Chargers vs. Texans Player Prop Picks & Touchdown Prediction

Gabe Henderson makes his Chargers vs. Texans player prop picks that focus on an underdog wide receiver's touchdown prediction.

Gabe Henderson

Last Updated: January 11, 2025 1:58 PM EST • 5 minute read

Houston Texans 2025 Schedule: Game-by-Game Odds, Predictions & AI Picks — Pictured: Houston Texans wide receiver Nico Collins celebrates with quarterback C.J. Stroud. Photo by Troy Taormina / Imagn Images.

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NFL Wild Card Weekend gets underway from Houston - stop me if you've heard that before - as the Texans host the Los Angeles Chargers. Kickoff from NRG Stadium is slated for 4:30 p.m. ET (CBS).

Our Chargers vs. Texans player prop picks highlight three individuals who could impact the game's outcome. Our best sports betting sites list the visitors as field-goal favorites as we feature Nico Collins, Ladd McConkey, and Robert Woods in the below picks.

Collins, one of the spotlighted bets, is also featured in our Chargers vs. Texans touchdown picks.

Chargers vs. Texans NFL player prop picks: Wild Card Weekend

Odds as of Thursday and subject to change.

Nico Collins touchdown prediction: Anytime touchdown scorer (+145 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Ladd McConkey longest reception Over 24.5 yards (-120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Robert Woods Over 1.5 receptions (+100 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

NFL picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Chargers vs. Texans touchdown prediction

Nico Collins anytime touchdown scorer (+145) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +145 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 40.82%

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If Houston wants any chance of winning this game, it has to get one of the league's best receivers involved early and often. Collins' numbers don't jump off the page, but it's important to note he also missed five games, exited another early, and sat out every drive bar one in the Texans' Week 18 outing.

It's the latter that has us encouraged about Collins' output in this game. He hauled in all five targets for 38 yards and a touchdown during his lone drive against Tennessee. This took his season total to seven, including three in his last four outings.

C.J. Stroud will be calling Collins' number a lot with both Tank Dell and Stefon Diggs sidelined for the remainder of the season. Houston's No. 1 receiving option is +145 as an anytime touchdown scorer at DraftKings.

Best Chargers vs. Texans prop picks

Ladd McConkey longest reception Over 24.5 yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -120 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 54.55%

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Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. have stolen headlines as rookie sensations, which has made it easy to overlook McConkey's accomplishments. Los Angeles' rookie receiver cracked the 1,100-yard mark during his debut campaign, a top-10 mark in the league.

He'll face a tough Texans secondary featuring Kamari Lassiter and Derek Stingley Jr. on Saturday. Despite the big names in Houston's defensive backfield, the Texans tend to allow big plays in the passing game. Season-ending injuries to safeties Jalen Pitre and Jimmie Ward only compound this issue.

McConkey has receptions of 25-plus yards in eight of his 16 games this year, including the last three. Meanwhile, Houston has given up 49 explosive plays (20+ yard receptions) in the passing game. We'll take a flier on McConkey to continue his explosive reception streak at FanDuel (-120).

Robert Woods Over 1.5 receptions (+100) ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +100 via Caesars | Implied probability: 50%

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As we've already noted, Houston's receiving corps consists of Collins and a bunch of platoon players. Injuries to Dell and Diggs have forced individuals like Woods to step up and play a bigger role.

The 12-year veteran had mostly contributed on special teams, but "Bobby Trees" has brought in 45% of his total receptions this year over the last four games alone. Woods has gone Over the 1.5 receptions listed at Caesars in each of those appearances.

He's listed at even money (+100) to achieve this feat for a fifth consecutive contest. Even if Diontae Johnson makes his first start since joining the team last month, Woods should get enough snaps to surpass this total. A $10 winning wager at our best sportsbooks would return a $10 profit.

Expert Chargers vs. Texans picks

Chargers vs. Texans game info

When: Saturday, Jan. 11
Kickoff: 4:30 p.m. ET
Where: NRG Stadium (Houston)
How to watch: CBS/Paramount+
Weather: Indoors
Favorite: Chargers -3 (-105 via BetMGM)

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Written by:
Gabe Henderson

Gabe Henderson is a sports betting writer from Houston, Texas. He graduated from Louisiana State University in 2022 with a bachelor's degree in Mass Communication. Gabe developed an interest in sports betting while in college due to its legalization in Louisiana. He turned his passion into a career shortly after, joining The Advocate/NOLA.com as a Sports Betting Content Coordinator, where he spent two years bulding his college football and NFL experience. Gabe wore many hats before graduating as he led FanSided's coverage of Chelsea FC as a Site Expert with "The Pride of London." He was also the Editor-in-Chief of the LSU Gumbo Yearbook for two years. Gabe became a part of the SportsbookReview.com team in late 2024. He brings with him an extensive knowledge of many sports, including — but not limited to — NFL, NCAA, MLB, NBA, soccer, and UFC.