NFL Player Futures: How the Dog in Zach Wilson is Changing His Player Props

Zach Wilson, the starting quarterback for the New York Jets, is entering his second season in the NFL and expectations are rising. In this article, we examine some of Wilson's 2022 player props posted by DraftKings Sportsbook and discuss their potential value.

If Wilson makes headlines on the field as he did off the field this offseason, the Jets will be extremely pleased with their young starting quarterback. Wilson's public perception has changed significantly in light of recent claims from an ex-girlfriend, and there are betting implications as a result.

https://twitter.com/DKSportsbook/status/1546492428164730880

As a result of allegations posted by Wilson's ex-girlfriend, Abby Gile, Wilson is trending on Twitter and has gained a lot of new fans. Although this appears to be drama, it is actually changing markets. Rather than focusing on the drama between Wilson and his mom's best friend, I am interested in the betting aspect of the story. At the end of the day, these are markets, and how people view Wilson will determine his odds.

Wilson's 2022 Player Props

https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/1YRYL/1/

2022 Wilson Prop Bets

Wilson's regular-season passing touchdowns prop: 22.5 (-110/-110)

At DraftKings, Wilson's passing touchdown prop is set at 22.5, which represents quite an increase from his rookie season, when he threw nine touchdowns in 13 games.

For 2022, most projection websites, such as FantasyPros, predict that Wilson will throw around 21 touchdown passes. Given Wilson's increased Twitter fame and reports that he is much improved, it is not surprising that his total is slightly higher than the projection.

https://twitter.com/dkm14/status/1546278633513226240

As sportsbooks begin to see Over money on Wilson’s props, keep an eye on this number. In the event that this total moves to 23.5, I would immediately place a bet on the Under on Wilson's passing touchdowns in 2022.

Wilson's regular-season passing yards prop: 3,800.5 (-105/-115)

You are seeing a trend with Wilson, where it is more valuable to bet on him not having a good season than to have significant improvement in Year 2.

According to FantasyPros, Wilson is projected to throw 3,699.6 passing yards during the 2022 season. The projection assumes Wilson will be healthy throughout the season and is 100 yards lower than the total that DraftKings has posted.

There is no doubt that the sportsbooks expect more Over money than Under money on Wilson, which is why they have inflated all his props just a bit. In a similar manner to the passing touchdowns, keep an eye on this total and, if it continues to increase, bet on the Under.

Wilson's regular-season interceptions thrown prop: 14.5 (-110/-110)

Wilson's interception prop is the only one that matches his projections, and this is likely to be the case since it is associated with negative performance rather than positive performance.

Wilson is a gunslinger who likes to take risks both on and off the field. A total of 14.5 is right where it should be, so if it drops to 13.5, bet on the Over.

https://twitter.com/DariusJButler/status/1546209198555496448

Where to Bet on Zach Wilson Props

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

FanDuel SportsbookCaesars SportsbookDraftKings SportsbookPointsBetBetMGM

SEE ALSO: All picks, odds, and sports betting news. Be sure to check out SportsbookReview.com’s community forums and betting tools.

Zach Wilson prop picks made on 7/11/2022 at 1:47 p.m. ET.