Zach Wilson NFL Player Props, Odds Week 9: Predictions for MNF
The New York Jets play host to the Los Angeles Chargers, as we make our best Zach Wilson NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.
Despite Zach Wilson's unimpressive statistical performance, the New York Jets have managed to secure three consecutive victories. Over the past five weeks, Wilson has thrown three touchdowns and only one interception, showcasing his ability to protect the football.
However, his passing yardage has been relatively modest, exceeding 200 yards only twice this season. In Week 8 against the New York Giants he finished with 240 yards, but he had logged just 171 yards before a dramatic final 24 seconds of regulation and the overtime period. Wilson delivered crucial plays when it mattered most.
Wilson's ability to lead the Jets to wins, despite less-than-stellar numbers, reflects his potential for clutch performances and growth as a young quarterback. His late-game heroics in Week 8 underscore his ability to rise to the occasion in critical situations.
To accompany our Chargers vs. Jets predictions, MNF prop bets, and Chargers vs. Jets parlay picks, here are our best Zach Wilson NFL player prop predictions for the Los Angeles Chargers vs. New York Jets Week 9 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Zach Wilson NFL player prop predictions for Week 9
- Zach Wilson Over 31.5 pass attempts (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Zach Wilson Over 214.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Zach Wilson Under 0.5 passing touchdowns (+186 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
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Zach Wilson player props
Zach Wilson Over 31.5 pass attempts (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
For as putrid as the Jets’ passing offense has been, Wilson has been called upon to throw the ball a lot of late. He’s thrown the ball more than 30 times in four of his last five games. He has been trailing in each of the contests when he beat this number, and even with his team at home, we think that will be the same story on Monday.
Don’t play Wilson’s completions Over, even though it’s listed at only 18.5. He’s completed 50% of his passes or worse in three games this season. Twice he's thrown the ball 36 times, and in both of those games, he completed 18 or fewer passes.
The best price for this prop is best at BetMGM, as it's the only one offering it lower than -110. We’d consider waiting on this to see if it drops to 30.5 or if the price becomes +100 or better. The public doesn’t think highly of Wilson, so we could see them betting him down across the board.
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Zach Wilson Over 214.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
The Chargers' 32nd-ranked pass defense is allowing nearly 300 passing yards per game. Last week, it looked phenomenal against the Chicago Bears. In that game, it still allowed Tyson Bagent to throw for 232 yards.
The Jets may try to run the ball in this game, but we believe they’re going to struggle. They’re averaging just 109.0 rushing yards per game, and the Chargers are allowing just 93.4 per contest.
To beat the Chargers, you need to take advantage of their secondary. While Wilson hasn’t been able to do that very often this season, we do believe the game script will essentially force him Over this total. Make sure you shop around, as bet365 offers the best number by far. Most of our best sports betting apps are confident in Wilson going Over. BetMGM has the price for this prop listed at -137.
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Zach Wilson Under 0.5 passing touchdowns (+186 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
Four of our five best sports betting sites are offering a 1.5-touchdown total for Wilson. Though we’re almost certain that he will fail to throw two touchdowns in this game, the price is also north of -220 at all of our best sportsbooks. That’s a hefty fee when going against the Chargers’ pass defense.
That being said, in 29 games as a professional, Wilson has thrown for two touchdown passes five times, and he’s never thrown for more. For reference, he’s thrown zero touchdowns in 15 games.
Based on our other props, it’s clear we expect Wilson to be an integral part of the game plan Monday. Yet, even when he is, he doesn’t always throw a touchdown pass. At this price with FanDuel, we love playing the Under. If you want the safety of Under 1.5, we recommend parlaying it with the Over for his passing yards. That parlay has a price of +172 at DraftKings right now.
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Zach Wilson player prop picks made 11/6/2023 at 10:14 a.m. ET.
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