Super Bowl Halftime Show Predictions 2025: Will Kendrick Lamar vs. Drake Beef Continue?
It's shaping up to be a long week for Drake after Super Bowl halftime show headliner Kendrick Lamar went 5-for-5 at the Grammys, including multiple wins for his diss tack aimed at the Canadian rapper, 'Not Like Us'.
Kendrick Lamar and Drake were embroiled in a feud for most of 2024, and we're exploring the Super Bowl halftime show predictions and props focused on the beef between K.Dot and Drake (odds via FanDuel Ontario).
Super Bowl halftime show odds
How many diss tracks about Drake will Kendrick Lamar perform?
| Odds | Implied Probability | Profit ($10 bet) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | -2200 | 95.65% | $0.45 |
| 2+ | -400 | 80% | $2.50 |
| 3+ | +210 | 32.26% | $21 |
| 4 | +750 | 11.76% | $75 |
If you want to guarantee a 45 cent profit on $10, you can bet on Kendrick to perform at least one diss track about Drake during the Super Bowl halftime show.
The biggest rap song of the last 12 months - and one of the biggest songs in general - was "Not Like Us," which was essentially the final nail in Drake's coffin when it came to this beef ahead of the summer. Kendrick is almost guaranteed to perform it.
FanDuel is basing its market off four tracks: the aforementioned "Not Like Us" along with "Euphoria," "6:16 in LA," and "Meet the Grahams." Therefore, if Kendrick performs "Like That," either alone or with Future on stage - whom we discussed in our look at the Super Bowl halftime show guest odds - then it won't count toward this total.
The second-most likely Drake diss track to hit the halftime show stage is "Euphoria," which is what kicked off a wild week of whoopings from K.Dot. He dropped it on April 30, just five days before finishing things off with "Not Like Us," all while releasing "6:16 in LA" and "Meet in Grahams" during that time.
Now, could Kendrick perform those latter two? Sure, but he has so many hits that it doesn't feel necessary. And that's exactly why two-plus is trading at -400 and three-plus is priced at +210. There's a huge gap between those two for good reason.
I would simply leave this market alone unless you feel especially compelled to bet into -400 odds.
Will Drake release a song on Super Bowl Sunday?
| Odds | Implied probability | Profit ($10) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | +370 | 21.28% | $37 |
| No | -600 | 85.71% | $1.67 |
Now this is the market I'm most interested in, because it doesn't need to be a direct shot at Kendrick.
FanDuel states this bet will settle "Yes if Drake releases a single and/or album on Feb. 9, 2025." It clarifies that leaks won't count and any bet made after an official announcement will be void. So with the Super Bowl looming, you may need to act sooner rather than later.
It's interesting that "No" is trading as the heavy favorite, as Drake is absolutely petty enough to drop something on Super Bowl Sunday while trying to redirect some of Kendrick's shine back onto him.
For most rappers, that would be a pretty corny move and relatively unlikely. But Drake is corny, so I wouldn't put it past him.
"Yes" is priced at long enough odds that I might take a little poke - perhaps not a full unit, but even a $5 wager would result in a profit of $18.50.
History of Kendrick Lamar vs. Drake beef
From artists who once worked together on Drake's "Buried Alive Interlude" and Kendrick's "Poetic Justice," to being embroiled in modern hip-hop's greatest feud. Just when, exactly, did things go sour?
Initial cracks appear
Perhaps the first sign of a potential feud was when Kendrick took aim at Drake - and many other rappers - on Big Sean's "Control." It was a ferocious verse from one of the game's best lyricists, but Drake mostly brushed it and Kendrick off as nothing of significance to his career.
However, a couple of months later during the BET Hip-Hop Awards, Kendrick once again took shots seemingly at Drake during TDE's cipher. Nothing really came from those early shots, but in hindsight, we see the cracks in their relationship growing.
Things really heat up
Almost exactly a decade after that cipher during the BET Awards, Drake and J. Cole teamed up for "First Person Shooter." It wasn't even Drake, though, who seemingly lit the fire under Kendrick.
J. Cole raps during the track, released in October 2023:
"Love when they argue the hardest MC
Is it K.Dot, is it Aubrey, or is it me?
We the Big 3 like we started a league
But right now I feel like Muhammad Ali."
Obviously, Kendrick didn't take too kindly to being mentioned alongside them, as he joined producer Metro Boomin and Future on "Like That" last March.
In response to J. Cole, Kendrick rapped:
"Motherf**k the Big 3, n***a, it's just big me."
J. Cole wisely exited the beef, though Drake wouldn't make the same decision.
It all goes down
Drake took the first direct shot last April with his release of "Push Ups."
The difference between what we had previously witnessed is this was a full-blown diss track, not just a couple of bars or a verse on a single. The cover art for the song was even meant to represent Kendrick's relatively small shoe size - a seven - and Drake took shots at his stature throughout the song.
The Canadian rapper wasn't done there, though. He then released the truly cringey "Taylor Made Freestyle," which used A.I. vocals from Tupac and Snoop Dogg. Tupac's estate threatened to sue Drake over the usage of his voice, and he removed it from his pages shortly thereafter.
Then Kendrick broke X on April 30 when he surprisingly dropped "Euphoria."
A few days later, he released "6:16 in LA." Just more than 12 hours after that, Drake responded with "Family Matters," but Kendrick had another one loaded up already.
Only minutes after the release of "Family Matters," Kendrick dropped "Meet the Grahams," and less than 24 hours after that, he put out "Not Like Us" - the most popular rap song of the year.
Super Bowl halftime show content
- Super Bowl halftime show prop bets
- Kendrick Lamar first song odds
- Super Bowl halftime show celebrity guest odds
- Super Bowl halftime show predictions: Kendrick Lamar vs. Drake
Super Bowl halftime show FAQs
Who will perform the 2025 Super Bowl halftime show?
Kendrick Lamar was announced as the Super Bowl 59 halftime show headliner on Sept. 8, 2024.
When is the 2025 Super Bowl halftime show?
The halftime show will take place after the second quarter of the Super Bowl on Feb. 9.
How long is the Super Bowl halftime show?
The Super Bowl halftime show usually runs for about 14 minutes.
What is the favorite to be the Super Bowl halftime show first song?
The favorite to be the 2025 Super Bowl halftime show first song is "Humble" at +170 odds.
Where can I bet on Super Bowl halftime props?
The best sportsbooks in the U.S. do not offer Super Bowl halftime prop markets; you will need to be located outside the United States in order to access these odds.
Who performed the Super Bowl halftime show last year?
Usher headlined the Super Bowl halftime show last year.
What was the first song for Super Bowl halftime show last year?
Usher opened the show with "My Way," but the first full song he performed was "Caught Up," so be sure to check the language associated with the market when placing your wager.
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