Josh Allen NFL Player Props, Odds Week 8: Predictions for Buccaneers vs. Bills
The Buffalo Bills host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football in Week 8 as both teams look to recover from Week 7 upset losses, so we make our best Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.
The Buffalo Bills offense and Josh Allen struggled for the third week in a row in Week 7. They put up 25 points on the New England Patriots, but 15 of them came with less than six minutes remaining in the game. The posted 14 points in Week 6 against the New York Giants and 25 points in Week 5 versus the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Allen has thrown for 434 yards and four touchdowns in his last two games. He has also thrown an interception in three straight contests and five of his seven starts this season.
Here are our best Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions to accompany our Buccaneers vs. Bills prediction and our Buccaneers vs. Bills parlay for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Buffalo Bills Week 8 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions for Week 8
- Josh Allen Over 259.5 passing yards (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Josh Allen Over 0.5 interceptions (+102 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Josh Allen Under 21.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Josh Allen player props
Josh Allen Over 259.5 passing yards (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Bucs are allowing 262.5 passing yards per game but only 95.8 rushing yards.
Allen enters this week’s matchup averaging 263 yards per game. Based on his opponent and how his team has struggled to run the ball this season, we find it hard to believe that he will go Under his season average against the Bucs.
Allen has thrown for more than 260 yards in four of his seven games this season. Two of the three games he failed to hit 260 were against NFC East opponents. The 169-yard performance against the New York Giants was bad, but his 218-yard performance against the Washington Commanders was because his team was winning by so much.
The Bills should win this game easily, but Allen will still be throwing late in the game. First, because that's how you beat the Bucs, and second, because the offense needs to figure out a lot after three straight bad games.
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Josh Allen Over 0.5 interceptions (+102 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Bucs have a plus-seven turnover differential this season, the best mark in the league. They have recorded six interceptions in as many games.
Allen has been reckless with the football this season. He has seven interceptions in as many games, and he has thrown a pick in three straight. The most worrying part about his recent troubles is that he hasn’t gone against great defenses. The Giants and Patriots have combined for just six interceptions this season.
The way to beat the Bucs is to throw. More attempts mean more opportunities for Allen to make a mistake. Perhaps he won’t force throws if his team is dominating, but we still have to take this when the odds are better than +100.
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Josh Allen Under 21.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
For four consecutive games, Allen has rushed for 17 or fewer yards. Last week, he carried the ball seven times, but he still managed just 17 yards. That’s an average of 2.4 yards per carry. This season, he has rushed for 20 yards in just two games. One of those performances was greatly aided by a 23-yard run.
Allen has run the ball just 29 times in seven games. Though he’s averaging 5.1 yards per carry, he’s averaged more than 4.5 yards per carry in only three games this season.
This season, only two quarterbacks have rushed for more than 20 yards against the Buccaneers’ defense. One of those quarterbacks was Jalen Hurts, who already has 74 carries for 274 yards. The other was Desmond Ridder who was playing without his starting running back. Nothing indicates that Allen will have the same success as them.
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Josh Allen player prop picks made 10/26/2023 at 9:31 a.m. ET.
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