Texans vs. Panthers NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions

Last updated: October 29, 2023 11:49 AM EDT • 5 min read X Social Google News Link

Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud squares off against Carolina Panthers QB Bryce Young, as we present our top NFL player props for the Texans vs. Panthers matchup featuring the first two picks in the 2023 NFL Draft. We always shop for the best NFL odds from across our best NFL prop betting sites when making our NFL picks.
The Carolina Panthers and Houston Texans respectively held the top two picks in the 2023 NFL Draft. But only the Panthers Bears figure to have a chance for the No. 1 pick for the second year in a row.
Carolina is the lone winless team in the NFL (0-6), while the Texans are in the postseason hunt and could even take a run at winning the AFC South following a 3-3 start.
Each team had a bye week last week to figure out a game plan for this head-to-head matchup, so how does that factor into this week’s player prop selections?
Here are our best Texans vs. Panthers NFL player props for Week 8 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Texans vs. Panthers NFL player props: Week 8
C.J. Stroud Over 241.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
C.J. Stroud entered last week’s bye week ranked fourth in yards per attempt (7.8), and in his previous game against the New Orleans Saints, he had success pushing the ball downfield. On passes of 15-plus air yards against New Orleans, Stroud completed 57% of his passes, averaged 16.7 yards per attempt, and did not throw a single interception. Against every other opponent entering last week, the Saints had allowed a 29% completion percentage on passes of 15-plus air yards and allowed 6.5 yards per attempt while forcing six interceptions.
Considering Carolina ranks dead-last in the NFL in pressure rate (27.6%), Stroud should have plenty of time to push the ball downfield, and he ranks 12th in completion percentage (50.6%) and seventh in passer rating (103.7) on throws 10 yards or further downfield, per Sharp Football Analysis.
Despite all sportsbooks being in unison with the 241.5-yard total, we are heading to bet365 for this wager as it is the only shop charging a standard -110 price and is not juiced to the Over.
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Nico Collins Over 51.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Since we are backing Stroud to go over his projected passing yards total, we expect Nico Collins to be one of the biggest beneficiaries. Collins ranks first in the league in yards after catch per reception (8.2) and has seven more receptions than any other Texans receiver despite seeing the second-most targets. This is a four-star play on what seems like a disrespectful number, as Collins has averaged 91.2 yards per game, and he has recorded receiving totals of 80, 39, and 168 yards in the last three games, with Stroud completing fewer than 60% of his passes in each.
All sportsbooks align with Collins’ receiving yards prop of 51.5, but bet365 is the only one not juiced to either side of the total.
Bryce Young Over 0.5 interceptions (+105 via BetMGM, DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Young has made five starts and thrown multiple interceptions in two, while not throwing an interception in the other three. That alone has us interested in the plus-money odds for this wager, as does the fact that the Texans may have found a recipe for success defensively from their last game against the Saints.
Regarding sending five or more pass rushers this season, in Weeks 1-5, Houston blitzed 19% of the time and allowed 6.7 yards per attempt while generating pressure on 47% of dropbacks. In Week 6, the Texans blitzed 36% of the time, allowed 3.7 yards per attempt, and their pressure percentage rose to 53%. Houston held the Saints to two field goals in the final three quarters and finished its fourth game with two takeaways.
Caesars (+102) and bet365 (+100) also offer plus-money odds for this wager, but they do not match the same value found at BetMGM and DraftKings.
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Texans vs. Panthers player props made 10/26/2023 at 6:46 a.m. ET
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