MLB Home Run Leader Odds 2024: Judge the Favorite to Start Regular Season
Matt Olson will try to defend his home run crown, but there are many worthy challengers as we look at our latest 2024 home run leader MLB odds.
All rise! New York Yankees superstar Aaron Judge is the favorite to lead MLB in home runs during 2024 as the regular season gets underway.
Behind Judge are a few familiar names from the 2023 oddsboard, including reigning king Matt Olson, 2019 leader Pete Alonso, and the man everyone is talking about, Shohei Ohtani.
We outlined another slugger's chances to lead the majors in homers with our 2024 MLB best bets.
Here's a look at the best odds to be the 2024 MLB home run leader (odds via our best MLB betting sites).
Home run leader odds 2024
(MLB home run leader odds as of March 27)
| Player | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | +350 ❄️ | +700 🔥 | +375 | +400 | +400 |
| Matt Olson | +600 ❄️ | +900 🔥 | +650 | +900 | +700 |
| Pete Alonso | +700 ❄️ | +800 | +750 | +800 | +800 |
| Kyle Schwarber | +750 | +900 | +750 | +1200 🔥 | +1000 |
| Juan Soto | +900 | +1400 🔥 | +1000 | +800 | +1000 |
| Shohei Ohtani | +900 | +1100 🔥 | +900 | +900 | +800 ❄️ |
| Yordan Alvarez | +1200 | +1300 | +1400 🔥 | +900 | +1100 ❄️ |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | +1900 | +2300 🔥 | +2000 | +2000 | +1200 ❄️ |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | +1800 | +1900 | +2000 🔥 | +1600 | +1600 |
| Austin Riley | +1900 | +1900 | +3000 | +3000 | +2000 |
Home run leader 2024 favorite
Aaron Judge (+700 via FanDuel)
The issue for Judge is his ability to stay healthy. Judge played only 106 games in 2023, but he still hit nearly 40 homers. Despite the narrative being that Judge is always injured, he played in 157 games in 2022 and 148 in 2021.
Additionally, Judge missed time last year with a bit of a freak injury after crashing into an outfield wall while trying to make a catch.
If he can avoid missing significant time in 2024, Judge will surely justify this relatively short price. He's not far removed from smacking an AL record 62 homers in 2022.
Home run leader odds 2024: Contender
Matt Olson (+900 via FanDuel)
How can we not include the reigning leader as a contender? Olson was the only player in 2023 to hit at least 50 homers, leading second-place Kyle Schwarber by seven.
Olson's 2023 campaign represented exactly what many believed he was capable of after leaving Oakland for hitter-friendly Truist Park in Atlanta. The big lefty should serve as a constant threat to pace the majors in home runs throughout the season.
Home run leader odds 2024: Long shot
Bryce Harper (+6000 via FanDuel)
The Philadelphia Phillies' newly anointed first baseman struggled to hit for power immediately upon returning from Tommy John surgery last year. Bryce Harper managed just three home runs in 56 games, but he clobbered 18 across 70 contests in the latter half of the campaign before adding five more during the postseason.
Harper has never led the league in home runs, but he consistently serves as a power threat. His permanent move to first base could further help the veteran's cause, as he'll no longer need to put as much energy into the defensive side of his game.
Home run leader odds movement
Most of the top names in this market haven't changed since December at our best sports betting sites. But there's been some odds shuffling.
The most significant shift is tied to Juan Soto, no doubt due to his move to the Yankees and a more hitter-friendly ballpark. Soto has gone from being as long as +3000 to now down to around +900.
FanDuel is posting the best odds, especially for the favorites. That book features the best standalone price for three of the top five sluggers, while Draftkings features the worst odds on three of the top five batters.
FanDuel's price of +700 for the front-runner Judge is especially appealing. It's a rogue number, as the best offering elsewhere is +400.
Recent MLB home run leaders
| Year | Player | Team | Closing odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | +2500 |
| 2022 | Aaron Judge | New York Yankees | +1300 |
| 2021 | Salvador Perez and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | Kansas City Royals/Toronto Blue Jays | Perez: N/A, Guerrero: +5000 |
| 2020 | Luke Voit | New York Yankees | N/A |
| 2019 | Pete Alonso | New York Mets | N/A |
| 2018 | Khris Davis | Oakland Athletics | +4000 |
| 2017 | Giancarlo Stanton | Miami Marlins | +750 |
| 2016 | Mark Trumbo | Baltimore Orioles | +5000 |
| 2015 | Chris Davis | Baltimore Orioles | +1800 |
| 2014 | Nelson Cruz | Baltimore Orioles | +3500 |
Home run leader FAQs
Who's the favorite to lead MLB in home runs during 2024?
Aaron Judge of the Yankees is the current favorite at odds as short as +350.
Who led MLB in home runs during 2023?
Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson led MLB in home runs during 2023 while hitting 54, far ahead of Kyle Schwarber, who finished second with 47.
When will the 2024 MLB home run leader be decided?
Whoever leads MLB in home runs at the conclusion of the regular season will win this market. The 2024 season ends on Sept. 29.
MLB betting odds pages
Here are our best MLB betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Related pages
- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)
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