Falcons vs. Jets Predictions, Picks, Odds Week 13: Low Scores Expected at MetLife
The NFC South-leading Atlanta Falcons visit a New York Jets team still without QB Aaron Rodgers, as we make our best Falcons-Jets predictions based on the NFL odds from our best sports betting apps, and we expect low scores on a dreary day at MetLife Stadium.
The Atlanta Falcons (5-6) and New York Jets (4-7) have struggled offensively this season, so with bad weather coming to MetLife Stadium on Sunday afternoon, we could see low scores in this inter-conference matchup.
The Sunday betting total of 33 points is the lowest on the Week 13 slate.
Despite the movement in the total, can we still find room to keep it Under our best sportsbooks number?
In addition to our NFL Week 13 predictions and NFL Week 13 player props, here is our best Falcons vs. Jets prediction and our NFL picks (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Falcons vs. Jets prediction: Week 13
Under 33.5 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
A gnarly weather forecast and gnarlier offenses are obvious reasons to see such a low total for this matchup. However, despite significant movement at our best sports betting apps number since it opened, we still see room for value on the Under.
Games involving the Falcons have trended Under, going just 4-7 on Overs this season. The Jets have seen the same frequency of Under, with their contests going 4-7 on Overs, too.
The Jets rank 30th in the league, scoring 14.8 points per game. They haven’t scored more than 14 points in a game since October 8, which lends itself toward their games ending Under the total. The threat to recent Jets games going Under has been lesser efforts by the New York defense, but that shouldn’t be as much of a factor this week against a Falcons team that has averaged fewer than 20 points per game on the year.
The anticipation of rain could further muddy the waters for these anemic passing offenses. Although untimely turnovers leading to short fields could tank us, it’s difficult to imagine either of these teams reaching 20 points in a game that could see quite a few punts.
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Falcons vs. Jets best odds
DraftKings: Under 33.5 (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 33.5 | Under 33.5 | Under 33.5 | Under 33.5 | Under 33.5 |
| -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
You won’t benefit much from odds shopping at our best sports betting apps on this line at current values. Across the board, we see the total down to 33.5 with -110 odds on Under at our best sportsbooks.
Although we’ve already seen some value sapped from the opening total at 36.5, we’re still willing to play Under on this total down to 31 as a three-star play at our best sports betting apps, which could be a truly ugly game between bottom-feeder offenses.
Falcons vs. Jets odds
Falcons vs. Jets odds analysis
The Falcons opened as 1.5-point road favorites and have seen more support to push the number to between -2 and -2.5 at many of our best sportsbooks. Just under 60% of wagers on the spread have placed bets on Atlanta.
The total opened at 36.5 and has dropped to between 33.5 across our best sports betting apps. 67% of wagers on the total have come in on the Under.
Falcons vs. Jets game info
- When: Sunday, Dec. 3, at 1 p.m. ET
- Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: 52 degrees, 6-mph winds, 75% chance of precipitation
Falcons-Jets prediction made Friday at 1 p.m. ET
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