Super Bowl 57 Price Shopping: Analyzing Odds and Lines for Chiefs vs. Eagles
The championship game is finally here, and our Super Bowl 57 predictions look at this star-studded matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ. Here’s our one-stop shop to help you land the best Super Bowl odds and lines.
We're now under a week away from Super Bowl 57, and everything is lining up for an electric showdown between two high-scoring offenses led by superstar quarterbacks. It’s the perfect scenario for fans, bettors, and sportsbooks, as the highly anticipated game is the most-bet event on the sports calendar. If you're ready to make a bet, be sure to check out our top-rated Super Bowl betting sites guide.
Additionally, with the growing popularity of sports betting throughout North America, I expect the Super Bowl to post record-breaking numbers again this year. And there was enough early action to change the betting favorite.
Kansas City opened as high as -2.5 chalk last Sunday evening following its win over the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC Championship Game. However, the betting community disagreed, and an avalanche of money came in on Philadelphia. The line quickly flipped and made the Eagles the favorites to hoist the Lombardi Trophy.
There was a buyback on the Kansas City side, and this spread settled at Philly -1.5 last Tuesday, there hasn’t been a notable adjustment across our best sportsbooks since.
Here are the best odds for Super Bowl 57, and how we think they'll move ahead of the game (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM, DraftKings Sportsbook, PointsBet, and Caesars Sportsbook).
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Super Bowl 57 odds
|Moneyline||+105 (via DraftKings, BetMGM, Caesars, and PointsBet)||-120 (via PointsBet)|
|Spread||+1.5 (-110 consensus across our best sportsbooks)||-1.5 (-110 consensus across our best sportsbooks)|
|Over/Under||Over 50.5 (-110 via PointsBet)||Under 50.5 (-105 via FanDuel and BetMGM)|
Super Bowl 57 odds analysis
There was early and notable line movement with the Eagles trading as consensus chalk after sportsbooks opened with the Chiefs as the favorites. Most importantly, though, the spread hasn't reached the key number of 3 on either side with under a week until the Super Bowl.
There has been a consensus Philly -1.5 spread since last Tuesday, and though sportsbooks have tilted the vig to one team or another since, it’s never lasted long. We’ve primarily seen an even -110 on both sides, which remains the case.
The Moneyline has adjusted similarly.
There has been late movement to the total. The number opened between 49.5 and 51 depending on the sportsbook, and early money came in on the Under.
Buy-back came on the Over throughout this past week, and there is now a consensus 51.5 number across our best NFL betting sites.
It's worth noting before Sunday's Conference Championship Games, FanDuel and DraftKings both had hypothetical Super Bowl 57 markets available. Both shops listed the Chiefs as 1-point favorites over the Eagles with matching 49.5 totals.
Super Bowl 57 moneyline analysis
Sportsbooks regularly release betting trends and insights, and though they provide valuable information, it’s important not to take it entirely at face value.
For example, BetMGM released betting trends last Monday morning, and Kansas City had taken a higher percentage of ML bets (57%), whereas Philly had taken the higher handle percentage (68%).
We don’t know when the bets were placed or at what odds, though.
Did the majority of the ML bets on the Eagles come when they were trading at the opening number of -105 or when the book moved Philadelphia to -130?
There is actionable information that aligns with the buy-back we’ve seen on the Chiefs from DraftKings. It reported 58% of the moneyline betting handle had been wagered on the Philly side as of last Monday, but the betting handle was down to 50% on the Eagles side in its Wednesday evening release.
Super Bowl 57 spread analysis
It didn’t take long for the betting community to move this spread across zero and make the Eagles the betting favorites. Kansas City opened as high as a -2.5 favorite, and Philadelphia carried a near consensus -2 chalk by Monday morning.
The Eagles have taken 58% of the spread action according to our Super Bowl 57 matchup page. Additionally, BetMGM is reporting 65% of the spread betting handle has been on the Philadelphia side, as of Sunday morning.
Because this spread remains below the key number of 3, I don’t consider the line movement incredibly meaningful. Additionally, though the highlighted numbers don’t showcase it, there has been respected money on the Kansas City side, and I doubt we see the Chiefs trading as 2.5-point underdogs again.
|Spread||Eagles -1.5||Eagles -1.5||Eagles -1.5||Eagles -1.5||Eagles -1.5|
|Eagles||-110||-108 🔥||-110||-110||-108 🔥|
Super Bowl 57 Over/Under analysis
Despite both the Chiefs and Eagles running out star-studded offenses, the early betting action was tilted toward the Under at most sportsbooks.
It’s also important to remember Super Bowl 57 will be played at State Farm Stadium, and weather will have no impact on the game with the venue featuring a retractable roof.
Kansas City and Philadelphia ranked first and third, respectively, in points per game during the regular season, so given there will be ideal scoring conditions at State Farm, I’m anticipating Over money to continue coming in.
BetMGM reported 86% of the betting handle was on the Over as of Sunday, and as expecting, all of our best sportsbooks have moved the total over the key number of 51.
|Over||-110 ❄️||-106||-105 🔥||-110 ❄️||-105 🔥|
|Under||-110 🔥||-114||-115 ❄️||-110 🔥||-115 ❄️|
All odds updated 2/12/2023 at 5:30 p.m. ET.
Super Bowl prop bets
Prop bet enthusiasts have a lot to choose from for Super Bowl 57; here's a look at some of the more popular Super Bowl prop bets across all of the best sportsbooks:
- Super Bowl 57 Roundup
- 57 Prop Bets for Super Bowl 57
- Super Bowl Exact Score Props
- Player Props
- Super Bowl MVP Props
- Touchdown Scorer Props
- Coin Toss Props
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- Opening Kickoff Touchback Props
- Halftime Show Props
- Super Bowl 2024 Odds
- Novelty Props
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