Buccaneers vs. Bills Parlay: SGP Odds, Predictions for TNF
We're anticipating Bills tight end Dalton Kincaid to continue to break out after last week's strong performance in our Buccaneers vs. Bills parlay predictions based on the best NFL odds.
The Buffalo Bills (4-3) return home on Thursday night looking to rebound from a disappointing loss to a divisional rival in Week 7. Buffalo fell 29-25 to the New England Patriots and has dropped two of its last three games.
It’s a big game for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3), too, as Tampa Bay remains in the thick of the race in the NFC South. We’re not expecting the Bucs’ run game to get much going on the road in this spot against a motivated Bills defensive front.
Along with our Buccaneers vs. Bills prediction, player props, and Josh Allen props, we present our best Buccaneers vs. Bills parlay predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Buccaneers vs. Bills parlay for TNF
(Odds via DraftKings)
- Dalton Kincaid Over 38.5 receiving yards (-135) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Josh Allen Over 21.5 rushing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐
- Rachaad White Under 46.5 rushing yards (-135) ⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: +500 via DraftKings
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SGP predictions for Buccaneers vs. Bills
Dalton Kincaid Over 38.5 receiving yards (-135) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
When Buffalo drafted Dalton Kincaid with the 25th pick of the most-recent NFL Draft, the smoke surrounding his potential usage was palpable. Though we hadn’t seen it come to fruition out of the gates for Kincaid, his time may be arriving in earnest.
Kincaid has cleared this receiving line only twice this season, but with fellow TE Dawson Knox on injured reserve, the opportunity exists for Kincaid to step into a more significant role in the Buffalo passing offense. In fact, we may have already witnessed the breakout game for Kincaid in Week, as the rookie tight end piled up eight receptions for 75 yards in the Bills’ loss to the New England Patriots.
FanDuel lists Kincaid’s receiving total at 40.5 yards (-110 on Over), while DraftKings has the line at a more attainable 38.5 yards but with a premium on the odds to -135 to bet the Over.
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Josh Allen Over 21.5 rushing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐
Allen’s rushing production has been relatively muted so far this season as the Buffalo quarterback has only hit the five-carry mark in a game twice on the year. He’s also only cleared this rushing line twice, and hasn’t gone for more than 17 yards in any of his last four games.
Mobile quarterbacks, though, have found some recent success against the Tampa Bay defense, with Desmond Ridder scampering six times for 38 yards and a touchdown against the Bucs last week. Jalen Hurts also cleared this rushing total earlier in the season against Tampa. Although Justin Fields fell short of the line, that was during a period when the Chicago Bears simply weren’t designing runs for their QB.
Coming off of a frustrating divisional loss, I look for Allen to be more decisive in taking matters into his own hands to ensure a better outcome on this short week. FanDuel lists Allen’s rushing total at 22.5 yards (-110), while DraftKings has it at 21.5 (-120 on Over).
Rachaad White Under 46.5 rushing yards (-135) ⭐⭐⭐
White has been one of my favorite running backs to fade on rushing props throughout this NFL season. He has failed to accrue 40 or more rushing yards in four of his six games played, averaging 3.2 yards per carry on the year.
Buffalo’s run defense has been suspect so far this season, allowing 128.3 yards per game to rank 23rd in the NFL in the category. But I don’t feel the Bills should have much trouble bottling up a mediocre runner in a primetime home game on Thursday night.
While the SGP at DraftKings offers lesser odds on overall parlay at +500, compared to +514 at FanDuel, the lines on the props at DraftKings are more favorable across the board on each of the three parlay legs. The difference between the odds of the two SGPs is negligible, leading us to play this parlay at DraftKings.
Buccaneers-Bills parlay picks made 10/26/2023 at 2 p.m. ET.
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