Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction & Picks: MLB Odds for Friday, Aug. 14
Two of the top teams in the National League, the Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers, will play their second matchup in this exciting four-game series tonight. My Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction targets a run line, two player props, and a two-leg SGP.
We've got Ryan Gasser vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the mound, with each starting pitcher winning at least three of their last four starts.
Place these MLB picks before catching tonight's first pitch at 10:10 p.m. ET from Dodger Stadium (Los Angeles), streaming on ESPN Unlimited and MLB.TV. Despite blowing a lead against the Brewers in the 9th inning on Thursday night, the Dodgers are almost -200 moneyline favorites.
⚾ Brewers vs. Dodgers picks & odds today
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| ⚾ Pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Brewers +1.5 (-135 via Caesars) | 1.35u → 1u | Brewers have won four straight games with Ryan Gasser on the mound. |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+106 via DraftKings) | 1u → 1.06u | Yamamoto has gone under 6.5 strikeouts in four of his last five starts for the Dodgers. |
| Jackson Chourio Over 0.5 Home Runs (+475 via bet365) | 0.25u → 1.18u | Chourio ranks 86th in xSLG (.477) and 88th in barrel percentage (13.6) in 2026. |
Total wagered: 2.60 units | Max profit: 3.24 units
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🏆 Who will win Brewers vs. Dodgers?
The Dodgers will get revenge tonight against the Brewers, but it will be a tight contest. The Brewers have won four straight starts under Ryan Gasser, while Yoshinobu Yamamoto has walked three or more batters in three of his last five starts for the Dodgers.
Score prediction: Dodgers 4, Brewers 3
💰 Brewers vs. Dodgers prediction & best bet
Brewers +1.5 (-135)
The Dodgers have been a tough team to bet on the run line in 2026. Los Angeles is 52-70 on the run line, failing to cover -1.5 in 12 of their last 13 games.
Milwaukee has won four consecutive starts with Gasser on the bump. He's also gone three straight outings without giving up a home run, while holding the past five lineups he's faced to a collective four walks.
Head to Caesars for the best number and bet on the Brewers to cover the +1.5 run line at -135 odds.
📡 SBR Edge: Winning record kryptonite
The Dodgers have lost nine of their last 10 games played against teams with a winning record.
🔥 Best Brewers vs. Dodgers player prop bet
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+106)
While Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been the Dodgers' ace pitcher in 2026, he hasn't been a strikeout machine. Yamamoto faces a Brewers lineup that averages 8.33 strikeouts per game (16th), which is right at the league average.
Yamamoto has also finished with fewer than 6.5 strikeouts in four of his previous five starts. He tends to go the distance, throwing over 100 pitches and logging at least 6 innings in four of his past five outings for the Dodgers. Yamamoto is still average in whiff rate (25.8) and strikeout rate (23.8) in 2026.
💣 Brewers vs. Dodgers home run prediction
Jackson Chourio to hit a home run (+475)
Jackson Chourio has been one of the best hitters on the Brewers this season. The 22-year-old ranks in the 88th percentile for barrel percentage (13.6) and average exit velocity (92.0), while also logging impressive numbers for xSLG (.477) and hard-hit percentage (47.5) ahead of tonight's game.
Chourio has one home run in his last five starts for Milwaukee. He recorded a clutch hit, an RBI, and a run in the 9th inning that led to the Brewers' 5-4 rally against the Dodgers last night.
With momentum firmly on his side, Chourio can take Yamamoto into the bleachers. The Dodgers' ace has allowed four home runs in his last five starts.
Bet on Jackson Chourio's home run prop at +475 odds on bet365.
🚀 Brewers vs. Dodgers same-game parlay
Andy Pages is third on the Dodgers for total hits, so expect him to log a hit after being held without one on Thursday. Brice Turang has six hits across his last five starts, recording at least one hit in four of those outings. Bet this SGP at +123 odds on DraftKings.
💵 Brewers vs. Dodgers SGP picks
- Andy Pages Over 0.5 Hits (-230)
- Brice Turang Over 0.5 Hits (-180)
Best odds: +123 via DraftKings (1u -> 1.23u)
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 31.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 40-89-3 | -25.25 units ❌ | -22.0% ❌ |
| Game picks | 14-16-2 | -4.07 units ❌ | -12.59% ❌ |
| Player props | 16-52-1 | -12.41 units ❌ | -26.1% ❌ |
| Parlays | 10-21 | -8.77 units ❌ | -32.4% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Brewers vs. Dodgers: MLB strategy
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
I'm staking 3.6 total units on four bets on tonight's Brewers vs. Dodgers game. My biggest wager is on the Brewers +1.5 run line, dropping 1.35 units to win 1 unit of profit.
Then, it's a 1 unit play on Yoshinobu Yamamoto to go Under 6.5 Strikeouts at +106 odds. A 0.25 unit sprinkle on Jackson Chourio's home run prop secures 1.18 units of profit.
A final 1 unit play on a 1+ hits SGP with Andy Pages and Brice Turang nets over a unit of profit at +123 odds.
📊 Live Brewers vs. Dodgers odds
The Dodgers have become smaller favorites in the moneyline betting market since opening, moving from -180 down to -176 odds. The run total continues to bounce between 8.0 and 7.5.\
88 percent of public money is on the Dodgers moneyline, with a 50-50 split on the run line. 58 percent of total bets are on over 7.5.
📈 Brewers vs. Dodgers betting trends
| Brewers | Statistic | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| 75-47 | W-L record | 73-49 |
| 63-59 | Run line record | 52-70 |
| 52-67-3 | O/U record | 56-63-3 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 3.53 | Team ERA | 3.71 |
| .251 | Team batting avg. | .260 |
| .730 | OPS | .766 |
🚑 Brewers vs. Dodgers injuries
📺 How to watch Brewers vs. Dodgers
- Date: Friday, Aug. 14
- First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
- Ballpark: Dodger Stadium (Los Angeles)
- Streaming: ESPN Unlimited, MLB.TV
- Brewers starter: Robert Gasser (3-4, 4.57 ERA)
- Dodgers starter: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (11-7, 2.65 ERA)
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