Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Friday, Aug. 14

The New York Yankees head north across the border to take on the Toronto Blue Jays tonight. My Yankees vs. Blue Jays prediction includes a run total, two player props, and an SGP.  

The A.L. East rivalry game features Gerrit Cole vs. Shane Bieber, two veteran pitchers, as the Blue Jays look to continue moving toward playoff contention. Lock in my latest MLB picks before catching tonight's first pitch at 7:15 p.m. ET from Rogers Centre (Toronto), streaming exclusively on Apple TV. The Yankees are -142 road favorites, while the slumping offense looks to bounce back from a shutout loss to the Mariners on Thursday. 

⚾ Yankees vs. Blue Jays picks & odds today

See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Total wagered: 6.11 units | Max profit: 6.05 units

🏆 Who will win Yankees vs. Blue Jays?

The Yankees hold a significant edge in pitching. Gerrit Cole has won three straight starts, while Shane Bieber has allowed 15 hits and six earned runs across his previous two starts for the Blue Jays. New York goes into Rogers Centre and posts a win to open this series. 

Score prediction: Yankees 4, Blue Jays 3

💰 Yankees vs. Blue Jays prediction & best bet

Under 8.0 (-115)

The Yankees have been cashing run total unders at a high rate since the All-Star break. New York leads MLB in ERA (3.28) and also ranks 28th in batting average (.231), which is a great combination for Under bettors.

The Blue Jays also rank 30th in OPS (.678) and face one of the Yankees' top pitchers tonight. Toronto has been held to three or fewer runs in four of its last five head-to-head matchups against New York. 

For the best number on tonight's run total under 8.0, head to BetMGM for -115 odds. 

🔥 Best Yankees vs. Blue Jays player prop bet

Heliot Ramos Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-117)

Since being traded from the San Francisco Giants at the deadline, Yankees' LF Heliot Ramos has been ice-cold at the plate. Ramos has gone Under 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs in all eight starts for the Yankees.

In fact, Ramos only has two total hits during his tenure with New York. Bieber is a good matchup to break this slump, however, he's still held three of his past five opponents to one or fewer earned runs.

Ramos enters tonight's contest with a five-game hitting slump. Let's continue to fade the newly acquired Yankees batter and bet Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs at -117 odds on DraftKings. 

💣 Yankees vs. Blue Jays home run prediction

Ben Rice to hit a home run (+350)

Since Ben Rice took the league by storm in the first few months of the 2026 season, he's cooled off quite a bit. However, Rice still ranks 94th in xSLG (.508) and barrel percentage (15.3), while sitting at a 48.5 hard-hit percentage (88th percentile) ahead of tonight's matchup.

Bieber ranks in the 21st percentile for pitching run value. He's in the bottom percentile for xERA (7.24) and xBA (.302), allowing a 44.3 percent barrel rate (9th) and a 44.3 percent hard-hit rate (10th) this season. 

Rice has gone yard once in his last five starts for the Yankees. Go to bet365 to place a wager on Ben Rice's home run prop at +350 odds. 

🚀 Yankees vs. Blue Jays same-game parlay

I'm shaking up my latest MLB SGP for this matchup. The NRFI has hit in five straight starts for Cole, including back-to-back starts for Bieber. Extra Innings: No boosts us to -106 odds on FanDuel.

💵 My betting record for MLB picks

All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 31.

💡 How I'm betting Yankees vs. Blue Jays: MLB strategy

Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.

I'm deploying a season-high 7.17 units on four bets in tonight's Yankees vs. Blue Jays game. I'm very confident in under 8.0 total runs hitting, primarily due to Cole's stout pitching against a bottom-tier lineup, while the Yankees have their own hitting issues. 

Next, it's a max 3.51 unit play fading Heliot Ramos, taking Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs. A 0.30 unit sprinkle on Ben Rice's home run prop gets us just over 1 unit of profit if it hits.

Then, a 1.06 unit play to win 1 more unit on a NRFI/Extra Innings: No SGP. 

📊 Live Yankees vs. Blue Jays odds

Since opening, lines have moved in favor of the Yankees. The Blue Jays have gone from +129 to +132 in moneyline markets, while the run total has bounced between 7.5 and 8.0.

Public action is heavily on the Yankees moneyline at 73 percent, while 51 percent of total bets are on under 8.0. 

📈 Yankees vs. Blue Jays betting trends

🚑 Yankees vs. Blue Jays injuries

📺 How to watch Yankees vs. Blue Jays

• Date: Friday, Aug. 14
• First pitch: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Ballpark: Rogers Centre (Toronto)
• Streaming: Apple TV
• Yankees starter: Gerrit Cole (6-5, 3.35 ERA)
• Blue Jays starter: Shane Bieber (3-2, 5.48 ERA)