other best sports betting sites setting Lazard's odds of finding the end zone at +275 or worse.
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Garrett Wilson led the Jets with 18 red-zone targets as a rookie last season, all while playing with the three-headed monster of Zach Wilson, Joe Flacco, and Mike White. Behind Wilson, receiver Elijah Moore and Tyler Conklin had nine red-zone targets apiece, Braxton Berrios had eight, and Corey Davis had seven. Of that group, only Conklin remains on the roster.
Lazard finds himself in the perfect position to scoop up that red-zone work, especially with the Jets expected to find themselves in the scoring area of the field much more often with Aaron Rodgers at the helm of the offense. In his fifth NFL season, Lazard led the Green Bay Packers with 11 red-zone looks last season and caught seven for four touchdowns. It was his second straight season with at least six total touchdowns while working with Rodgers.
Packers vs. Bears anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Jayden Reed (Packers, WR) +325 via Caesars ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✖️
The Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears are playing a rivalry matchup during Sunday's late afternoon window, and the game is getting one of the lowest point totals of Week 1. The Packers are 1-point underdogs with a game total of 41.5, leading to an implied team total of 20 points.
That's not an abundance of offense, especially with running backs Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon expected to carry the load for Green Bay with quarterback Jordan Love in his first truly meaningful start. However, the Bears possess plenty of big-play potential and could quickly build a lead. If that happens, Love will be forced to turn to the air, and his options are limited with Christian Watson ruled out and Romeo Doubs not at full health. Enter a second-round rookie wideout in Jayden Reed.
Most importantly, we're getting an excellent price shopping opportunity with Reed. His odds to score an anytime touchdown are listed at +325 via Caesars, with BetMGM offering the market-low of +165.
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Texans vs. Ravens anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Dalton Schultz (Texans, TE) +333 via BetMGM ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✖️
The Baltimore Ravens surrendered six touchdowns to tight ends in 2022, and on Sunday they face one of the top rookie quarterbacks of 2023 in Houston Texans starter C.J. Stroud. One of Stroud's most experienced pass catchers just so happens to be tight end Dalton Schultz.
He's recorded at least four receiving touchdowns each of the past three seasons with the Dallas Cowboys, including five across just 15 games in 2022. Schultz is now one of the veterans in a much weaker Houston group that'll be charged with helping to ease Stroud into the NFL.
Houston is a 9.5-point underdog in Baltimore on Sunday and will surely be airing it out often, with plenty of garbage time expected in Brenden Schaeffer's Texans vs. Ravens prediction. BetMGM is our preferred destination for this bet with a market-best +333 odds. Caesars and BetRivers offer Schultz to find the end zone at odds below +300.
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First touchdown scorer predictions
Cardinals vs. Commanders first touchdown scorer prediction: Brian Robinson Jr. (Commanders, RB) +650 via DraftKings ⭐⭐⭐ ✔️
Price shopping across our NFL prop betting sites is of the utmost importance when betting on touchdown predictions. DraftKings is posting +145 odds for second-year running back Brian Robinson Jr. to score an anytime touchdown, with Caesars offering suppressed +135 odds in that market. A seemingly small difference, but that's a lost profit of $10 on a $100 bet without a DraftKings account.
The difference grows substantially in the first touchdown market for Sunday's matchup. DraftKings again is posting the market-high odds of +650, with Caesars' offering down at +470. That's a difference of $180 on a $100 bet.
Washington should score early and often in Week 1 with Arizona's sights seemingly fully set on the 2024 NFL Draft. Though expectations are high for Howell and there are plenty of weapons in Washington's passing game, Robinson and fellow Commanders running back Antonio Gibson are more than capable of lightening the load for the inexperienced starter.
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The Commanders are one of the heaviest favorites by the NFL Week 1 odds, laying 7 points to the Arizona Cardinals at home. And that's with second-year quarterback Sam Howell making just his second NFL start for Washington.
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