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Shane McClanahan is the betting favorite in the MLB wins leader odds.
Shane McClanahan of the Tampa Bay Rays pitches against the Boston Red Sox at Tropicana Field on October 07, 2021. Photo by Julio Aguilar Getty Images via AFP.

You play to win the game, and the MLB wins leader continues to be one of the most unpredictable betting markets in professional sports. Sportsbook Review betting analyst Neil Parker surveys the favorites, contenders, and long shots to pace the majors in victories based on the latest MLB odds.

After favorites, the long shots and pitchers entirely absent from preseason odds lists have paced the majors in wins during recent seasons. So it's no surprise the front-runners in this season’s race are just that: preseason favorites, long shots, and pitchers who weren’t even on odds lists.

Tampa Bay Rays lefty Shane McClanahan was leading baseball with 11 victories before missing his past two starts, and there's a three-way tie heading into the All-Star break. Simply put, starting pitchers are arguably the most volatile players in baseball, and the final game of the regular season isn’t until Oct. 1.

The real race to lead the majors in wins is still in the beginning stages.

Here's our analysis of the 2023 wins leader odds available through bet365.

MLB 2023 wins leader odds

MLB 2023 wins leader odds as of Monday, July 10.

Shane McClanahan+260
Zac Gallen+325
Spencer Strider+325
Nathan Eovaldi+750
Clayton Kershaw+750
Zach Eflin  +800
Gerrit Cole  +1200
Taijuan Walker+1400
Merrill Kelly+2500
Mitch Keller+2500

MLB 2023 wins leader odds analysis

While the MLB wins leader odds aren't consistently available across our best sports betting sites, bet365 is offering the market for prospective bettors. Odds might pop up occasionally through our other best sportsbooks throughout the season, and potentially even during the All-Star break.

MLB 2023 wins leader odds movement

Pitchers suffer injuries often. Combine that with most starters throwing fewer and fewer innings in recent years, and it isn’t surprising to see the MLB wins leader odds shift considerably over the first two months of the season.

McClanahan and Gerrit Cole hanging among the hurlers with the shortest prices isn’t surprising. It's Zach Eflin and Nathan Eovaldi being in the mix that reinforces just how turbulent this betting market can become.

And, in case you were wondering, the 2022 wins leader Kyle Wright is winless and on the 60-day injured list.

MLB 2023 wins leader odds: Favorite

Shane McClanahan (+260)

McClanahan didn’t make a July start before the All-Star break after hitting the injured list because of mid-back tightness. The lefty is expected to return to the bump July 16, but he also no longer has the solo MLB wins lead.

MLB 2023 wins leader odds: Contender

Spencer Strider (+325)

Strider has won five consecutive starts to strut into a tie for the MLB-lead in wins. Pitching for the best team in baseball is a huge boon for his potential to finish atop the league, too.

MLB 2023 wins leader odds: Long shot

Shohei Ohtani (+4000)

Why not throw Ohtani in the mix to lead the league in wins? He's the favorite in essentially every other major individual race.

Ohtani is just four wins back of the leaders at the All-Star break, and he should have ample time to recover from the finger blister that caused him to exit his July 4 start after just 86 pitches.

MLB 2023 wins leader odds: Fade

Nathan Eovaldi (+750)

The 33-year-old is absolutely dealing, and add in Texas sitting atop the AL West, and it all checks out.

But I’m just not buying it. 

Even with Eovaldi’s underlying metrics supporting his breakout surge, he’s registered double-digit wins only twice during his 12-year career, and I’m anticipating a few more bumps in the road over the summer. Your mileage may vary, but surely Eovaldi is eyeing negative regression.

He's also only won one of his past five outings.

Recent MLB wins leaders

YearPlayerTeamOpening Odds
2022Kyle WrightAtlanta BravesN/A
2021Julio UriasLos Angeles DodgersN/A
2020Two-Way TieN/AN/A
2019Justin VerlanderHouston Astros+1800
2018Blake SnellTampa Bay Rays+8000
2017Four-Way TieN/AN/A
2016Rick PorcelloBoston Red Sox+8000
2015Jake ArrietaChicago Cubs+4000
2014Clayton KershawLos Angeles Dodgers+650
2013Max ScherzerDetroit Tigers+1600
2012Gio GonzalezWashington Nationals+4000
2011Justin VerlanderDetroit Tigers+1600

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MLB betting odds pages

MLB wins leader FAQs

When will the MLB wins leader be decided?

The pitcher who leads the league in wins upon the conclusion of the regular season is the winner.

Who led the league in wins in 2022?

Atlanta Braves righty Kyle Wright led the league with 21 wins last season.

Here are our best MLB betting sites:

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