Best NRFI Bets Today: Top No Run First Inning Picks & Predictions for Aug. 11
🤑 Best NRFI Bets Today for Tuesday (August 11)
Today, we're tackling the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays and Pirates vs. Marlins to get the juices flowing on this fine Tuesday. Let's bring those units home with our best NRFI bets today.
⚾ Best NRFI bets today: Tuesday, August 11
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| ⚾ NRFI pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Red Sox vs. Blue Jays NRFI (-160) | 2u -> 1.25u | Cease owns a 28% K rate vs. Red Sox |
| Pirates vs. Marlins NRFI (-170) | 1u -> 0.59u | Marlins own a .157 xBA vs. Skenes |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.27 units
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💰 Best NRFI bets today (Tuesday, August 11)
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays NRFI (-160) - 7:07 p.m. ET
- Patrick Sandoval (3.38 ERA) vs. Dylan Cease (2.28 ERA)
- NRFI records: Red Sox (55-63) vs. Blue Jays (61-59)
Cease has a long history of dominance against these Red Sox, striking them out at a near-29% clip while limiting them to a .220 xBA and .295 xwOBA. He's also in the middle of the hottest stretch of his season, allowing just one earned run across his last 22 innings pitched - that'll play. On the other side is Patrick Sandoval, who's held this Blue Jays team to a .303 xwOBA. All we need is six simple outs, and we're in a perfect spot to cash here.
Pirates vs. Marlins NRFI (-170) - 6:40 p.m. ET
- Paul Skenes (3.96) vs. Eury Perez (3.61 ERA)
- NRFI records: Pirates (62-58) vs. Marlins (65-54)
Do the Pirates have a Skenes problem? He has the highest ERA since his freshman year of high school right now, which I can't believe is a sentence I just wrote. I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt against the Marlins today, though, as he's striking this team out at a 44% clip across 38 plate appearances. That is kind of ridiculous. Elsewhere, Perez has been just as effective against the Pirates, limiting them to a .177 xBA. He hasn't allowed a run in the first frame in six straight starts - let's fire this play up with confidence as part of our best NRFI bets today.
💣️ More MLB player props for Monday
Looking for more plays? Look no further than Sean Tomlinson's home run predictions today.
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| NRFI picks | 59-58 | +0.44 units |
💡 How I'm betting NRFI picks today (August 11)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
A NRFI (No Run First Inning) bet carries high variance, meaning success requires a disciplined, daily dive into the data. Before placing a wager, run through a strict checklist: analyze how the starting pitcher matches up against the top three hitters in the lineup, track underlying metrics like strikeout rates (K%) and expected batting averages (xBA), and review recent team-specific first-inning scoring trends. Because a single mistake or lucky hit can ruin the bet instantly, always use this daily routine to guide your wagers and scale your unit sizing accordingly to protect your bankroll.
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