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Luis Arraez of the Miami Marlins reacts after hitting an RBI double during the sixth inning against the Colorado Rockies, and we offer our look at the top odds and predictions to lead MLB in hits based on the best MLB odds.
Luis Arraez of the Miami Marlins reacts after hitting an RBI double during the sixth inning against the Colorado Rockies. Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images via AFP.

We look at whether Atlanta Braves superstar Ronald Acuna will repeat as the league leader in hits or if perennial favorite Luiz Arraez can dethrone the reigning champ with our look at the 2024 MLB hits leader based on the best MLB odds.

The MLB statistical leaders markets are some of the most intriguing to attack as we enter the winter months. We have plenty of data from previous years to reference, and narrative won't play any role in whether we win or lose our bet.

When looking at who will lead MLB in hits in 2024, a few star players are showing plenty of early value.

Here's a look at the best odds for the 2024 MLB hits leader.

Check out our 2024 World Series Odds.

MLB 2024 hits leader odds

(MLB hits leader odds as of Dec. 11)

Luis Arraez+750+750+750+800 🔥
Ronald Acuna Jr.+900+900+900+900
Freddie Freeman+950+1000+900 ❄️+1200 🔥
Corey Seager+1400+1300+1300+2000 🔥
Bo Bichette+1400+1800 🔥+1600+1000 ❄️
Trea Turner+1900 🔥+1800+1800+1800
Kyle Tucker+2000+2100+2000+2500 🔥
Jose Ramirez+2000+2100+2000+2200 🔥
Mookie Betts+2200+2100 ❄️+2200+2500 🔥
Jose Altuve+2200+2100 ❄️+2200+2200

MLB 2024 hits leader odds analysis

Miami Marlins infielder Luiz Arraez opens as the favorite to lead MLB in hits after finishing third in 2023, behind Freddie Freeman and leader Ronald Acuna Jr.

Arraez's odds are nearly universal across our best sports betting apps, with only bet365 not offering +750.

Following closely behind Arraez is Acuna, who's trading at +900 across all of our best sports betting sites.

It's interesting to note that Acuna opened the 2023 season at +4000 to lead the league in hits before punishing opposing pitchers on a nightly basis. That was due to him having a relatively disappointing 2022 campaign. 

If you're looking for value here - as well as other MLB futures markets - then you should target players in similar positions with any long-shot bets.

MLB 2024 hits leader odds: Favorite

Freddie Freeman (+1200 via bet365)

Arraez is the odds-on favorite and Acuna is the reigning king, but Freeman gets my vote as the true favorite in this market for the 2024 season.

Freeman finished just six hits behind Acuna last year and now gets added protection in the heart of the Los Angeles Dodgers' lineup courtesy of the arriving Shohei Ohtani. However, what we'll have to track in the coming months is how the Dodgers plan to structure their order.

Los Angeles' first baseman gets a big boost in this market if the Dodgers plan to slot him into the No. 2 spot, as pitchers would be more likely to attack him with Ohtani hitting behind. However, if Freeman is set to hit third, we may turn our attention to Acuna as our favorite.

MLB 2024 hits leader odds: Contender

Corey Seager (+2000 via bet365)

Seager finished with 156 hits in just 119 games last year, and he owned the fifth-best batting average and fourth-best expected batting average (via Statcast) in the league.

If Seager is able to remain healthy in 2024, he'll be a contender for multiple awards and statistics-based markets.

MLB 2024 hits leader odds: Long shot

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+8000 via bet365)

As mentioned above, the best way to target long-shot bets in these markets is to find players due for positive regression. And Vladimir Guerrero Jr. certainly fits that bill.

The Toronto Blue Jays first baseman finished just outside the top 30 in hits, though his .264 batting average was more than 30 points lower than his expected mark of .295. That was the biggest discrepancy between the two numbers among everyday players, and if Guerrero can get more batted-ball luck in 2024, he will be a real contender to lead the league in hits.

Recent MLB hits leaders

YearPlayerTeamClosing Odds
2023Ronald AcunaAtlanta Braves+4000
2022Freddie FreemanLos Angeles Dodgers+1400
2021Trea TurnerWashington Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers+900
2020Trea TurnerWashington Nationals+2000
2019Whit MerrifieldKansas City Royals+700
2018Whit MerrifieldKansas City Royals+10000
2017Charlie BlackmonColorado Rockies+2200
2016Jose AltuveHouston Astros+350
2015Dee GordonMiami Marlins+1800

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