MLB Hits Leader Odds 2025: Arraez Narrowly Favored Over Witt

The hitting focus in modern baseball has become more about doing damage than simply making consistent contact. However, the common thread generally among those leading the MLB hits leader odds for 2025 is they can do both.
They possess the unique bat-to-ball skills that allow them to get to plenty of pitches in many different areas, and often do so in punishing fashion. That certainly describes Bobby Witt Jr. and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who occupy two of the top three spots to lead the league in hits at our best MLB betting sites.
But the consistent favorite is Luis Arraez, who's put together two straight 200-plus hit seasons and led the National League in hits last year while sitting second leaguewide. He's a central figure for the World Series odds-contending San Diego Padres.
🏆 MLB 2025 hits leader odds
The MLB hits leader odds are based on the top MLB odds.
Some quick notes and observations on the early MLB hits leader odds:
- Witt, who possesses so very many tools and is among the MLB MVP odds contenders in the AL, is fresh off leading MLB in hits with 211, making his +800 odds highly appealing
- Shohei Ohtani, the lynchpin on a Los Angeles Dodgers team sitting the highest among the MLB projected win totals, finished fourth in hits last year with 197, and he's the prime example of balancing contact and immense power
- The same is true for Jose Altuve, who might be the ideal long-shot bet in this market at +4000 after registering four 200-plus hit seasons of his own, and ending up with 185 last year while finishing sixth
💥 Hits leader odds favorite
🔥 Luis Arraez hits leader odds (+650)
Plenty of sluggers who are all-around great hitters sit atop the oddsboard here, and they provide lots of power with their frequent contact. Arraez isn't one of them.
Which isn't a criticism, as he's excelled just fine while turning pitches anywhere in the zone into base hits. And in this market, it doesn't matter if the ball goes over the wall, is a laser beam up the gap, or dribbles past the outstretched glove of the third baseman.
We just want hits in buckets, and Arraez will happily oblige. He's only one season removed from a white-hot .354 batting average, a year when he spent a chunk of the campaign pursuing the .400 mark before falling off a bit. His .316 average in 2022 and .314 last year look poor by comparison, but those marks were still among the top five leaguewide.
This is a quality price for a hitter who boasts a career .323 average, with a $10 wager leading to a $65 profit.
Best odds: +650 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 13.33%
👀 Hits leader odds player to watch
💣 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits leader odds (+1100)
It's difficult to know what to expect from Guerrero during any given season. The first baseman has oscillated between producing numbers that properly reflect his rare skill, and putting up seasons that are merely very good.
He did the former last year, ending with the league's second-best batting average (.323), third-most hits (a career-high 199), and sixth-best OPS (.940) to go along with 30 home runs. Put another way, he finished just one hit behind Arraez in third leaguewide while hitting 26 more dingers.

If you're inclined to believe in contract-year motivation, then go ahead and assume the generational talent version of Vlad will show up this year, and hammer the alluring price for him to win this market.
It's unlikely the Toronto Blue Jays will sign him to an extension after the franchise didn't do so before the four-time All-Star's preseason negotiating deadline. That means he'll be incredibly motivated before becoming a free agent.
A $10 bet here will lead to a $110 profit.
Best odds: +1100 via Caesars | Implied probability: 8.33%
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💡 How to bet on MLB hits leader odds
Betting on the MLB hits leader odds is straightforward. First, pick a reputable sportsbook offering MLB hits leader futures. Check the odds for various players; for instance, if Player A has +300 odds and Player B has +700, Player A is favored to win.
Place your bet by deciding how much to wager. If you bet $100 on Player A at +300 and they win, you’ll get $400 back ($100 stake + $300 profit). Keep an eye on player performances throughout the season to gauge your bet’s potential.
Now, why do odds move in future markets? It’s all about performance and perception. If a player performs exceptionally well or poorly, their odds will shift. Injuries to the player or their competitors can also significantly impact their MLB hits leader chances.
The success of the player’s team can improve their odds as well. Public betting trends play a role; if many people are betting on one player, sportsbooks might adjust the odds to balance their risk. Expert analysis and predictions can also influence how people bet, affecting the odds. Understanding these factors helps you make informed bets and potentially take advantage of favorable odds movements.
📖 How to read MLB hits leader odds
Reading MLB hits leader odds involves understanding the implied probability and potential payouts associated with each player's odds of leading MLB in hits. MLB hits leader odds are typically presented in American odds.
These use plus and minus symbols to indicate underdogs and favorites, respectively. For instance, if a player's odds are +500, a $100 bet would result in a $500 profit if the player wins, while odds of -200 would mean that a $200 bet is required to win $100 in profit.
When reading MLB hits leader odds, lower odds indicate that a player has a higher probability of being the leader, while higher odds suggest that a player is considered less likely. Bettors should consider factors such as a player's performance and team success when evaluating hits leader odds.
It's also important to compare odds across different sportsbooks to identify the best value bets. Additionally, bettors should keep in mind that MLB hits leader odds can fluctuate throughout the season based on player performance, injuries, and other factors, so staying informed and monitoring odds changes can be crucial for making informed betting decisions.
🏆 Recent MLB hits leaders
Year | Player | Team | Closing Odds |
---|---|---|---|
2024 | Bobby Witt | Kansas City Royals | +1800 |
2023 | Ronald Acuna | Atlanta Braves | +4000 |
2022 | Freddie Freeman | Los Angeles Dodgers | +1400 |
2021 | Trea Turner | Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers | +900 |
2020 | Trea Turner | Washington Nationals | +2000 |
2019 | Whit Merrifield | Kansas City Royals | +700 |
2018 | Whit Merrifield | Kansas City Royals | +10000 |
2017 | Charlie Blackmon | Colorado Rockies | +2200 |
2016 | Jose Altuve | Houston Astros | +350 |
2015 | Dee Gordon | Miami Marlins | +1800 |
❓Hits leader FAQs
Who's the favorite to lead MLB in hits during 2025?
Luis Arraez of the San Diego Padres is the favorite with odds as short as +650, leading to an implied probability of 13.33% at DraftKings.
Who led MLB in hits during 2024?
Bobby Witt Jr. led MLB in hits last season after recording 211.
When will the 2025 MLB hits leader be decided?
Whoever leads MLB in hits at the conclusion of the regular season will win this market. The 2025 season ends on Sept. 28.
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