Best NRFI Bets Today: Top No Run First Inning Picks & Predictions for Aug. 17
🤑 Best NRFI Bets Today for Monday (August 17)
Today, we're tackling the Marlins vs. Phillies and Padres vs. Mets to get the juices flowing on this fine Monday. We're fresh off sweeping the board last time out, so let's bring those units home with our best NRFI bets today.
⚾ Best NRFI bets today: Monday, August 17
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| ⚾ NRFI pick | 💵 Units | 📝 Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Marlins vs. Phillies NRFI (-110) | 2u -> 1.81u | Marlins own a .188 xBA vs. Sanchez |
| Padres vs. Mets NRFI (-170) | 1u -> 0.71u | Mets own .228 xBA vs. Buehler |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.52 units
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💰 Best NRFI bets today (Monday, August 17)
Marlins vs. Phillies NRFI (-110) - 7:07 p.m. ET
- Janson Junk (4.41 ERA) vs Cristopher Sanchez (2.54 ERA)
- NRFI records: Marlins (71-54) vs. Blue Jays (60-65)
While Sanchez is the anchor in this NRFI - he's limited the Marlins to a .188 xBA and .194 xwOBA across 55 plate appearances - it's Junk who really sold me as our two-unit play. Across a fine sample size (34 plate appearances), the righty is striking out this Phillies team at a 29% clip, including a 0-for-5, two-strikeout mark from Kyle Schwarber. Let's ride this with confidence.
Padres vs. Mets NRFI (-170) - 7:10 p.m. ET
- Walker Buehler (4.88 ERA) vs. Nolan McLean (3.42 ERA)
- NRFI records: Padres (77-48) vs. Mets (64-61)
The best NRFI team in baseball takes on the Mets, and we have a nice pitching matchup to draw from here. Not only is McLean coming off one of the best starts of his season, but he's striking this Padres team out at 23% clip and limiting them to a .200 xBA. Buehler, meanwhile, has turned his season around, allowing just two earned runs across his last 10 innings pitched. Let's fire this play up as part of our best NRFI bets today.
💣️ More MLB player props for Monday
Looking for more plays? Look no further than Corey Scott's home run predictions today.
💵 My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| NRFI picks | 61-58 | +2.72 units |
💡 How I'm betting NRFI picks today (August 17)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
A NRFI (No Run First Inning) bet carries high variance, meaning success requires a disciplined, daily dive into the data. Before placing a wager, run through a strict checklist: analyze how the starting pitcher matches up against the top three hitters in the lineup, track underlying metrics like strikeout rates (K%) and expected batting averages (xBA), and review recent team-specific first-inning scoring trends. Because a single mistake or lucky hit can ruin the bet instantly, always use this daily routine to guide your wagers and scale your unit sizing accordingly to protect your bankroll.
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